Phoenix Rising vs Louisville City: match statistics
Phoenix Rising vs Louisville City: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Phoenix Rising played Louisville City in USL Championship (United States). The match was played on 11 June 2026. Venue: Phoenix Rising Soccer Complex. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Phoenix Rising: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Louisville City: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Phoenix Rising scores 1.36 and concedes 1.09 goals per match. Louisville City scores 1.67 and concedes 1.67. League average: 2.74 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Phoenix Rising 45%, Louisville City 58%. Over 2.5: Phoenix Rising 45%, Louisville City 50%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Louisville City has higher xG: 1.93 vs 1.41. Phoenix Rising: 11.6 shots per match, Louisville City: 15.9.
Match halves
Phoenix Rising: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.91. Louisville City: half-time lead 8%, second-half goals 0.92.
Goals by minute
Phoenix Rising: 76-90+ (5 goals). Louisville City: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL Championship: 2.74 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Phoenix Rising has a clear defensive edge in this match: the hosts concede an average of 0.8 goals per home game (xG against 1.17) and record 40% clean sheets, while Louisville City concedes 1.83 goals per away game on average and has only 17% clean sheets. Offensively the teams are comparable — Phoenix scores 1.8 goals per home game on average with an xG of 1.69 and 6.4 shots on target, and Louisville averages 1.83 goals on the road with an xG of 1.8 but only 4.33 shots on target per game; conversion for both teams is 13%. Form over the last five matches favors the hosts: Phoenix scored 5 goals and has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in five games (1.4 points per game), while Louisville scored 9 and conceded 10 in five games with one win and 0.8 points per game. Additionally both teams have 0% share of matches without scoring in their respective contexts (hosts at home and visitors away), which suggests both sides should find the net; average total goals are 2.6 in Phoenix’s matches and 3.67 in Louisville’s away games. Considering the hosts’ lower GA (0.8 vs 1.83), superior shots on target (6.4 vs 4.33) and higher points in the last five (1.4 vs 0.8), I tip a Phoenix victory as the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal BTTS indicators show a wide spread: Phoenix Rising has 33% BTTS versus Louisville City 83%, with a league average of 54%, giving a strong signal in favor of the visitors. In the last 5 matches Phoenix has BTTS 40% with averages of 1.0 goals scored and 1.8 conceded, while Louisville has BTTS 60% with 1.8 scored and 2.0 conceded, indicating both teams have recently been creating scoring opportunities. xG analysis shows Phoenix generates 2.07 xG per match with 0.88 xG against, and Louisville generates 1.80 xG with 1.24 xG against, so both sides possess attacking potential relative to the opponent’s defense. Season goal numbers (Phoenix 15 scored and 12 conceded, Louisville 20 scored and 20 conceded) and a low clean sheet percentage for both teams (17% versus the league 56%) suggest a higher probability of goals from both sides, while the league average goals 2.74 confirms a moderate tendency toward goalscoring matches. Considering Louisville’s very high seasonal BTTS 83%, the league average 54%, recent form and xG, I assess BTTS probability at 68% for "yes" and 32% for "no", therefore I recommend a "yes" bet.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I back the Over and select the 1.5 line as the best option: both teams have a season rate of matches over 1.5 goals at 83% (Phoenix 83%, Louisville 83%), which is a strong signal. Calculated xG give 1.66 xG for the home side (Phoenix 2.07 xG; Louisville concedes on average 1.24 xG) and 1.34 xG for the visitors (Louisville 1.80 xG; Phoenix concedes on average 0.88 xG), totalling 3.00 xG, i.e. above the league average of 2.74. Phoenix averages 17.17 shots with 5.67 on target, and Louisville 14.67 with 4.33 on target; with conversion rates of 9% and 13% this confirms a sufficient number of chances to produce goals. Louisville has 83% of matches with goals from both teams, and both sides have only 17% clean sheets, which increases the likelihood of goals at both ends; therefore I rate Over 1.5 at 88% and Over 2.5 at 62%. Overall the strongest signal is Over 1.5, because the high 83% rate and 3.00 expected goals provide the best risk-to-reward balance.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time appears most likely — the home side record a half-time draw in 50% of matches and the visitors in 67%, with average first-half goals of 0.67 (home) and 0.83 (away). Over the full 90 minutes the home team are favorites: Phoenix have a 50% home win rate versus Louisville’s 33% and a higher xG (2.07 vs 1.80), which, together with an advantage in shots 17.17–14.67 and shots on target 5.67–4.33, supports a turnaround in their favor after the break. Additionally, the hosts are more decisive in the second half — home teams’ second halves feature at least one goal in 100% of matches, and Phoenix have scored 3 goals in minutes 76–90, while the visitors show both teams scoring in 83% of their matches, indicating an open finish but with an edge to the home side. Consequently I assign the Half-Time/Full-Time scenario draw at half-time and home win (X/1) the highest probability at 36%, with other significant options being draw/draw 20% and home leading at the break and holding on 1/1 at 18%.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Phoenix Rising | Louisville City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Phoenix Rising is 900% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Phoenix Rising · 0.2 pts / match - Louisville City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Louisville City is 23% better for: goals scored per match.
1.36 goals / match - Phoenix Rising · 1.67 goals / match - Louisville City
Phoenix Rising is 53% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.09 goals / match - Phoenix Rising · 1.67 goals / match - Louisville City
Phoenix Rising scores in 82% of matches (9 of 11 matches), while Louisville City keeps a clean sheet in 17% (2 of 12 matches).
Louisville City scores in 75% of matches (9 of 12 matches), while Phoenix Rising keeps a clean sheet in 36% (4 of 11 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Phoenix Rising
Over / Under - Louisville City
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Phoenix Rising is 53% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.27 pts / match - Phoenix Rising · 0.83 pts / match - Louisville City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Phoenix Rising - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Louisville City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 8% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Phoenix Rising
Louisville City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).
Teams vs league
| Phoenix Rising | Liga | Louisville City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.45 | 2.74 | ▲ 3.33 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 45% | 55% | ▲ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 45% | 53% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 36% | 28% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 82% | 68% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 73% | 79% | ▲ 92% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Phoenix Rising 0 - 0 - 1 Louisville City. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Phoenix Rising vs Louisville City?
The USL Championship match finished Phoenix Rising 0:2 Louisville City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Phoenix Rising vs Louisville City?
Phoenix Rising score 1.36 goals per game on average and Louisville City 1.67. The USL Championship average is 2.74 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Phoenix Rising's matches and 58% of Louisville City's.
What form are Phoenix Rising and Louisville City in?
Over the last 5 games Phoenix Rising have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Louisville City 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Phoenix Rising vs Louisville City?
The statistical background for Phoenix Rising vs Louisville City — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.