Picerno vs Catania: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Picerno played Catania in Serie C Group C (Italy). The match was played on 29 November 2025. Final score: 0:1.

Current form

Picerno: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Catania: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Picerno scores 1.33 and concedes 2.13 goals per match. Catania scores 1.73 and concedes 0.53. League average: 2.61 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Picerno 73%, Catania 20%. Over 2.5: Picerno 80%, Catania 33%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 53%.

xG, shots and style

Catania has higher xG: 1.48 vs 1.17. Picerno: 9.5 shots per match, Catania: 11.3.

Match halves

Picerno: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.60. Catania: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 0.93.

Goals by minute

Picerno: 16-30 (6 goals). Catania: 61-75 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie C Group C: 2.61 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 53%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

0 : 1
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

62Possession (%)38
PicernoCatania
7Shots11
PicernoCatania
3Shots on target5
PicernoCatania
1.29xG1.68
PicernoCatania
2Corners6
PicernoCatania
86Dangerous attacks87
PicernoCatania
22Fouls23
PicernoCatania
1Cards4
PicernoCatania

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.33Goals scored / match1.73
PicernoCatania
2.13Goals conceded / match0.53
PicernoCatania
50%Average possession46%
PicernoCatania
2.93Shots on target / match4.6
PicernoCatania

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.47Shots per match11.33
PicernoCatania
2.93Shots on target4.6
PicernoCatania
14.1%Shot conversion15.3%
PicernoCatania
50%Possession46%
PicernoCatania
1.17xG for1.48
PicernoCatania
1.63xG against1.01
PicernoCatania

Shooting quality

Picerno: Efficient finishingCatania: Counter-attacking
PicernoCatania
Accuracy (shots on target)31%41%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.450.38

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Catania is 150% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / match - Picerno · 2 pts / match - Catania

Picerno
LDLLW
Season result split
20% W27% D53% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-4-8
0.87 pts / match · goal difference -12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-3-3
Last 5 at home
1-2-2
DWLDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 1.06Opponent xG: 1.60BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
Catania
WDWLW
Season result split
60% W27% D13% L
Season (W-D-L)
9-4-2
2.07 pts / match · goal difference +18
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-3-2
Last 5 away
1-3-1
DDWDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.33Opponent xG: 0.90BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Catania is 30% better for: goals scored per match.

1.33 goals / match - Picerno · 1.73 goals / match - Catania

Catania is 302% better for: goals conceded per match.

2.13 goals / match - Picerno · 0.53 goals / match - Catania

Picerno scoring profile: mixed

Picerno scores in 80% of matches (12 of 15 matches), while Catania keeps a clean sheet in 73% (11 of 15 matches).

Catania scoring profile: very strong

Catania scores in 80% of matches (12 of 15 matches), while Picerno keeps a clean sheet in 7% (1 of 15 matches).

20Goals scored (season)26
PicernoCatania
32Goals conceded (season)8
PicernoCatania
3.47Average goals in match2.27
PicernoCatania
8Goals scored (last 5)6
PicernoCatania
12Goals conceded (last 5)3
PicernoCatania

How often they score at least...

80%1 goal80%
PicernoCatania
53%2 goals47%
PicernoCatania
0%3 goals20%
PicernoCatania
0%4 goals13%
PicernoCatania

How often they concede at least...

93%1 goal27%
PicernoCatania
80%2 goals13%
PicernoCatania
20%3 goals7%
PicernoCatania
7%4 goals7%
PicernoCatania

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

20%BTTS at half-time7%
PicernoCatania
0%BTTS in both halves7%
PicernoCatania
27%Scored in both halves40%
PicernoCatania

BTTS and goal count

73%Min. 3 goals and BTTS13%
PicernoCatania
7%Min. 3 goals without BTTS20%
PicernoCatania
80%BTTS - last 520%
PicernoCatania

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

100%Min. 1 goal before half-time67%
PicernoCatania
53%Min. 2 goals before half-time20%
PicernoCatania
27%Min. 3 goals before half-time7%
PicernoCatania

