Peterhead vs Kelty Hearts: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Peterhead played Kelty Hearts in League One (Scotland). The match was played on 13 December 2025. Final score: 3:2.

Current form

Peterhead: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Kelty Hearts: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Peterhead scores 1.38 and concedes 1.94 goals per match. Kelty Hearts scores 0.81 and concedes 2.13. League average: 2.54 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Peterhead 63%, Kelty Hearts 50%. Over 2.5: Peterhead 81%, Kelty Hearts 75%. League level: BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 53%.

xG, shots and style

Peterhead has higher xG: 1.18 vs 0.94. Peterhead: 9.3 shots per match, Kelty Hearts: 6.8.

Match halves

Peterhead: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.50. Kelty Hearts: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.31.

Goals by minute

Peterhead: 16-30 (6 goals). Kelty Hearts: 0-15 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

League One: 2.54 goals per match, BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 53%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
2 : 2
2nd half

Match statistics

47Possession (%)53
PeterheadKelty Hearts
7Shots4
PeterheadKelty Hearts
4Shots on target2
PeterheadKelty Hearts
1.09xG0.73
PeterheadKelty Hearts
3Corners2
PeterheadKelty Hearts
51Dangerous attacks45
PeterheadKelty Hearts
16Fouls11
PeterheadKelty Hearts
3Cards0
PeterheadKelty Hearts

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

PeterheadKelty Hearts
1.38Goals scored / match0.81
PeterheadKelty Hearts
1.94Goals conceded / match2.13
PeterheadKelty Hearts
51%Average possession51%
PeterheadKelty Hearts
3.81Shots on target / match3.13
PeterheadKelty Hearts

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.25Shots per match6.75
PeterheadKelty Hearts
3.81Shots on target3.13
PeterheadKelty Hearts
14.9%Shot conversion12%
PeterheadKelty Hearts
51%Possession51%
PeterheadKelty Hearts
1.18xG for0.94
PeterheadKelty Hearts
1.27xG against1.74
PeterheadKelty Hearts

Shooting quality

Peterhead: Efficient finishingKelty Hearts: Balanced
PeterheadKelty Hearts
Accuracy (shots on target)41%46%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.360.26

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Peterhead is 100% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / match - Peterhead · 0.4 pts / match - Kelty Hearts

Peterhead
WLDLL
Season result split
38% W13% R50% P
Season (W-D-L)
6-2-8
1.25 pts / match · goal difference -9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-2-2
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
WWLDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 2.6xG: 1.05Opponent xG: 1.43BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%
Kelty Hearts
LDDLL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
13% W19% R69% P
Season (W-D-L)
2-3-11
0.56 pts / match · goal difference -21
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-2-4
Last 5 away
1-2-2
WDLDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 1.12Opponent xG: 1.31BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Peterhead is 70% better for: goals scored per match.

1.38 goals / match - Peterhead · 0.81 goals / match - Kelty Hearts

Peterhead is 10% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.94 goals / match - Peterhead · 2.13 goals / match - Kelty Hearts

Peterhead scoring profile: very strong

Peterhead scores in 69% of matches (11 of 16 matches), while Kelty Hearts keeps a clean sheet in 6% (1 of 16 matches).

Kelty Hearts scoring profile: very strong

Kelty Hearts scores in 56% of matches (9 of 16 matches), while Peterhead keeps a clean sheet in 6% (1 of 16 matches).

22Goals scored (season)13
PeterheadKelty Hearts
31Goals conceded (season)34
PeterheadKelty Hearts
3.31Average goals in match2.94
PeterheadKelty Hearts
4Goals scored (last 5)4
PeterheadKelty Hearts
13Goals conceded (last 5)12
PeterheadKelty Hearts

How often they score at least...

69%1 goal56%
PeterheadKelty Hearts
44%2 goals25%
PeterheadKelty Hearts
19%3 goals0%
PeterheadKelty Hearts
6%4 goals0%
PeterheadKelty Hearts

How often they concede at least...

94%1 goal94%
PeterheadKelty Hearts
50%2 goals75%
PeterheadKelty Hearts
31%3 goals38%
PeterheadKelty Hearts
19%4 goals6%
PeterheadKelty Hearts

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

44%
League average

Goal patterns

44%BTTS at half-time31%
PeterheadKelty Hearts
6%BTTS in both halves0%
PeterheadKelty Hearts
38%Scored in both halves19%
PeterheadKelty Hearts

BTTS and goal count

56%Min. 3 goals and BTTS44%
PeterheadKelty Hearts
25%Min. 3 goals without BTTS31%
PeterheadKelty Hearts
60%BTTS - last 560%
PeterheadKelty Hearts

