Pineto vs Forlì: match statistics
Pineto presents a solid disposition at their own stadium with a 38% win rate and a zero goal difference in home matches, testifying to their stability. Forlì, meanwhile, records poor results on away trips with only 21% wins, a negative goal difference of minus ten, and a high loss rate amounting to 57%. Additionally, the visitors fail to score goals in as many as 43% of their away matches, which constitutes a significant offensive weakness. Although Pineto's last five matches look weak overall, their home form remains significantly better than Forlì's away form. Taking all statistics into account, the hosts have the advantage, though the difference in team strength is not drastic, justifying a moderate probability of victory and a real chance of a draw.
Pineto vs Forlì: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Pineto played Forlì in Serie C Group B (Italy). The match was played on 4 March 2026. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Pineto: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Forlì: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Pineto scores 1.26 and concedes 1.22 goals per match. Forlì scores 1.22 and concedes 1.41. League average: 2.26 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Pineto 48%, Forlì 52%. Over 2.5: Pineto 41%, Forlì 44%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 38%.
xG, shots and style
Forlì has higher xG: 1.53 vs 1.28. Pineto: 10.4 shots per match, Forlì: 11.6.
Match halves
Pineto: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 0.33. Forlì: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.78.
Goals by minute
Pineto: 0-15 (11 goals). Forlì: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group B: 2.26 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 38%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Pineto presents a solid disposition at their own stadium with a 38% win rate and a zero goal difference in home matches, testifying to their stability. Forlì, meanwhile, records poor results on away trips with only 21% wins, a negative goal difference of minus ten, and a high loss rate amounting to 57%. Additionally, the visitors fail to score goals in as many as 43% of their away matches, which constitutes a significant offensive weakness. Although Pineto's last five matches look weak overall, their home form remains significantly better than Forlì's away form. Taking all statistics into account, the hosts have the advantage, though the difference in team strength is not drastic, justifying a moderate probability of victory and a real chance of a draw.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Pineto | Forlì | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Forlì is 167% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Pineto · 1.6 pts / match - Forlì
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Pineto is 16% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.22 goals / match - Pineto · 1.41 goals / match - Forlì
Pineto scores in 81% of matches (22 of 27 matches), while Forlì keeps a clean sheet in 22% (6 of 27 matches).
Forlì scores in 70% of matches (19 of 27 matches), while Pineto keeps a clean sheet in 33% (9 of 27 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Pineto
Over / Under - Forlì
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Pineto is 30% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.59 pts / match - Pineto · 1.22 pts / match - Forlì
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Pineto - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 37%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Forlì - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (11 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Pineto
Forlì
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group B).
Teams vs league
| Pineto | Liga | Forlì | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.48 | 2.26 | ▲ 2.63 |
| Both teams scored | • 48% | 49% | ▲ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 41% | 38% | ▲ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 30% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 89% | 64% | ▼ 56% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 59% | 71% | ▲ 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Pineto 0 - 1 - 0 Forlì. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Pineto vs Forlì?
The Serie C Group B match finished Pineto 3:2 Forlì. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Pineto vs Forlì?
Pineto score 1.26 goals per game on average and Forlì 1.22. The Serie C Group B average is 2.26 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Pineto's matches and 52% of Forlì's.
What form are Pineto and Forlì in?
Over the last 5 games Pineto have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Forlì 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Pineto vs Forlì?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Pineto vs Forlì: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.