Picerno vs Crotone: match statistics
Crotone are in significantly better form, averaging 2.6 points per match in their last five games compared to just 1.6 points for Picerno. The visitors have won four of their last five matches and remain unbeaten, while the hosts are inconsistent with a ddwlw form. Picerno have a negative goal difference at home (-3) and only a 17% win rate in home matches, indicating serious issues. Crotone have a 38% win rate in away matches, averaging 1.62 goals per game and a positive goal difference (+6). A higher shot conversion rate (14% vs 11%) and better xG statistics (1.52 vs 1.30) further support the visitors. Considering all the data, Crotone have a clear advantage and should secure all three points in this encounter.
Picerno vs Crotone: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Picerno played Crotone in Serie C Group C (Italy). The match was played on 14 February 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Picerno: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Crotone: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Picerno scores 1.15 and concedes 1.62 goals per match. Crotone scores 1.42 and concedes 0.88. League average: 2.49 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Picerno 62%, Crotone 35%. Over 2.5: Picerno 58%, Crotone 42%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Crotone has higher xG: 1.44 vs 1.14. Picerno: 9.0 shots per match, Crotone: 11.3.
Match halves
Picerno: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.46. Crotone: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.65.
Goals by minute
Picerno: 16-30 (9 goals). Crotone: 16-30 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group C: 2.49 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Crotone are in significantly better form, averaging 2.6 points per match in their last five games compared to just 1.6 points for Picerno. The visitors have won four of their last five matches and remain unbeaten, while the hosts are inconsistent with a ddwlw form. Picerno have a negative goal difference at home (-3) and only a 17% win rate in home matches, indicating serious issues. Crotone have a 38% win rate in away matches, averaging 1.62 goals per game and a positive goal difference (+6). A higher shot conversion rate (14% vs 11%) and better xG statistics (1.52 vs 1.30) further support the visitors. Considering all the data, Crotone have a clear advantage and should secure all three points in this encounter.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Picerno | Crotone | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Crotone is 63% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Picerno · 2.6 pts / match - Crotone
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Crotone is 23% better for: goals scored per match.
1.15 goals / match - Picerno · 1.42 goals / match - Crotone
Crotone is 84% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.62 goals / match - Picerno · 0.88 goals / match - Crotone
Picerno scores in 73% of matches (19 of 26 matches), while Crotone keeps a clean sheet in 42% (11 of 26 matches).
Crotone scores in 69% of matches (18 of 26 matches), while Picerno keeps a clean sheet in 15% (4 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Picerno
Over / Under - Crotone
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Crotone is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.42 pts / match - Picerno · 1.62 pts / match - Crotone
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Picerno - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 23%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Crotone - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 46%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 20% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (9 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Picerno
Crotone
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group C).
Teams vs league
| Picerno | Liga | Crotone | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.77 | 2.49 | ▼ 2.31 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 62% | 49% | ▼ 35% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 58% | 48% | ▼ 42% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 15% | 30% | ▲ 42% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 81% | 66% | ▼ 58% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 81% | 78% | ▲ 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Picerno 0 - 0 - 1 Crotone. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Picerno vs Crotone?
The Serie C Group C match finished Picerno 3:1 Crotone. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Picerno vs Crotone?
Picerno score 1.15 goals per game on average and Crotone 1.42. The Serie C Group C average is 2.49 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 62% of Picerno's matches and 35% of Crotone's.
What form are Picerno and Crotone in?
Over the last 5 games Picerno have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Crotone 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Picerno vs Crotone?
The statistical background for Picerno vs Crotone — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.