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

88%Min. 1 goal before half-time94%
PeterheadKelty Hearts
63%Min. 2 goals before half-time56%
PeterheadKelty Hearts
19%Min. 3 goals before half-time13%
PeterheadKelty Hearts

2nd half

88%Min. 1 goal after half-time94%
PeterheadKelty Hearts
44%Min. 2 goals after half-time31%
PeterheadKelty Hearts
19%Min. 3 goals after half-time6%
PeterheadKelty Hearts

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Peterhead is 28% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.13 pts / match - Peterhead · 0.88 pts / match - Kelty Hearts

Peterhead - half-time state
25% leading38% draw38% trailing
Kelty Hearts - half-time state
19% leading31% draw50% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.13Points per match (1st half)0.88
PeterheadKelty Hearts
0.88Goals scored (1st half)0.5
PeterheadKelty Hearts
0.88Goals conceded (1st half)1.13
PeterheadKelty Hearts
1.75Average goals (1st half)1.63
PeterheadKelty Hearts
25%Clean sheet before half-time19%
PeterheadKelty Hearts
44%No goal before half-time56%
PeterheadKelty Hearts

After half-time (2nd half)

1.06Points per match (2nd half)0.56
PeterheadKelty Hearts
0.5Goals scored (2nd half)0.31
PeterheadKelty Hearts
1.06Goals conceded (2nd half)1
PeterheadKelty Hearts
1.56Average goals (2nd half)1.31
PeterheadKelty Hearts
38%Clean sheet after half-time19%
PeterheadKelty Hearts
50%No goal after half-time69%
PeterheadKelty Hearts

Peterhead - second-half results

25% W31% R44% P
18
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
17
Second-half points
-9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.13
PPG before half-time
Lead holding152%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Kelty Hearts - second-half results

13% W19% R69% P
14
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
-10
Goal difference (1st half)
9
Second-half points
-11
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.88
PPG before half-time
Lead holding68%

Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 13%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Peterhead - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.400.80
Goals scored / match0.20.6
Goals conceded / match1.01.6
Average goals in match1.22.2
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet20%20%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference-4-5
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
Kelty Hearts - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.000.20
Goals scored / match0.40.4
Goals conceded / match1.01.4
Average goals in match1.41.8
1 goal80%100%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet40%0%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-3-5
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 20% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Peterhead
ScoredConceded
4
4
0-15
6
6
16-30
4
4
31-45
1
8
46-60
3
5
61-75
4
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Kelty Hearts
ScoredConceded
3
6
0-15
3
5
16-30
2
7
31-45
2
8
46-60
1
3
61-75
2
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.13
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.8 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
123%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
57%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-4%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
39%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
14%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 7 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Peterhead

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.09
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.47
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.20
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.67
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
103%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
162%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.45
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.4
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 18% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

Kelty Hearts

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.80
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.52
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.13
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.39
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
68%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
159%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.16
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 23% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).

Teams vs league

PeterheadLigaKelty Hearts
Average goals in match 3.312.54 2.94
Both teams scored 63%44% 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 81%53% 75%
Clean sheets 6%31% 6%
Goal before half-time 88%72% 94%
Goal after half-time 88%81% 94%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.54
Average goals per match
44%
Both teams scored
53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
31%
Clean sheets
1.34
Home goals / match
1.20
Away goals / match
+12%
Home attack advantage
+10%
Home defence advantage
+9%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
1%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. PeterheadGoalCameron SmithAssist: Kieran Shanks
  2. PeterheadSubstitutionOn: Sebastian RossOff: Peter Pawlett
  3. PeterheadSubstitutionOn: Craig McGuffieOff: Cameron Smith
  4. PeterheadGoalSebastian Ross
  5. PeterheadRed cardFlynn Duffy
  6. Kelty HeartsGoalRicco Diack
  7. Kelty HeartsSubstitutionOn: Joseph TeasdaleOff: Innes Murray
  8. PeterheadYellow cardAndrew McCarthy
  9. Kelty HeartsSubstitutionOn: James GrahamOff: Joseph Teasdale
  10. Kelty HeartsGoalLuke McCarvelAssist: Lewis Moore
  11. PeterheadGoalJason BrownAssist: Sebastian Ross

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Peterhead 1 - 0 - 0 Kelty Hearts. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

Kelty Hearts FC
1 : 2
Peterhead FC

FAQ

What was the result of Peterhead vs Kelty Hearts?

The League One match finished Peterhead 3:2 Kelty Hearts. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Peterhead vs Kelty Hearts?

Peterhead score 1.38 goals per game on average and Kelty Hearts 0.81. The League One average is 2.54 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Peterhead's matches and 50% of Kelty Hearts's.

What form are Peterhead and Kelty Hearts in?

Over the last 5 games Peterhead have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Kelty Hearts 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Peterhead vs Kelty Hearts?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Peterhead vs Kelty Hearts: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.