Phoenix Rising vs Las Vegas Lights: match statistics
Phoenix Rising vs Las Vegas Lights: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Phoenix Rising played Las Vegas Lights in USL Championship (United States). The match was played on 11 October 2026. Venue: Phoenix Rising Soccer Complex. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Phoenix Rising: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Las Vegas Lights: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Phoenix Rising scores 1.33 and concedes 1.48 goals per match. Las Vegas Lights scores 1.30 and concedes 1.41. League average: 2.71 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Phoenix Rising 63%, Las Vegas Lights 63%. Over 2.5: Phoenix Rising 56%, Las Vegas Lights 48%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Phoenix Rising has higher xG: 1.46 vs 1.42. Phoenix Rising: 12.7 shots per match, Las Vegas Lights: 12.3.
Match halves
Phoenix Rising: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.81. Las Vegas Lights: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Phoenix Rising: 76-90+ (12 goals). Las Vegas Lights: 31-45+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL Championship: 2.71 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 5 previous H2H matches were available: 1-3-1. Average goals 1.20, BTTS 40%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Phoenix Rising have a clear home advantage: they win 46% of their home matches and score an average of 1.77 goals, while Las Vegas Lights lose 54% of their away games and concede 1.85 goals in them. The hosts also create better chances, averaging 1.75 xG at home compared with the visitors’ 1.26 on the road, and register more shots on target — 5.85 versus 3.38 per match. Las Vegas can point to their recent form: they have scored 7 goals and conceded 6 over their last five league matches, while Phoenix have scored 5 and conceded as many as 10. The hosts’ recent defensive struggles boost the visitors’ chances, as they average 1.54 goals away from home, but their own defensive issues and lower quality of chances created tilt the forecast towards a Phoenix win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams record BTTS more often than the league average of 54%: Phoenix Rising in 57% of matches and Las Vegas Lights in 69%. The visitors have scored in 92% of their games, while the hosts have found the net in 79%, so the risk of either side failing to score is relatively low. Phoenix average 1.07 goals scored, but face a defence conceding 1.85 goals per match; Las Vegas, meanwhile, score an average of 1.54 goals against a defence conceding 1.00. Recent form also supports BTTS - Yes: across their previous five matches, Phoenix conceded an average of 2.0 goals and saw BTTS in 80% of games, compared with 60% for the visitors. Phoenix’s clean sheets in 36% of matches are a notable caveat, but the advantage in scoring metrics and BTTS frequency points to both teams getting on the scoresheet.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal is Over 1.5 goals: this line has been cleared in 71% of Phoenix matches and 85% of Las Vegas matches. The hosts generate an average of 1.57 xG, while the visitors allow opponents 1.55 xG, which supports Phoenix scoring despite their modest average of just 1.07 goals scored. Las Vegas average 1.54 goals scored, while Phoenix have conceded an average of 2.0 goals over their last five matches. Higher lines are less compelling: Over 2.5 goals has landed in 36% of the hosts’ matches and 62% of the visitors’ matches, while Over 3.5 has landed in 7% and 46%, respectively. Therefore, with a projected total of 2.78 goals, I favour Over 1.5 without assuming a similarly strong chance of four goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome: Phoenix Rising were level at the break in 8 of 14 matches (57%), compared with 5 of 13 (38%) for Las Vegas Lights. Over the season, the hosts have conceded an average of 1.00 goals per match, compared with 1.85 for the visitors, which favors Phoenix over the full 90 minutes. The xG figures support this: Phoenix average 1.57 expected goals against Las Vegas’s 1.26, while the visitors allow opponents an xG of 1.55. Las Vegas concede an average of 1.15 goals after half-time and keep a clean sheet in 38% of matches, whereas Phoenix do not concede in the second half in 71% of their games. The teams’ last five appearances temper confidence in this pick, as the visitors averaged 1.4 points per match compared with 0.8 for the hosts; however, the season-long data points to an X/1 HT/FT scenario.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Phoenix Rising | Las Vegas Lights | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Las Vegas Lights is 75% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Phoenix Rising · 1.4 pts / match - Las Vegas Lights
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Las Vegas Lights is 5% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.48 goals / match - Phoenix Rising · 1.41 goals / match - Las Vegas Lights
Phoenix Rising scores in 78% of matches (21 of 27 matches), while Las Vegas Lights keeps a clean sheet in 30% (8 of 27 matches).
Las Vegas Lights scores in 85% of matches (23 of 27 matches), while Phoenix Rising keeps a clean sheet in 19% (5 of 27 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Phoenix Rising
Over / Under - Las Vegas Lights
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Las Vegas Lights is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.15 pts / match - Phoenix Rising · 1.26 pts / match - Las Vegas Lights
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Phoenix Rising - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Las Vegas Lights - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Phoenix Rising
Las Vegas Lights
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).
Teams vs league
| Phoenix Rising | Liga | Las Vegas Lights | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.81 | 2.71 | • 2.70 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 54% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 56% | 50% | ▼ 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 28% | ▲ 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 70% | 66% | ▲ 81% |
| Goal after half-time | • 78% | 78% | ▼ 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): Phoenix Rising 1 - 3 - 1 Las Vegas Lights. Average goals 1.20, both teams scored in 40% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Phoenix Rising vs Las Vegas Lights?
The USL Championship match finished Phoenix Rising 3:2 Las Vegas Lights. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Phoenix Rising and Las Vegas Lights?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Phoenix Rising won 1, Las Vegas Lights won 1 and 3 ended level. These games averaged 1.20 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Phoenix Rising vs Las Vegas Lights?
Phoenix Rising score 1.33 goals per game on average and Las Vegas Lights 1.30. The USL Championship average is 2.71 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Phoenix Rising's matches and 63% of Las Vegas Lights's.
What form are Phoenix Rising and Las Vegas Lights in?
Over the last 5 games Phoenix Rising have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Las Vegas Lights 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Phoenix Rising vs Las Vegas Lights?
The statistical background for Phoenix Rising vs Las Vegas Lights — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.