Piratas vs Atlético Zacatepec: match statistics
Piratas vs Atlético Zacatepec: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Piratas played Atlético Zacatepec in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The match was played on 4 October 2026. Final score: 4:0.
Current form
Piratas: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Atlético Zacatepec: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Piratas scores 1.20 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Atlético Zacatepec scores 0.80 and concedes 1.80. League average: 3.16 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Piratas 40%, Atlético Zacatepec 40%. Over 2.5: Piratas 40%, Atlético Zacatepec 50%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 61%.
xG, shots and style
Piratas has higher xG: 1.77 vs 1.36. Piratas: 15.8 shots per match, Atlético Zacatepec: 12.4.
Match halves
Piratas: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.80. Atlético Zacatepec: half-time lead 10%, second-half goals 0.70.
Goals by minute
Piratas: 76-90+ (4 goals). Atlético Zacatepec: 46-60 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ascenso MX: 3.16 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 61%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Piratas have won 3 of their 4 home matches, while Atlético Zacatepec have lost 4 of their 5 away games, clearly tipping the balance in the hosts’ favour. At home, Piratas average 1.75 goals scored and 0.75 conceded, whereas the visitors manage just 0.8 goals per game away from home and concede 2.4. The hosts’ advantage is also reflected in the quality of chances: their home xG stands at 1.97, compared with 1.14 for Atlético away, while their xG conceded is 0.75 and 1.78, respectively. Piratas average 7 shots on target per home match, more than twice Atlético’s 3.2 away from home. In their last five matches, the hosts have scored 8 goals and won twice, while the visitors have scored 4 and lost 3. As a result, a Piratas win is the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have recorded BTTS in 40% of their matches this season, below the league average of 56%. The biggest obstacle to goals at both ends is Atlético Zacatepec’s attack: the visitors average 0.8 goals and failed to score in 40% of their matches. Piratas have kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games and limit opponents to chances worth an average of 0.93 xG, further reducing the visitors’ chances of scoring. The hosts have greater attacking potential, with an xG of 1.64 compared with 1.14 for their opponents, while Atlético concede an average of 2.4 goals. However, a Piratas goal alone would not be enough for BTTS - Yes. Although both sides have scored in 80% and 60% of their respective teams’ last five matches, the visitors’ lower scoring output supports a BTTS - No pick: at least one team is expected not to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Under 3.5 goals: 80% of both teams’ matches finished with no more than three goals. Piratas pose a greater attacking threat, averaging 1.64 xG compared with Atlético Zacatepec’s 1.14 xG, while the visitors concede an average of 2.4 goals per match. At the same time, both teams average just 0.8 goals scored per game this season, limiting the likelihood of a very high-scoring game despite the visitors’ defensive weaknesses. In their last five matches, the hosts averaged 1.6 goals scored, while the visitors conceded 2.2, making two Piratas goals a realistic prospect; however, the projected total of 2.60 goals still supports the selected line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome: Piratas were level at the break in 40% of their matches, compared with 60% for Atlético Zacatepec. The visitors did not score before half-time in any of the five matches covered by the statistics, while the hosts averaged just 0.2 goals in that period, strengthening the case for a goalless first half. After the break, the advantage should shift to Piratas, as Atlético concede an average of 1.8 goals in second halves and lost 80% of their matches overall. The hosts also post a higher average xG, reflecting the quality of chances created—1.64 compared with their opponents’ 1.14—and take 15 shots per match versus 9.8. Therefore, a draw at half-time followed by a Piratas win at full-time is a stronger signal than the hosts leading at the break.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Piratas | Atlético Zacatepec | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Piratas is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Piratas · 0.8 pts / match - Atlético Zacatepec
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Piratas is 50% better for: goals scored per match.
1.2 goals / match - Piratas · 0.8 goals / match - Atlético Zacatepec
Piratas is 80% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Piratas · 1.8 goals / match - Atlético Zacatepec
Piratas scores in 60% of matches (6 of 10 matches), while Atlético Zacatepec keeps a clean sheet in 30% (3 of 10 matches).
Atlético Zacatepec scores in 70% of matches (7 of 10 matches), while Piratas keeps a clean sheet in 30% (3 of 10 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Piratas
Over / Under - Atlético Zacatepec
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Piratas is 38% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.1 pts / match - Piratas · 0.8 pts / match - Atlético Zacatepec
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Piratas - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Atlético Zacatepec - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 10% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Piratas
Atlético Zacatepec
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| Piratas | Liga | Atlético Zacatepec | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.20 | 3.16 | ▼ 2.60 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 40% | 56% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 40% | 61% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 30% | 24% | ▲ 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 70% | 74% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 50% | 79% | • 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Atlético ZacatepecSubstitutionOn: Diego Emmanuel Martinez RodriguezOff: Andrey Marcos Andrade Pereira
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Piratas vs Atlético Zacatepec?
The Ascenso MX match finished Piratas 4:0 Atlético Zacatepec. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Piratas vs Atlético Zacatepec?
Piratas score 1.20 goals per game on average and Atlético Zacatepec 0.80. The Ascenso MX average is 3.16 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Piratas's matches and 40% of Atlético Zacatepec's.
What form are Piratas and Atlético Zacatepec in?
Over the last 5 games Piratas have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Atlético Zacatepec 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Piratas vs Atlético Zacatepec?
The statistical background for Piratas vs Atlético Zacatepec — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.