Philadelphia Union vs Nashville SC: match statistics
Philadelphia Union vs Nashville SC: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Philadelphia Union played Nashville SC in MLS (United States). The match was played on 2 May 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Philadelphia Union: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Nashville SC: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Philadelphia Union scores 0.90 and concedes 1.70 goals per match. Nashville SC scores 2.33 and concedes 0.67. League average: 3.23 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Philadelphia Union 60%, Nashville SC 44%. Over 2.5: Philadelphia Union 60%, Nashville SC 56%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 62%.
xG, shots and style
Philadelphia Union has higher xG: 1.57 vs 1.49. Philadelphia Union: 13.8 shots per match, Nashville SC: 12.7.
Match halves
Philadelphia Union: half-time lead 10%, second-half goals 0.70. Nashville SC: half-time lead 56%, second-half goals 1.22.
Goals by minute
Philadelphia Union: 76-90+ (4 goals). Nashville SC: 16-30 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS: 3.23 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 62%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back an away win (Nashville SC): on the road this season they have 7 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, and in the last 5 matches they are 4-1 with 9 goals scored. Home side Philadelphia have only 1 win, 2 draws and 7 losses at home, scored 9 and conceded 17, with poor home form (run 'llld'). The gap is most pronounced in defense and efficiency — Nashville concedes 0.4 goals on average away and keep clean sheets in 60% of away games, whereas Philadelphia concede 1.25 at home and have 25% clean sheets. Offensively Philadelphia attempt more shots on average (14.5 vs 10.6) and have higher xG at home (1.69 vs 1.27), but convert that into just 0.5 goals with a 3% conversion rate, while Nashville score 1.0 goal on average away with a 9% conversion and 4.6 shots on target. Considering PPG in the last 5 matches (Nashville 2.4 vs Philadelphia 1.0), superior defense and higher efficiency, I assess the probabilities as: away win 65%, draw 20%, home win 15%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I predict No BTTS with a 60% vs 40% probability, because Nashville’s defense has a clear advantage in key metrics. Nashville keeps a clean sheet in 60% of matches and concedes only 0.4 goals per game on average, totaling 6 goals conceded this season, with a season BTTS rate of 20%, which strongly supports No Goal. Philadelphia has the better attack on paper (xG 1.76, averaging 15.25 shots and 7.25 shots on target per game with a high conversion rate of 26%) and a 75% BTTS rate at home, but the last 5 matches show Nashville in form (WWWWL) with 9 goals scored in that period. Given the visitors’ dominant clean sheet indicator and the low 0.4 average goals conceded, I rate the No BTTS signal as stronger than the home side’s offensive signals.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I base this on xG: Philadelphia xG_for 1.76 vs Nashville xG_against 1.10, and Nashville xG_for 1.27 vs Philadelphia xG_against 0.91; the averages of these pairs yield expected goals Home 1.43 and Away 1.09, totaling 2.52. A Poisson model at total 2.52 gives probabilities Over 1.5 ≈72%, Over 2.5 ≈46% and Over 3.5 ≈25%, therefore the strongest signal is at the 1.5 line. Philadelphia averages 15.25 shots with 7.25 on target and has a conversion rate of 26%, which, given xG 1.76, increases the risk of home goals; their matches this season have 100% over 1.5 goals. Nashville averages 10.6 shots (4.6 on target) with a 9% conversion and has a lower BTTS rate (20%), so they have less ability to respond, though their xG_against 1.10 does not rule out conceding. Given the 72% chance of Over 1.5 and strong support from the home team's shots and conversion stats, I recommend backing the over at 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Philadelphia led at the break in 4 of 4 home matches this season (100%) and scored 11 first-half goals, averaging 2.25 goals in the first half, while Nashville averages only 0.2 first-half goals. Over the full 90 minutes the hosts score 4.0 goals per home game and have a 100% home win rate, whereas the away side scores 1.0 goals on the road and keeps a clean sheet in 60% of away matches. xG favors Philly 1.76 to 1.27 for Nashville, and shots on target 7.25 to 4.6, along with a high conversion rate of 26% versus 9%, confirm the hosts’ efficiency advantage. Given the hosts’ dominance in the first half and the conversion edge, the 1/1 HT/FT (lead at the break and full-time victory for the hosts) is assessed as the strongest scenario and therefore assigned the highest probability.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Philadelphia Union | Nashville SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 27% | 46% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Nashville SC is 140% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Philadelphia Union · 2.4 pts / match - Nashville SC
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Nashville SC is 159% better for: goals scored per match.
0.9 goals / match - Philadelphia Union · 2.33 goals / match - Nashville SC
Nashville SC is 154% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.7 goals / match - Philadelphia Union · 0.67 goals / match - Nashville SC
Philadelphia Union scores in 60% of matches (6 of 10 matches), while Nashville SC keeps a clean sheet in 44% (4 of 9 matches).
Nashville SC scores in 78% of matches (7 of 9 matches), while Philadelphia Union keeps a clean sheet in 10% (1 of 10 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Philadelphia Union
Over / Under - Nashville SC
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Nashville SC is 233% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.6 pts / match - Philadelphia Union · 2 pts / match - Nashville SC
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Philadelphia Union - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 10% of matches and wins 10%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Nashville SC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 56% of matches and wins 78%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Philadelphia Union
Nashville SC
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).
Teams vs league
| Philadelphia Union | Liga | Nashville SC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.60 | 3.23 | ▼ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | • 60% | 59% | ▼ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 60% | 62% | ▼ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 10% | 23% | ▲ 44% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 75% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 77% | • 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Philadelphia Union vs Nashville SC?
The MLS match finished Philadelphia Union 0:0 Nashville SC. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Philadelphia Union vs Nashville SC?
Philadelphia Union score 0.90 goals per game on average and Nashville SC 2.33. The MLS average is 3.23 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Philadelphia Union's matches and 44% of Nashville SC's.
What form are Philadelphia Union and Nashville SC in?
Over the last 5 games Philadelphia Union have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Nashville SC 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Philadelphia Union vs Nashville SC?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.