Picerno vs Atalanta II: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates very even chances for both teams, pointing towards a draw. Picerno plays at home with a 43% draw rate in home matches, which is the highest rate among all results. Atalanta II has weaker efficiency in away matches (0.93 goals per match) and a high 47% loss rate, but the recent form of both teams is similar (Picerno 1.4 PPG, Atalanta II 1.6 PPG in the last 5 matches). The goal difference for both teams is nearly identical (Picerno -1, Atalanta II -2), and the average xG shows a balanced quality of play. Considering the average of 2.5 goals per match for the hosts and Atalanta II's scoring difficulties away from home, I expect a tight, balanced encounter ending in a split of points.
Picerno vs Atalanta II: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Picerno played Atalanta II in Serie C Group C (Italy). The match was played on 5 March 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Picerno: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Atalanta II: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Picerno scores 1.17 and concedes 1.55 goals per match. Atalanta II scores 1.38 and concedes 1.24. League average: 2.47 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Picerno 62%, Atalanta II 48%. Over 2.5: Picerno 59%, Atalanta II 38%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Atalanta II has higher xG: 1.55 vs 1.14. Picerno: 9.0 shots per match, Atalanta II: 12.8.
Match halves
Picerno: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.45. Atalanta II: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.69.
Goals by minute
Picerno: 16-30 (9 goals). Atalanta II: 16-30 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group C: 2.47 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 8.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates very even chances for both teams, pointing towards a draw. Picerno plays at home with a 43% draw rate in home matches, which is the highest rate among all results. Atalanta II has weaker efficiency in away matches (0.93 goals per match) and a high 47% loss rate, but the recent form of both teams is similar (Picerno 1.4 PPG, Atalanta II 1.6 PPG in the last 5 matches). The goal difference for both teams is nearly identical (Picerno -1, Atalanta II -2), and the average xG shows a balanced quality of play. Considering the average of 2.5 goals per match for the hosts and Atalanta II's scoring difficulties away from home, I expect a tight, balanced encounter ending in a split of points.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Picerno | Atalanta II | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Atalanta II is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Picerno · 1.6 pts / match - Atalanta II
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atalanta II is 18% better for: goals scored per match.
1.17 goals / match - Picerno · 1.38 goals / match - Atalanta II
Atalanta II is 25% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.55 goals / match - Picerno · 1.24 goals / match - Atalanta II
Picerno scores in 72% of matches (21 of 29 matches), while Atalanta II keeps a clean sheet in 21% (6 of 29 matches).
Atalanta II scores in 62% of matches (18 of 29 matches), while Picerno keeps a clean sheet in 17% (5 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Picerno
Over / Under - Atalanta II
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Picerno - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 24%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Atalanta II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (10 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Picerno
Atalanta II
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group C).
Teams vs league
| Picerno | Liga | Atalanta II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.72 | 2.47 | ▲ 2.62 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 62% | 48% | • 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 59% | 47% | ▼ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 30% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 65% | ▼ 62% |
| Goal after half-time | • 79% | 78% | ▼ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Picerno 0 - 0 - 1 Atalanta II. Average goals 8.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Picerno vs Atalanta II?
The Serie C Group C match finished Picerno 1:1 Atalanta II. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Picerno vs Atalanta II?
Picerno score 1.17 goals per game on average and Atalanta II 1.38. The Serie C Group C average is 2.47 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 62% of Picerno's matches and 48% of Atalanta II's.
What form are Picerno and Atalanta II in?
Over the last 5 games Picerno have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Atalanta II 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Picerno vs Atalanta II?
The statistical background for Picerno vs Atalanta II — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.