Italy - Serie C Group BStadio Comunale Mimmo PavoneData current as of 26 September 2026

Pineto vs Grosseto: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Pineto vs Grosseto: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Pineto play Grosseto in Serie C Group B (Italy). The match date is 26 September 2026. Venue: Stadio Comunale Mimmo Pavone.

Current form

Pineto: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Grosseto: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Pineto scores 1.00 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Grosseto scores 1.50 and concedes 0.67. League average: 2.57 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Pineto 67%, Grosseto 50%. Over 2.5: Pineto 50%, Grosseto 33%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 47%.

xG, shots and style

Grosseto has higher xG: 1.83 vs 1.63. Pineto: 13.8 shots per match, Grosseto: 16.2.

Match halves

Pineto: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.67. Grosseto: half-time lead 67%, second-half goals 0.67.

Goals by minute

Pineto: 76-90+ (2 goals). Grosseto: 61-75 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie C Group B: 2.57 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 47%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1Goals scored / match1.5
PinetoGrosseto
1Goals conceded / match0.67
PinetoGrosseto
52%Average possession55%
PinetoGrosseto
5.5Shots on target / match5.83
PinetoGrosseto

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.83Shots per match16.17
PinetoGrosseto
5.5Shots on target5.83
PinetoGrosseto
7.2%Shot conversion9.3%
PinetoGrosseto
52%Possession55%
PinetoGrosseto
1.63xG for1.83
PinetoGrosseto
1.12xG against1.47
PinetoGrosseto

Shooting quality

Pineto: BalancedGrosseto: Dominant
PinetoGrosseto
Accuracy (shots on target)40%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.180.26

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Grosseto is 83% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - Pineto · 2.2 pts / match - Grosseto

Pineto
DLWDD
Season result split
17% W67% D17% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-4-1
1.17 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-2-0
Last 5 at home
1-2-0
DWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.82Opponent xG: 1.10BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%
Grosseto
WWDDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
50% W50% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-3-0
2.00 pts / match · goal difference +5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-0
Last 5 away
1-1-0
WD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.92Opponent xG: 1.59BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Grosseto is 50% better for: goals scored per match.

1 goals / match - Pineto · 1.5 goals / match - Grosseto

Grosseto is 49% better for: goals conceded per match.

1 goals / match - Pineto · 0.67 goals / match - Grosseto

Pineto scoring profile: mixed

Pineto scores in 67% of matches (4 of 6 matches), while Grosseto keeps a clean sheet in 50% (3 of 6 matches).

Grosseto scoring profile: very strong

Grosseto scores in 83% of matches (5 of 6 matches), while Pineto keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 matches).

6Goals scored (season)9
PinetoGrosseto
6Goals conceded (season)4
PinetoGrosseto
2Average goals in match2.17
PinetoGrosseto
6Goals scored (last 5)8
PinetoGrosseto
6Goals conceded (last 5)3
PinetoGrosseto

How often they score at least...

67%1 goal83%
PinetoGrosseto
33%2 goals67%
PinetoGrosseto
0%3 goals0%
PinetoGrosseto
0%4 goals0%
PinetoGrosseto

How often they concede at least...

67%1 goal50%
PinetoGrosseto
33%2 goals17%
PinetoGrosseto
0%3 goals0%
PinetoGrosseto
0%4 goals0%
PinetoGrosseto

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

33%BTTS at half-time0%
PinetoGrosseto
0%BTTS in both halves0%
PinetoGrosseto
0%Scored in both halves50%
PinetoGrosseto

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS33%
PinetoGrosseto
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
PinetoGrosseto
80%BTTS - last 540%
PinetoGrosseto

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

50%Min. 1 goal before half-time83%
PinetoGrosseto
50%Min. 2 goals before half-time17%
PinetoGrosseto
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
PinetoGrosseto

2nd half

50%Min. 1 goal after half-time83%
PinetoGrosseto
33%Min. 2 goals after half-time33%
PinetoGrosseto
17%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
PinetoGrosseto

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Grosseto is 161% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.83 pts / match - Pineto · 2.17 pts / match - Grosseto

Pineto - half-time state
0% leading83% draw17% trailing
Grosseto - half-time state
67% leading17% draw17% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.83Points per match (1st half)2.17
PinetoGrosseto
0.33Goals scored (1st half)0.83
PinetoGrosseto
0.67Goals conceded (1st half)0.17
PinetoGrosseto
1Average goals (1st half)1
PinetoGrosseto
50%Clean sheet before half-time83%
PinetoGrosseto
67%No goal before half-time33%
PinetoGrosseto

After half-time (2nd half)

1.5Points per match (2nd half)1.83
PinetoGrosseto
0.67Goals scored (2nd half)0.67
PinetoGrosseto
0.33Goals conceded (2nd half)0.5
PinetoGrosseto
1Average goals (2nd half)1.17
PinetoGrosseto
67%Clean sheet after half-time67%
PinetoGrosseto
67%No goal after half-time33%
PinetoGrosseto

Pineto - second-half results

33% W50% D17% L
5
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
9
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.83
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time-0.3

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Grosseto - second-half results

50% W33% D17% L
13
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
11
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.17
PPG before half-time
Lead holding75%

Leads at half-time in 67% of matches and wins 50%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Pineto - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.60
Goals scored / match0.40.8
Goals conceded / match0.80.4
Average goals in match1.21.2
1 goal60%60%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-2+2
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2
Grosseto - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.601.60
Goals scored / match1.00.6
Goals conceded / match0.00.6
Average goals in match1.01.2
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%60%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+50
Half-time: 80% leading - 20% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Pineto
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
0
3
16-30
1
1
31-45
1
0
46-60
1
0
61-75
2
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Grosseto
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
2
0
16-30
2
1
31-45
1
1
46-60
3
1
61-75
0
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.08
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.8 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
81%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
59%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
56%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Pineto

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.51
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.51
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.63
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.12
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
67%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
93%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.03
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

Grosseto

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.36
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.47
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.33
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.80
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
140%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
45%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.20
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group B).

Teams vs league

PinetoLigaGrosseto
Average goals in match▼ 2.002.57▼ 2.17
Both teams scored▲ 67%57%▼ 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 50%47%▼ 33%
Clean sheets▲ 33%26%▲ 50%
Goal before half-time▼ 50%72%▲ 83%
Goal after half-time▼ 50%75%▲ 83%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.57
Average goals per match
57%
Both teams scored
47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.50
Home goals / match
1.07
Away goals / match
+40%
Home attack advantage
+29%
Home defence advantage
+26%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
37%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Pineto and Grosseto play?

Pineto face Grosseto on 26 September 2026 in Serie C Group B at Stadio Comunale Mimmo Pavone. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Pineto vs Grosseto?

Pineto score 1.00 goals per game on average and Grosseto 1.50. The Serie C Group B average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Pineto's matches and 50% of Grosseto's.

What form are Pineto and Grosseto in?

Over the last 5 games Pineto have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Grosseto 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Pineto vs Grosseto?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.