Italy - Serie C Group CStadio Comunale Donato CurcioData current as of 22 October 2026

Picerno vs Salernitana: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Picerno vs Salernitana: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Picerno play Salernitana in Serie C Group C (Italy). The match date is 26 October 2026. Venue: Stadio Comunale Donato Curcio.

Current form

Picerno: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Salernitana: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Picerno scores 1.70 and concedes 1.80 goals per match. Salernitana scores 1.40 and concedes 1.20. League average: 2.88 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Picerno 70%, Salernitana 80%. Over 2.5: Picerno 70%, Salernitana 50%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 55%.

xG, shots and style

Salernitana has higher xG: 1.84 vs 1.42. Picerno: 11.0 shots per match, Salernitana: 15.5.

Match halves

Picerno: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.90. Salernitana: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.70.

Goals by minute

Picerno: 31-45+ (4 goals). Salernitana: 0-15 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie C Group C: 2.88 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 55%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.64)
(3.24)
(2.30)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.7Goals scored / match1.4
PicernoSalernitana
1.8Goals conceded / match1.2
PicernoSalernitana
50%Average possession49%
PicernoSalernitana
4Shots on target / match5
PicernoSalernitana

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11Shots per match15.5
PicernoSalernitana
4Shots on target5
PicernoSalernitana
15.5%Shot conversion9%
PicernoSalernitana
50%Possession49%
PicernoSalernitana
1.42xG for1.84
PicernoSalernitana
1.68xG against1.66
PicernoSalernitana

Shooting quality

Picerno: Efficient finishingSalernitana: Attacking
PicernoSalernitana
Accuracy (shots on target)36%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.420.28

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Salernitana is 167% better for: last-5 form.

0.6 pts / match - Picerno · 1.6 pts / match - Salernitana

Picerno
LWLLL
Season result split
40% W0% D60% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-0-6
1.20 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-0-2
Last 5 at home
3-0-2
WWLWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.21Opponent xG: 1.64BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
Salernitana
WLWDD
Season result split
30% W50% D20% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-5-2
1.40 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-3-1
Last 5 away
0-3-1
DDLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 2.14Opponent xG: 1.62BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Picerno is 21% better for: goals scored per match.

1.7 goals / match - Picerno · 1.4 goals / match - Salernitana

Salernitana is 50% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.8 goals / match - Picerno · 1.2 goals / match - Salernitana

Picerno scoring profile: very strong

Picerno scores in 80% of matches (8 of 10 matches), while Salernitana keeps a clean sheet in 20% (2 of 10 matches).

Salernitana scoring profile: very strong

Salernitana scores in 90% of matches (9 of 10 matches), while Picerno keeps a clean sheet in 10% (1 of 10 matches).

17Goals scored (season)14
PicernoSalernitana
18Goals conceded (season)12
PicernoSalernitana
3.5Average goals in match2.6
PicernoSalernitana
6Goals scored (last 5)6
PicernoSalernitana
10Goals conceded (last 5)5
PicernoSalernitana

How often they score at least...

80%1 goal90%
PicernoSalernitana
60%2 goals30%
PicernoSalernitana
20%3 goals10%
PicernoSalernitana
10%4 goals10%
PicernoSalernitana

How often they concede at least...

90%1 goal80%
PicernoSalernitana
50%2 goals40%
PicernoSalernitana
20%3 goals0%
PicernoSalernitana
20%4 goals0%
PicernoSalernitana

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

55%
League average

Goal patterns

30%BTTS at half-time30%
PicernoSalernitana
20%BTTS in both halves10%
PicernoSalernitana
40%Scored in both halves10%
PicernoSalernitana

BTTS and goal count

70%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
PicernoSalernitana
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
PicernoSalernitana
80%BTTS - last 560%
PicernoSalernitana

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

80%Min. 1 goal before half-time80%
PicernoSalernitana
60%Min. 2 goals before half-time30%
PicernoSalernitana
20%Min. 3 goals before half-time20%
PicernoSalernitana

2nd half

90%Min. 1 goal after half-time70%
PicernoSalernitana
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time40%
PicernoSalernitana
50%Min. 3 goals after half-time10%
PicernoSalernitana

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Picerno is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.3 pts / match - Picerno · 1.2 pts / match - Salernitana

Picerno - half-time state
30% leading40% draw30% trailing
Salernitana - half-time state
30% leading30% draw40% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.3Points per match (1st half)1.2
PicernoSalernitana
0.8Goals scored (1st half)0.7
PicernoSalernitana
0.8Goals conceded (1st half)0.7
PicernoSalernitana
1.6Average goals (1st half)1.4
PicernoSalernitana
50%Clean sheet before half-time40%
PicernoSalernitana
40%No goal before half-time50%
PicernoSalernitana

After half-time (2nd half)

1.3Points per match (2nd half)1.4
PicernoSalernitana
0.9Goals scored (2nd half)0.7
PicernoSalernitana
1Goals conceded (2nd half)0.5
PicernoSalernitana
1.9Average goals (2nd half)1.2
PicernoSalernitana
20%Clean sheet after half-time50%
PicernoSalernitana
40%No goal after half-time50%
PicernoSalernitana

Picerno - second-half results

40% W10% D50% L
13
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
13
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.30
PPG before half-time
Lead holding133%

Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Salernitana - second-half results

30% W50% D20% L
12
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
14
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.20
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Picerno - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.200.00
Goals scored / match0.80.4
Goals conceded / match0.61.4
Average goals in match1.41.8
1 goal60%100%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet60%0%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+1-5
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 0% draw - 100% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4
Salernitana - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.80
Goals scored / match0.40.8
Goals conceded / match0.80.2
Average goals in match1.21.0
1 goal80%40%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-2+3
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Picerno
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
3
1
16-30
4
5
31-45
3
4
46-60
2
4
61-75
4
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Salernitana
ScoredConceded
3
5
0-15
1
1
16-30
3
1
31-45
2
2
46-60
3
1
61-75
2
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.05
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
106%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
75%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-2%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
72%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Picerno

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.26
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.16
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.28
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.12
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
104%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
144%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.60
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 6% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

Salernitana

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.18
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.02
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.44
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.46
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
112%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
74%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.20
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
14% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 21% come in the first quarter-hour.
14%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group C).

Teams vs league

PicernoLigaSalernitana
Average goals in match▲ 3.502.88▼ 2.60
Both teams scored▲ 70%55%▲ 80%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 70%55%▼ 50%
Clean sheets▼ 10%28%▼ 20%
Goal before half-time▲ 80%74%▲ 80%
Goal after half-time▲ 90%74%▼ 70%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.88
Average goals per match
55%
Both teams scored
55%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.63
Home goals / match
1.25
Away goals / match
+30%
Home attack advantage
+23%
Home defence advantage
+20%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
25%
3 goals
10%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Picerno 0 - 0 - 2 Salernitana. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

When do Picerno and Salernitana play?

Picerno face Salernitana on 26 October 2026 in Serie C Group C at Stadio Comunale Donato Curcio. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Picerno and Salernitana?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Picerno won 0, Salernitana won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Picerno vs Salernitana?

Picerno score 1.70 goals per game on average and Salernitana 1.40. The Serie C Group C average is 2.88 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 70% of Picerno's matches and 80% of Salernitana's.

What form are Picerno and Salernitana in?

Over the last 5 games Picerno have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Salernitana 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Picerno vs Salernitana?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.