Philadelphia Union II vs FC Cincinnati II: match statistics
Philadelphia Union II vs FC Cincinnati II: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Philadelphia Union II played FC Cincinnati II in MLS Next Pro (United States). The match was played on 9 August 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Philadelphia Union II: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. FC Cincinnati II: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Philadelphia Union II scores 1.05 and concedes 1.33 goals per match. FC Cincinnati II scores 1.05 and concedes 2.15. League average: 3.27 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Philadelphia Union II 48%, FC Cincinnati II 50%. Over 2.5: Philadelphia Union II 48%, FC Cincinnati II 65%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 66%.
xG, shots and style
FC Cincinnati II has higher xG: 1.28 vs 1.23. Philadelphia Union II: 10.4 shots per match, FC Cincinnati II: 10.1.
Match halves
Philadelphia Union II: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.52. FC Cincinnati II: half-time lead 10%, second-half goals 0.70.
Goals by minute
Philadelphia Union II: 16-30 (6 goals). FC Cincinnati II: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS Next Pro: 3.27 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 66%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 5 previous H2H matches were available: 5-0-0. Average goals 2.60, BTTS 60%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Philadelphia Union II have a clear home advantage: they win 40% of their home matches and concede just 0.9 goals per game on home soil. FC Cincinnati II have lost all of their away matches so far, averaging 3.11 goals conceded and a -23 goal difference away from home. The hosts create chances worth an average of 1.36 xG at home, while the visitors allow opponents 1.97 xG, which points to more opportunities for Union II. Cincinnati II score just 0.56 goals per away game and fail to score in 56% of such matches, while Philadelphia keep a clean sheet in 30% of their home fixtures. Neither side is in strong recent form, but Union II have collected 5 points from their last five matches compared with just 2 for Cincinnati II, making a home win the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
FC Cincinnati II have failed to keep a clean sheet in any match this season and concede an average of as many as 3.11 goals, which significantly boosts Philadelphia Union II’s chances of scoring. The hosts average 1.45 goals, with a 14% shooting efficiency compared to just 6% for their opponents. The main risk on the away side is their low season average of 0.56 goals and 56% of matches without scoring; however, their xG of 1.22 and an average of 1.6 goals scored in their last five matches suggest a genuine chance of a reply. Philadelphia concede an average of 1.36 goals, while their recent xG against has risen to 2.05, meaning the hosts’ defence does not provide complete security. BTTS - Yes is also slightly preferred because Cincinnati II recorded Goal/Goal in 100% of their last five matches, although Philadelphia’s low 20% rate over the same period limits confidence in the prediction.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
FC Cincinnati II concede an average of as many as 3.11 goals per match and have kept no clean sheets, which clearly favors goals for the home side. Philadelphia Union II score an average of 1.45 goals at home, while their opponents allow 1.97 xG to opposing teams, so the hosts are projected to score close to 1.85 goals. In their last five matches, Cincinnati II conceded 16 goals, or 3.2 per game, and all 5 of their matches went Over 2.5 goals. Over 1.5 goals landed in 64% of Philadelphia’s matches and 89% of Cincinnati’s, making Over 1.5 the strongest selection with a projected total of 2.95 goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Philadelphia Union II win, as Cincinnati were behind at the break in 89% of their matches and never held a lead. The hosts were level at half-time in 45% of games, scoring only 0.36 goals before the break, which makes an initial draw more likely than an early lead. After the interval, Philadelphia average 1.09 goals scored and just 0.55 conceded, while Cincinnati score only 0.22 goals and concede 1.33. The hosts’ advantage is also evident across the entire season: their opponents have not won a single match and concede an average of 3.11 goals, compared with the 1.36 goals conceded by Union II.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Philadelphia Union II | FC Cincinnati II | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Philadelphia Union II is 150% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Philadelphia Union II · 0.4 pts / match - FC Cincinnati II
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Philadelphia Union II is 62% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.33 goals / match - Philadelphia Union II · 2.15 goals / match - FC Cincinnati II
Philadelphia Union II scores in 62% of matches (13 of 21 matches), while FC Cincinnati II keeps a clean sheet in 15% (3 of 20 matches).
FC Cincinnati II scores in 65% of matches (13 of 20 matches), while Philadelphia Union II keeps a clean sheet in 19% (4 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Philadelphia Union II
Over / Under - FC Cincinnati II
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Philadelphia Union II is 90% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.14 pts / match - Philadelphia Union II · 0.6 pts / match - FC Cincinnati II
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Philadelphia Union II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
FC Cincinnati II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 10% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 2.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -8 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Philadelphia Union II
FC Cincinnati II
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS Next Pro).
Teams vs league
| Philadelphia Union II | Liga | FC Cincinnati II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.38 | 3.27 | • 3.20 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 48% | 61% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 48% | 66% | • 65% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 21% | ▼ 15% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 75% | ▲ 85% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 84% | • 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): Philadelphia Union II 5 - 0 - 0 FC Cincinnati II. Average goals 2.60, both teams scored in 60% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Philadelphia Union II vs FC Cincinnati II?
The MLS Next Pro match finished Philadelphia Union II 2:1 FC Cincinnati II. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Philadelphia Union II and FC Cincinnati II?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Philadelphia Union II won 5, FC Cincinnati II won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.60 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Philadelphia Union II vs FC Cincinnati II?
Philadelphia Union II score 1.05 goals per game on average and FC Cincinnati II 1.05. The MLS Next Pro average is 3.27 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Philadelphia Union II's matches and 50% of FC Cincinnati II's.
What form are Philadelphia Union II and FC Cincinnati II in?
Over the last 5 games Philadelphia Union II have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and FC Cincinnati II 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Philadelphia Union II vs FC Cincinnati II?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.