Pineto vs Sambenedettese: match statistics
Pineto vs Sambenedettese: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Pineto played Sambenedettese in Serie C Group B (Italy). The match was played on 29 March 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Pineto: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Sambenedettese: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Pineto scores 1.32 and concedes 1.23 goals per match. Sambenedettese scores 0.78 and concedes 1.06. League average: 2.27 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Pineto 52%, Sambenedettese 41%. Over 2.5: Pineto 45%, Sambenedettese 22%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 39%.
xG, shots and style
Sambenedettese has higher xG: 1.33 vs 1.32. Pineto: 10.8 shots per match, Sambenedettese: 10.8.
Match halves
Pineto: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 0.45. Sambenedettese: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.41.
Goals by minute
Pineto: 0-15 (11 goals). Sambenedettese: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group B: 2.27 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 39%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Pineto have clearly better seasonal stats and last-five form (4 wins, PPG 2.4) and a higher goal tally (41 vs 25), indicating an attacking advantage. At home they average 1.53 goals with better conversion and lower FTS (13% vs 25%), reducing the risk of a goalless match. Sambenedettese score less (PPG 1) and have limited away efficiency (1.06 goals per match), although they draw often (high Draw% 44%). xG and shots indicate Pineto create more chances, while the visitors’ defense is adequate but not stable enough to fully shut down the hosts. Considering all factors, a home win is more likely, with moderate draw risk and low chance of an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Stats indicate moderate probability of one-sided scoring: Sambenedettese have poor scoring form (gf_last5_away 2, last5_scoredAVG_away 0.4) despite seasonScoredAVG_away 1.06; Pineto improved recently (last5_seasonScoredAVG_home 1.6, gf_last5_home 8) but season scoring is low (seasonScoredAVG_home 0.5). Combined xG (~2.65) suggests limited high-quality chances and defensive metrics (seasonConcededAVG ~1.06) plus high league CS 59% favor NO. Divergent BTTS rates (Pineto season 25% vs Sambenedettese 56%; last5 Pineto 60% vs Samb 20%) signal defensive hosts and visiting inefficiency. Recommend NO.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
xG analysis shows moderately high scoring potential for both sides (home xG 1.38 vs away 1.27), yielding total expected goals ~2.65, favoring Over 1.5. Home team records more shots and SOT (11.25/3.81 vs 10.06/3.19) and has higher recent goal averages over last5, increasing odds of at least two goals. Season stats show guests have higher Over 1.5 rate (69%), while overall Over 2.5 is less certain due to low season Over 2.5 rates for both. BTTS moderate (notably away) which raises probability of goals from both sides and confirms Over 1.5 as the strongest signal. Based on xG, shot activity and recent form, recommend Over 1.5 as the most certain play.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The stats strongly indicate a draw at half-time: high drawAtHT percentages (Pineto 63%, Sambenedettese 56%) and low first-half goal averages (AVGHT_home 0.5, AVGHT_away 1.19). Sambenedettese have better seasonal metrics, higher win share and greater average goals per match, giving them the edge in the second half. Additionally away BTTS 56% and superior ppg_2hg_away suggest visitors often recover or win late. Considering the visitors’ full-match advantage and the HT draw tendency, the most likely HT/FT outcome is draw/away win (X/2). Probability distribution reflects a strong X/2 signal while full-time draw or home comeback remain less likely scenarios.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Pineto | Sambenedettese | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.22 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Pineto is 140% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - Pineto · 1 pts / match - Sambenedettese
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Pineto is 69% better for: goals scored per match.
1.32 goals / match - Pineto · 0.78 goals / match - Sambenedettese
Sambenedettese is 16% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.23 goals / match - Pineto · 1.06 goals / match - Sambenedettese
Pineto scores in 81% of matches (25 of 31 matches), while Sambenedettese keeps a clean sheet in 25% (8 of 32 matches).
Sambenedettese scores in 53% of matches (17 of 32 matches), while Pineto keeps a clean sheet in 29% (9 of 31 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Pineto
Over / Under - Sambenedettese
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Pineto is 49% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.58 pts / match - Pineto · 1.06 pts / match - Sambenedettese
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Pineto - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Sambenedettese - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 19%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (11 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Pineto
Sambenedettese
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group B).
Teams vs league
| Pineto | Liga | Sambenedettese | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.55 | 2.27 | ▼ 1.84 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 52% | 50% | ▼ 41% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 45% | 39% | ▼ 22% |
| Clean sheets | • 29% | 30% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 84% | 62% | ▼ 47% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 65% | 72% | ▼ 56% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Pineto 0 - 1 - 0 Sambenedettese. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Pineto vs Sambenedettese?
The Serie C Group B match finished Pineto 0:0 Sambenedettese. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Pineto vs Sambenedettese?
Pineto score 1.32 goals per game on average and Sambenedettese 0.78. The Serie C Group B average is 2.27 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 39% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Pineto's matches and 41% of Sambenedettese's.
What form are Pineto and Sambenedettese in?
Over the last 5 games Pineto have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Sambenedettese 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Pineto vs Sambenedettese?
The statistical background for Pineto vs Sambenedettese — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.