Phoenix Rising vs San Antonio: match statistics
Phoenix Rising vs San Antonio: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Phoenix Rising played San Antonio in USL Championship (United States). The match was played on 10 May 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Phoenix Rising: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. San Antonio: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Phoenix Rising scores 1.50 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. San Antonio scores 1.22 and concedes 0.89. League average: 2.73 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Phoenix Rising 50%, San Antonio 33%. Over 2.5: Phoenix Rising 50%, San Antonio 33%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
San Antonio has higher xG: 1.44 vs 1.29. Phoenix Rising: 10.4 shots per match, San Antonio: 13.3.
Match halves
Phoenix Rising: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 1.13. San Antonio: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Phoenix Rising: 76-90+ (4 goals). San Antonio: 76-90+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL Championship: 2.73 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 5 previous H2H matches were available: 3-0-2. Average goals 2.80, BTTS 60%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Phoenix Rising has a clear home advantage in the underlying metrics: at home they average 6 shots on target and 2.0 goals per match with a conversion rate of 18%, while San Antonio away records only 2.5 shots on target and 0.75 goals with a 7% conversion. Additionally, Phoenix are unbeaten at home (0% losses; 33% wins, 67% draws) and have average xG 1.47 per match versus xG against 1.21, whereas San Antonio away have xG 1.13 and xG against 1.55, indicating the visitors create fewer high-quality chances. Crucially, San Antonio fail to score in 75% of away games, while Phoenix have 0% goalless home matches, strongly favoring the hosts. In the last five fixtures Phoenix scored 7 and conceded 3, averaging 1.8 points per match, and San Antonio scored 6 and conceded 7 with an average of 1.2 points per match. Considering chance quality (6 vs 2.5 shots on target), efficiency (18% vs 7%) and the xG differential, I predict a home win with a probability distribution of 65% - 20% - 15%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Phoenix averages 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match, while San Antonio scores only 0.75 and concedes 1.0, giving the home side a clear advantage. San Antonio failed to score in 75% of their season matches, and the percentage of matches with both teams scoring is only 25% for the visitors versus 40% for Phoenix; additionally Phoenix kept a clean sheet in 60% of matches, and in the last 5 matches Phoenix had 0% BTTS. xG and shot data support this: Phoenix has xG 1.7 and averages 5.0 shots on target with an 11% conversion, while San Antonio has xG 1.13 and 2.5 shots on target with a 7% conversion, meaning the visitors create less and finish worse. In the last 5 matches Phoenix scored 7 and conceded 3, and San Antonio scored 6 and conceded 7, which further suggests the hosts more often hold the opponent to zero, so I assess BTTS at around 20% and recommend a "No" bet.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I project 1.63 goals for Phoenix Rising and 1.20 for San Antonio (hosts’ xG 1.70 and away xG conceded 1.55: (1.70+1.55)/2 = 1.625 ≈ 1.63; similarly (1.13+1.27)/2 = 1.20), giving a total expected goals of 2.83. The 2.83 total is above the league average of 2.73 and supports an over scenario; hosts average 5.0 shots on target and 15.2 shots per match with a conversion rate of 11%, while San Antonio average 2.5 shots on target, 11.0 shots and a 7% conversion. Season percentages show Phoenix over 1.5 occurred in 60% of games and San Antonio in 50%, whereas over 2.5 occurred in only 40% and 25% respectively, explaining the moderate probability for Over 2.5 (~54%). A Poisson model on the 2.83 xG gives roughly 77% for Over 1.5, about 54% for Over 2.5 and about 31% for Over 3.5, so the strongest and most valuable signal from the data is Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Half-time statistics show Phoenix Rising draw at the break in 60% of matches and lead at the break in 40%, with 0% of cases trailing at the break, so the most likely score at 45 minutes is a draw. Over the full match the home side have a clear advantage: they score on average 1.6 goals per game with xG 1.7 versus San Antonio’s 0.75 goals and xG 1.13, and their win rate is 60% compared to the visitors’ 25%. Additionally, Phoenix averages 5.0 shots on target per game with a conversion rate of 11% (San Antonio 2.5 SOT and 7% conversion), and in the second half the hosts average 1.0 goal and score at least once after the break in 80% of matches. Considering the frequent half-time draws (60%) and the hosts’ second-half dominance (higher xG, more SOT and 1.0 second-half goals on average), the strongest signal from the data is a draw at half-time and a Phoenix Rising win at full-time (X/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Phoenix Rising | San Antonio | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Phoenix Rising is 67% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Phoenix Rising · 1.2 pts / match - San Antonio
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Phoenix Rising is 23% better for: goals scored per match.
1.5 goals / match - Phoenix Rising · 1.22 goals / match - San Antonio
San Antonio is 12% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Phoenix Rising · 0.89 goals / match - San Antonio
Phoenix Rising scores in 88% of matches (7 of 8 matches), while San Antonio keeps a clean sheet in 56% (5 of 9 matches).
San Antonio scores in 56% of matches (5 of 9 matches), while Phoenix Rising keeps a clean sheet in 38% (3 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Phoenix Rising
Over / Under - San Antonio
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
San Antonio is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.38 pts / match - Phoenix Rising · 1.56 pts / match - San Antonio
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Phoenix Rising - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
San Antonio - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Phoenix Rising
San Antonio
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).
Teams vs league
| Phoenix Rising | Liga | San Antonio | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.50 | 2.73 | ▼ 2.11 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 56% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 55% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 27% | ▲ 56% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 68% | ▼ 56% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 81% | ▼ 56% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): Phoenix Rising 3 - 0 - 2 San Antonio. Average goals 2.80, both teams scored in 60% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Phoenix Rising vs San Antonio?
The USL Championship match finished Phoenix Rising 1:1 San Antonio. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Phoenix Rising and San Antonio?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Phoenix Rising won 3, San Antonio won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.80 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Phoenix Rising vs San Antonio?
Phoenix Rising score 1.50 goals per game on average and San Antonio 1.22. The USL Championship average is 2.73 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Phoenix Rising's matches and 33% of San Antonio's.
What form are Phoenix Rising and San Antonio in?
Over the last 5 games Phoenix Rising have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and San Antonio 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Phoenix Rising vs San Antonio?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Phoenix Rising vs San Antonio: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.