Picerno vs Potenza Calcio: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates balanced chances for both teams, with a slight advantage for a draw. Picerno shows poor home form with just 9% of wins at home; however, in their last five matches, they have not lost once, recording four draws and one victory. Potenza Calcio has a disastrous away record with 67% of losses and has not kept a single clean sheet on the road, which points to major defensive issues. Picerno has a better average of goals conceded at home (1.55) than Potenza away (2.33), giving the hosts a defensive edge. Considering that Picerno has drawn in 45% of their home matches and Potenza in 25% of their away matches, and taking into account the current form of both sides, the most probable outcome is a share of the points. The xG values for both teams are very close (1.31 vs 1.30), which further supports the draw forecast.
Picerno vs Potenza Calcio: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Picerno played Potenza Calcio in Serie C Group C (Italy). The match was played on 1 February 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Picerno: 1-4-0, 1.40 points/match. Potenza Calcio: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Picerno scores 1.13 and concedes 1.74 goals per match. Potenza Calcio scores 1.26 and concedes 1.48. League average: 2.49 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Picerno 65%, Potenza Calcio 48%. Over 2.5: Picerno 61%, Potenza Calcio 57%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Potenza Calcio has higher xG: 1.47 vs 1.15. Picerno: 9.2 shots per match, Potenza Calcio: 13.0.
Match halves
Picerno: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.48. Potenza Calcio: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.57.
Goals by minute
Picerno: 16-30 (8 goals). Potenza Calcio: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group C: 2.49 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates balanced chances for both teams, with a slight advantage for a draw. Picerno shows poor home form with just 9% of wins at home; however, in their last five matches, they have not lost once, recording four draws and one victory. Potenza Calcio has a disastrous away record with 67% of losses and has not kept a single clean sheet on the road, which points to major defensive issues. Picerno has a better average of goals conceded at home (1.55) than Potenza away (2.33), giving the hosts a defensive edge. Considering that Picerno has drawn in 45% of their home matches and Potenza in 25% of their away matches, and taking into account the current form of both sides, the most probable outcome is a share of the points. The xG values for both teams are very close (1.31 vs 1.30), which further supports the draw forecast.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Picerno | Potenza Calcio | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Picerno is 75% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Picerno · 0.8 pts / match - Potenza Calcio
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Potenza Calcio is 12% better for: goals scored per match.
1.13 goals / match - Picerno · 1.26 goals / match - Potenza Calcio
Potenza Calcio is 18% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.74 goals / match - Picerno · 1.48 goals / match - Potenza Calcio
Picerno scores in 74% of matches (17 of 23 matches), while Potenza Calcio keeps a clean sheet in 30% (7 of 23 matches).
Potenza Calcio scores in 65% of matches (15 of 23 matches), while Picerno keeps a clean sheet in 13% (3 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Picerno
Over / Under - Potenza Calcio
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Picerno - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 17%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Potenza Calcio - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 30%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Picerno
Potenza Calcio
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group C).
Teams vs league
| Picerno | Liga | Potenza Calcio | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.87 | 2.49 | ▲ 2.74 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 65% | 50% | ▼ 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 61% | 48% | ▲ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 29% | • 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 65% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 78% | • 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Picerno 0 - 0 - 1 Potenza Calcio. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Picerno vs Potenza Calcio?
The Serie C Group C match finished Picerno 2:0 Potenza Calcio. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Picerno vs Potenza Calcio?
Picerno score 1.13 goals per game on average and Potenza Calcio 1.26. The Serie C Group C average is 2.49 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 65% of Picerno's matches and 48% of Potenza Calcio's.
What form are Picerno and Potenza Calcio in?
Over the last 5 games Picerno have a 1-4-0 record (1.40 points per game) and Potenza Calcio 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Picerno vs Potenza Calcio?
The statistical background for Picerno vs Potenza Calcio — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.