Picerno vs Audace Cerignola: match statistics
Audace Cerignola holds a decisive advantage in this matchup. The visitors demonstrate significantly superior away efficiency, boasting a 44% win rate and a -1 goal difference, whereas Picerno secures victory in just 11% of home fixtures with a disastrous -5 differential. The hosts have failed to record a single clean sheet on their own turf, conceding an average of 1.78 goals per match; combined with their poor form (56% home defeat rate), this renders them highly vulnerable. Audace Cerignola possesses superior xG statistics (1.4 vs 1.26) and a higher shot conversion rate, while their 33% clean sheet record on the road highlights their defensive solidity. Recent form (0.8 vs 1.0 PPG) further tilts the scales in favor of the visitors. Weighing all metrics, an Audace Cerignola win emerges as the most probable outcome.
Picerno vs Audace Cerignola: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Picerno played Audace Cerignola in Serie C Group C (Italy). The match was played on 3 January 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Picerno: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Audace Cerignola: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Picerno scores 1.16 and concedes 1.95 goals per match. Audace Cerignola scores 1.16 and concedes 1.47. League average: 2.59 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Picerno 68%, Audace Cerignola 53%. Over 2.5: Picerno 68%, Audace Cerignola 53%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Audace Cerignola has higher xG: 1.53 vs 1.14. Picerno: 9.0 shots per match, Audace Cerignola: 13.1.
Match halves
Picerno: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.53. Audace Cerignola: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.74.
Goals by minute
Picerno: 16-30 (6 goals). Audace Cerignola: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group C: 2.59 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Audace Cerignola holds a decisive advantage in this matchup. The visitors demonstrate significantly superior away efficiency, boasting a 44% win rate and a -1 goal difference, whereas Picerno secures victory in just 11% of home fixtures with a disastrous -5 differential. The hosts have failed to record a single clean sheet on their own turf, conceding an average of 1.78 goals per match; combined with their poor form (56% home defeat rate), this renders them highly vulnerable. Audace Cerignola possesses superior xG statistics (1.4 vs 1.26) and a higher shot conversion rate, while their 33% clean sheet record on the road highlights their defensive solidity. Recent form (0.8 vs 1.0 PPG) further tilts the scales in favor of the visitors. Weighing all metrics, an Audace Cerignola win emerges as the most probable outcome.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Picerno | Audace Cerignola | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Audace Cerignola is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Picerno · 1.6 pts / match - Audace Cerignola
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Audace Cerignola is 33% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.95 goals / match - Picerno · 1.47 goals / match - Audace Cerignola
Picerno scores in 74% of matches (14 of 19 matches), while Audace Cerignola keeps a clean sheet in 32% (6 of 19 matches).
Audace Cerignola scores in 68% of matches (13 of 19 matches), while Picerno keeps a clean sheet in 5% (1 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Picerno
Over / Under - Audace Cerignola
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Picerno is 26% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.26 pts / match - Picerno · 1 pts / match - Audace Cerignola
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Picerno - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 16%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Audace Cerignola - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Picerno
Audace Cerignola
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group C).
Teams vs league
| Picerno | Liga | Audace Cerignola | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.11 | 2.59 | • 2.63 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 68% | 53% | • 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 68% | 51% | ▲ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 5% | 27% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 89% | 69% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 79% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Picerno 0 - 1 - 0 Audace Cerignola. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Picerno vs Audace Cerignola?
The Serie C Group C match finished Picerno 1:1 Audace Cerignola. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Picerno vs Audace Cerignola?
Picerno score 1.16 goals per game on average and Audace Cerignola 1.16. The Serie C Group C average is 2.59 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 68% of Picerno's matches and 53% of Audace Cerignola's.
What form are Picerno and Audace Cerignola in?
Over the last 5 games Picerno have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Audace Cerignola 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Picerno vs Audace Cerignola?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Picerno vs Audace Cerignola: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.