Petrolul 52 vs UTA Arad: match statistics
Petrolul 52 vs UTA Arad: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Petrolul 52 played UTA Arad in Liga I (Romania). The match was played on 3 May 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Petrolul 52: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. UTA Arad: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Petrolul 52 scores 0.83 and concedes 1.08 goals per match. UTA Arad scores 1.39 and concedes 1.39. League average: 2.53 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Petrolul 52 44%, UTA Arad 58%. Over 2.5: Petrolul 52 28%, UTA Arad 50%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
UTA Arad has higher xG: 1.49 vs 1.33. Petrolul 52: 12.3 shots per match, UTA Arad: 13.4.
Match halves
Petrolul 52: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.53. UTA Arad: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.75.
Goals by minute
Petrolul 52: 61-75 (8 goals). UTA Arad: 76-90+ (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga I: 2.53 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
UTA Arad has a shooting and finishing edge, reflected in 50 goals this season versus Petrolul’s 30 and a higher conversion rate (9% vs 6% for the hosts). Away, UTA averages 1.12 goals and 4.18 SOT per match, while Petrolul at home scores just 0.82 goals with 3.53 SOT, increasing the likelihood that the visitors will find the net. At the same time Petrolul generates higher home xG (1.54 vs 1.41 xG for UTA away) and enjoys greater possession (51% vs 44%), but a high share of home matches without a goal (47% FTS) indicates poor finishing. Defensively the hosts perform better (1.06 goals conceded at home vs 1.41 conceded by UTA away) and have 29% clean sheets, while UTA has only 6% clean sheets on the road, suggesting potential goal exchanges. Considering the superiority in total goals (50 vs 30), better conversion and similar 1.4 points per game in the last 5 matches for both teams, I tip an away win, although a draw is realistic given the hosts’ low efficiency.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal indicators favor the "both teams to score" option: Petrolul has a seasonal BTTS of 53%, UTA 65%, versus a league average of 51%. UTA has only 6% clean sheets this season (i.e., concedes in 94% of matches) and an average xG against of 1.63, while Petrolul produces xG of 1.56 — such proportions increase the likelihood that the hosts will score and the visitors will also concede. In the last 5 matches Petrolul recorded BTTS in 60% of fixtures, UTA in 40%, and shots on target are similar (4.42 vs 4.18), indicating chances from both sides. Considering the seasonal 53%/65%, UTA’s very low 6% clean sheets and the comparable xG values, I assess BTTS probability at around 70% versus 30% for No Goal; therefore I recommend the "Yes" selection.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The model based on xG and opponent defenses projects 1.59 expected goals for Petrolul 52 (xG_for 1.56 vs opponents’ xG_against 1.63) and 1.42 for UTA Arad (xG_for 1.41 vs hosts’ xG_against 1.43), totaling approximately 3.01 goals. A Poisson distribution with lambda=3.01 yields roughly an 80% probability for OVER 1.5, 58% for OVER 2.5 and 35% for OVER 3.5. Seasonal metrics confirm the game’s offensive profile: Over 1.5 occurred in 74% of the hosts’ matches and 82% of the visitors’ matches, while BTTS is 53% and 65% respectively. The hosts average 14.16 shots (4.42 on target, conversion 12%), the visitors 12.59 shots (4.18 on target, conversion 9%), supporting chance creation. Therefore the strongest signal from the data is OVER 1.5 (line 1.5, back over) as the best betting choice.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Petrolul have the edge at Half-Time: the hosts led at the break in 7 matches (37%) and score on average 0.74 goals by Half-Time versus 0.53 for UTA Arad. Over the full match the hosts average 1.63 goals (xG 1.56) with 14.16 shots per match and a 12% conversion, while the visitors average 1.12 goals (xG 1.41), 12.59 shots and a 9% conversion. Additionally, the hosts win more often (47% wins vs 29% for the visitors) and accumulate more Half-Time points (HTPoints 29 vs 18), so the scenario of leading at the break and winning the match for the hosts (1/1) is the strongest and I assign it a 28% probability. Realistic alternatives are a draw at Half-Time and a draw at Full-Time (X/X 22%) and a draw at Half-Time with a subsequent home win (X/1 14%), whereas a turnaround by the visitors (2/2 and 2/X combined 15%) I deem less likely.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Petrolul 52 | UTA Arad | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 28% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
UTA Arad is 67% better for: goals scored per match.
0.83 goals / match - Petrolul 52 · 1.39 goals / match - UTA Arad
Petrolul 52 is 29% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.08 goals / match - Petrolul 52 · 1.39 goals / match - UTA Arad
Petrolul 52 scores in 61% of matches (22 of 36 matches), while UTA Arad keeps a clean sheet in 19% (7 of 36 matches).
UTA Arad scores in 72% of matches (26 of 36 matches), while Petrolul 52 keeps a clean sheet in 25% (9 of 36 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Petrolul 52
Over / Under - UTA Arad
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
UTA Arad is 24% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.06 pts / match - Petrolul 52 · 1.31 pts / match - UTA Arad
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Petrolul 52 - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
UTA Arad - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Petrolul 52
UTA Arad
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga I).
Teams vs league
| Petrolul 52 | Liga | UTA Arad | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.92 | 2.53 | ▲ 2.78 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 44% | 51% | ▲ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 28% | 46% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 25% | 28% | ▼ 19% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 53% | 68% | ▲ 72% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 78% | 76% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Petrolul 52 0 - 0 - 2 UTA Arad. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Petrolul 52 vs UTA Arad?
The Liga I match finished Petrolul 52 1:1 UTA Arad. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Petrolul 52 and UTA Arad?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Petrolul 52 won 0, UTA Arad won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Petrolul 52 vs UTA Arad?
Petrolul 52 score 0.83 goals per game on average and UTA Arad 1.39. The Liga I average is 2.53 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Petrolul 52's matches and 58% of UTA Arad's.
What form are Petrolul 52 and UTA Arad in?
Over the last 5 games Petrolul 52 have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and UTA Arad 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Petrolul 52 vs UTA Arad?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Petrolul 52 vs UTA Arad: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.


