Philadelphia Union II vs New York City II: match statistics
Philadelphia Union II vs New York City II: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Philadelphia Union II played New York City II in MLS Next Pro (United States). The match was played on 14 June 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Philadelphia Union II: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. New York City II: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Philadelphia Union II scores 1.15 and concedes 1.08 goals per match. New York City II scores 1.36 and concedes 1.73. League average: 3.23 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Philadelphia Union II 62%, New York City II 64%. Over 2.5: Philadelphia Union II 46%, New York City II 64%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 65%.
xG, shots and style
New York City II has higher xG: 1.34 vs 1.26. Philadelphia Union II: 10.0 shots per match, New York City II: 11.1.
Match halves
Philadelphia Union II: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.54. New York City II: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.82.
Goals by minute
Philadelphia Union II: 16-30 (4 goals). New York City II: 61-75 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS Next Pro: 3.23 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 65%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 3-0-0. Average goals 4.67, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back a Philadelphia Union II win (1). At home they average 1.38 goals scored and concede 1.00 per match, have a 50% home win rate and a positive goal difference of +3; their home xG is 1.38 versus xG against 1.47, indicating a solid defensive profile. New York City II arrive in better form over the last 5 matches — they’ve scored 11 goals (2.2 per game) and average 1.8 points per game in that run, while the hosts have only 4 goals and 0.8 points in their last 5. The visitors produce higher away xG (1.51 vs 1.38) and more possession (52% vs 45%), but concede 1.6 goals on average away, have a 10% conversion rate and fail to score in 40% of away matches, which reduces their efficiency. Therefore, despite the visitors’ attacking output, I favour the hosts due to stronger home defense and a higher home win percentage — estimated probabilities: 55% home win, 25% draw, 20% away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Statistics favor BTTS - Yes: the season BTTS rate is 67% for Philadelphia Union II and 60% for New York City II, vs a league average of 61%. In the last 5 matches the away side has an 80% BTTS rate while the home side is at 60%; in those five fixtures New York City II scored 11 goals (2.2 per game) whereas Philadelphia Union II scored 4 goals (0.8 per game). Both teams rarely keep a clean sheet — 17% for the home side and 20% for the away — and season conceded goals averages are 1.83 and 1.6, which increases the likelihood of goals from both teams. Offensive metrics show an advantage for the visitors: 12.6 shots and 4.6 on target with xG 1.51 vs 9.83 shots and 3.5 on target with xG 1.19 for the home side; however the hosts have a higher conversion 15% vs 10%, so both teams are capable of scoring. Considering season BTTS (avg ~63.5%), last-5 form (~70% BTTS) and the visitors’ attacking activity, I assess BTTS probability at 72% vs 28% and recommend a 'yes' bet.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I estimate the total goals at 2.94 (expected goals: 1.41 for Philadelphia Union II and 1.53 for New York City II), calculated as the average of attack xG and opponent xG: (1.19+1.63)/2 and (1.51+1.55)/2. Philadelphia has Over 1.5 in 100% of matches this season, New York City II in 60% — average 80%, therefore the 1.5 line gives the strongest signal (I assess an 80% probability for Over 1.5). The 2.5 line is also supported: Over 2.5 occurred in 67% of home games and 60% of away games, the league records 65% Over 2.5, and our xG=2.94 indicates an edge above 2.5 (I assess 66% for Over 2.5). Over 3.5 is less likely — seasonally 33%/40% (home/away) and xG<3.5 suggest about a 36% chance for Over 3.5. Additionally BTTS 67% (home) and 60% (away) and a shots on target ratio 3.5 vs 4.6 confirm both teams create chances, which reinforces the Over recommendation, particularly for 1.5 and 2.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is a draw at half-time and a home win at full-time (X/1). The home side averages 1.67 points per game this season versus 0.8 for the visitors and wins 50% of matches compared to 20% for the away team, which strongly favors Philadelphia Union II turning the game around in the second half. At half-time, however, the last five matches show an edge for New York City II: the visitors led at the break in 80% of the last five games, while the home side did not lead at half-time in any of those five, so a draw (X) at half-time appears most sensible. xG and shots data deliver mixed signals — the visitors’ xG is 1.51 versus 1.19 for the hosts, with shots 12.6 vs 9.83 and shots on target 4.6 vs 3.5, but the hosts’ conversion rate is higher (15% vs 10%), increasing their chance of a second-half turnaround. Additionally, the home team averages 0.83 goals before the break this season versus 0.2 for the visitors and have scored 9 goals by half-time (visitors 2), suggesting they can convert chances and close out the match in the second half.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Philadelphia Union II | New York City II | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
New York City II is 125% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Philadelphia Union II · 1.8 pts / match - New York City II
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
New York City II is 18% better for: goals scored per match.
1.15 goals / match - Philadelphia Union II · 1.36 goals / match - New York City II
Philadelphia Union II is 60% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.08 goals / match - Philadelphia Union II · 1.73 goals / match - New York City II
Philadelphia Union II scores in 77% of matches (10 of 13 matches), while New York City II keeps a clean sheet in 18% (2 of 11 matches).
New York City II scores in 73% of matches (8 of 11 matches), while Philadelphia Union II keeps a clean sheet in 15% (2 of 13 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Philadelphia Union II
Over / Under - New York City II
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
New York City II is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.31 pts / match - Philadelphia Union II · 1.45 pts / match - New York City II
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Philadelphia Union II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
New York City II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 3.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +5 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Philadelphia Union II
New York City II
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS Next Pro).
Teams vs league
| Philadelphia Union II | Liga | New York City II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.23 | 3.23 | ▼ 3.09 |
| Both teams scored | • 62% | 62% | ▲ 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 46% | 65% | • 64% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 15% | 21% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 77% | 75% | ▼ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 62% | 83% | ▼ 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Philadelphia Union II 3 - 0 - 0 New York City II. Average goals 4.67, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Philadelphia Union II vs New York City II?
The MLS Next Pro match finished Philadelphia Union II 0:1 New York City II. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Philadelphia Union II and New York City II?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Philadelphia Union II won 3, New York City II won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Philadelphia Union II vs New York City II?
Philadelphia Union II score 1.15 goals per game on average and New York City II 1.36. The MLS Next Pro average is 3.23 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 62% of Philadelphia Union II's matches and 64% of New York City II's.
What form are Philadelphia Union II and New York City II in?
Over the last 5 games Philadelphia Union II have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and New York City II 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Philadelphia Union II vs New York City II?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Philadelphia Union II vs New York City II: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.