2nd half

93%Min. 1 goal after half-time67%
PicernoCatania
47%Min. 2 goals after half-time40%
PicernoCatania
13%Min. 3 goals after half-time13%
PicernoCatania

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Catania is 42% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.27 pts / match - Picerno · 1.8 pts / match - Catania

Picerno - half-time state
40% leading7% draw53% trailing
Catania - half-time state
47% leading40% draw13% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.27Points per match (1st half)1.8
PicernoCatania
0.73Goals scored (1st half)0.8
PicernoCatania
1.13Goals conceded (1st half)0.2
PicernoCatania
1.87Average goals (1st half)1
PicernoCatania
33%Clean sheet before half-time80%
PicernoCatania
47%No goal before half-time47%
PicernoCatania

After half-time (2nd half)

1.27Points per match (2nd half)1.87
PicernoCatania
0.6Goals scored (2nd half)0.93
PicernoCatania
1Goals conceded (2nd half)0.33
PicernoCatania
1.6Average goals (2nd half)1.27
PicernoCatania
33%Clean sheet after half-time80%
PicernoCatania
47%No goal after half-time33%
PicernoCatania

Picerno - second-half results

33% W27% D40% L
19
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
-6
Goal difference (1st half)
19
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.27
PPG before half-time
Lead holding50%

Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 20%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Catania - second-half results

47% W47% D7% L
27
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
+9
Goal difference (1st half)
28
Second-half points
+9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.80
PPG before half-time
Lead holding128%

Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Picerno - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.000.80
Goals scored / match1.20.4
Goals conceded / match0.61.8
Average goals in match1.82.2
1 goal100%100%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+3-7
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 6
Catania - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.40
Goals scored / match0.60.6
Goals conceded / match0.40.2
Average goals in match1.00.8
1 goal80%40%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+1+2
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 80% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Picerno
ScoredConceded
3
5
0-15
6
7
16-30
2
5
31-45
1
5
46-60
3
4
61-75
5
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Catania
ScoredConceded
4
1
0-15
3
0
16-30
5
2
31-45
2
2
46-60
6
0
61-75
6
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.86
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.9 : 1.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
110%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
47%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
64%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Picerno

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.46
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.34
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.16
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.50
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
89%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
192%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.07
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

Catania

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.47
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.73
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-10.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.25
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.48
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
156%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
35%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.07
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group C).

Teams vs league

PicernoLigaCatania
Average goals in match 3.472.61 2.27
Both teams scored 73%51% 20%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 80%53% 33%
Clean sheets 7%29% 73%
Goal before half-time 100%65% 67%
Goal after half-time 93%79% 67%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.61
Average goals per match
51%
Both teams scored
53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
29%
Clean sheets
1.50
Home goals / match
1.11
Away goals / match
+35%
Home attack advantage
+26%
Home defence advantage
+11%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
65%
1 goal
31%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
20%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. PicernoSubstitutionOn: Antonio EnergeOff: Leo Abreu
  2. CataniaYellow cardGabriel Lunetta
  3. PicernoYellow cardEmmanuele Esposito
  4. CataniaYellow cardKaleb Jimenez
  5. CataniaYellow cardAndrea Allegretto
  6. PicernoSubstitutionOn: Angelo VeltriOff: Antonio Granata
  7. PicernoSubstitutionOn: Samuel PuglieseOff: Emmanuele Esposito
  8. CataniaYellow cardFrancesco Di Tacchio
  9. CataniaSubstitutionOn: Matteo StoppaOff: Kaleb Jimenez

FAQ

What was the result of Picerno vs Catania?

The Serie C Group C match finished Picerno 0:1 Catania. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Picerno vs Catania?

Picerno score 1.33 goals per game on average and Catania 1.73. The Serie C Group C average is 2.61 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 73% of Picerno's matches and 20% of Catania's.

What form are Picerno and Catania in?

Over the last 5 games Picerno have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Catania 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Picerno vs Catania?

The statistical background for Picerno vs Catania — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.