Piast Gliwice vs Arka Gdynia: match statistics
Piast Gliwice vs Arka Gdynia: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Piast Gliwice played Arka Gdynia in Ekstraklasa (Poland). The match was played on 27 April 2026. Final score: 4:1.
Current form
Piast Gliwice: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Arka Gdynia: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Piast Gliwice scores 1.21 and concedes 1.34 goals per match. Arka Gdynia scores 1.03 and concedes 1.72. League average: 2.72 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Piast Gliwice 55%, Arka Gdynia 48%. Over 2.5: Piast Gliwice 52%, Arka Gdynia 62%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Piast Gliwice has higher xG: 1.70 vs 1.30. Piast Gliwice: 14.7 shots per match, Arka Gdynia: 10.7.
Match halves
Piast Gliwice: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.83. Arka Gdynia: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.59.
Goals by minute
Piast Gliwice: 76-90+ (12 goals). Arka Gdynia: 46-60 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ekstraklasa: 2.72 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Piast Gliwice holds a clear advantage in home metrics: they average 1.07 goals per home match and generate xG 1.78, while Arka scores only 0.57 goals away with xG 1.22. Defensively the gap is significant — Arka concedes on average 2.29 goals away, whereas Piast concedes 1.14 at home, about 1.15 goals fewer per game. Piast also creates more chances (avg. 15.93 shots and 3.5 on target at home) versus Arka (10.36 shots and 2.93 on target away) with higher possession 56% vs 48%, despite similar shot conversion rates (approx. 7% vs 6%). Form trends confirm the home side’s edge: in the last 5 matches Piast scored 8 goals and averages 1.4 points per game (2 wins), while Arka has 5 goals and 1.0 point (1 win) and fails to score in 64% of away fixtures. Considering higher xG, superior home defence and advantage in chance creation, I forecast a Piast win 65%, draw 20% and Arka win 15%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Piast has a home BTTS rate of 67% and BTTS in 80% of last 5 matches, with average goals scored 1.47 and xG 1.38, strongly indicating the hosts will find the net. Arka averages only 0.57 goals away and fails to score in 64% of away matches, with a season BTTS of just 29%; despite xG 1.22 and low conversion 6%, chances do not translate into consistent goals. Additionally, Arka concedes 2.29 goals per match on average versus Piast’s 1.2, so Piast’s advantage in chance creation (4.0 shots on target vs 2.93 for Arka) points to the hosts scoring, not necessarily both teams. Form comparison shows mixed signals (Piast L5: 80% BTTS vs Arka L5: 40% BTTS), but Arka’s very high share of matches without a goal (64%) is strong enough to favor a one-sided scoring scenario. I therefore assign 40% probability to BTTS - Yes and 60% to BTTS - No, selecting 'No' as more likely.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Averaging xG signals and seasonal means yields expected goals of 1.74 for Piast and 1.22 for Arka (total 2.96). The basis is concrete figures: Piast has xG 1.38, Arka xG_for 1.22, while xG against are 1.56 for Piast and 1.88 for Arka; additionally seasonally Piast scores 1.47 goals and Arka concedes 2.29. Seasonal percentages confirm a goal-prone trend — Over 1.5 in 73% of Piast’s matches and 71% of Arka’s, and Over 2.5 in 67% and 57%; in the last 5 matches Over 2.5 occurred in 60% (Piast) and 80% (Arka). Piast is also more efficient in finishing chances (conversion 13% vs 6% for Arka), which raises the home side’s scoring probability, so the strongest signal from the data is Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Piast is the clear favorite: they have a 53% win rate this season versus Arka's 7% and average 1.47 goals per match with 1.93 points per match, while Arka averages 0.57 goals and 0.36 points per match. At halftime Piast led in 47% of matches, Arka led in 0%, and the average first-half goals are 0.73 for Piast versus 0.14 for Arka, with Arka conceding on average 1.21 goals before the break. xG stands at 1.38 for Piast versus 1.22 for Arka, and Piast averages 4.0 shots on target compared to Arka’s 2.93, with a conversion rate of 13% versus 6% — the home side creates and converts chances better. Arka lose 79% of matches and concede on average 2.29 goals per game, which increases the likelihood that Piast will hold the lead and win. Therefore I project HT/FT 1/1 as the strongest scenario (~52%); alternatively a draw at the break followed by a Piast victory is possible (~22%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Piast Gliwice | Arka Gdynia | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 26% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Piast Gliwice is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Piast Gliwice · 1 pts / match - Arka Gdynia
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Piast Gliwice is 17% better for: goals scored per match.
1.21 goals / match - Piast Gliwice · 1.03 goals / match - Arka Gdynia
Piast Gliwice is 28% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.34 goals / match - Piast Gliwice · 1.72 goals / match - Arka Gdynia
Piast Gliwice scores in 69% of matches (20 of 29 matches), while Arka Gdynia keeps a clean sheet in 21% (6 of 29 matches).
Arka Gdynia scores in 59% of matches (17 of 29 matches), while Piast Gliwice keeps a clean sheet in 24% (7 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Piast Gliwice
Over / Under - Arka Gdynia
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Arka Gdynia is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.93 pts / match - Piast Gliwice · 1.07 pts / match - Arka Gdynia
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Piast Gliwice - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Arka Gdynia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Piast Gliwice
Arka Gdynia
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ekstraklasa).
Teams vs league
| Piast Gliwice | Liga | Arka Gdynia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.55 | 2.72 | • 2.76 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 55% | 58% | ▼ 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 52% | 52% | ▲ 62% |
| Clean sheets | • 24% | 24% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 62% | 73% | • 72% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 77% | ▼ 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Piast Gliwice 0 - 0 - 1 Arka Gdynia. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Piast Gliwice vs Arka Gdynia?
The Ekstraklasa match finished Piast Gliwice 4:1 Arka Gdynia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Piast Gliwice vs Arka Gdynia?
Piast Gliwice score 1.21 goals per game on average and Arka Gdynia 1.03. The Ekstraklasa average is 2.72 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Piast Gliwice's matches and 48% of Arka Gdynia's.
What form are Piast Gliwice and Arka Gdynia in?
Over the last 5 games Piast Gliwice have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Arka Gdynia 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Piast Gliwice vs Arka Gdynia?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Piast Gliwice vs Arka Gdynia: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.