Mexico - Ascenso MXData current as of 05 September 2026

Piratas vs Correcaminos UAT: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Piratas vs Correcaminos UAT: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Piratas play Correcaminos UAT in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The match date is 6 September 2026.

Current form

Piratas: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Correcaminos UAT: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Piratas scores 0.83 and concedes 0.67 goals per match. Correcaminos UAT scores 2.33 and concedes 1.50. League average: 3.17 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Piratas 17%, Correcaminos UAT 83%. Over 2.5: Piratas 17%, Correcaminos UAT 83%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 58%.

xG, shots and style

Piratas has higher xG: 1.72 vs 1.44. Piratas: 14.7 shots per match, Correcaminos UAT: 11.8.

Match halves

Piratas: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.67. Correcaminos UAT: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.33.

Goals by minute

Piratas: 61-75 (2 goals). Correcaminos UAT: 16-30 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ascenso MX: 3.17 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 58%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.52)
(3.95)
(5.25)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

PiratasCorrecaminos UAT
0.83Goals scored / match2.33
PiratasCorrecaminos UAT
0.67Goals conceded / match1.5
PiratasCorrecaminos UAT
57%Average possession44%
PiratasCorrecaminos UAT
5Shots on target / match5.17
PiratasCorrecaminos UAT

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

14.67Shots per match11.83
PiratasCorrecaminos UAT
5Shots on target5.17
PiratasCorrecaminos UAT
5.7%Shot conversion19.7%
PiratasCorrecaminos UAT
57%Possession44%
PiratasCorrecaminos UAT
1.72xG for1.44
PiratasCorrecaminos UAT
0.82xG against1.68
PiratasCorrecaminos UAT

Shooting quality

Piratas: DominantCorrecaminos UAT: Counter-attacking
PiratasCorrecaminos UAT
Accuracy (shots on target)34%44%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.170.45

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Correcaminos UAT is 43% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / match - Piratas · 2 pts / match - Correcaminos UAT

Piratas
WWLLD
Season result split
33% W33% R33% P
Season (W-D-L)
2-2-2
1.33 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-0-1
Last 5 at home
1-0-1
WL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.95Opponent xG: 0.91BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%
Correcaminos UAT
WWLWD
Season result split
50% W33% R17% P
Season (W-D-L)
3-2-1
1.83 pts / match · goal difference +5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-1-0
Last 5 away
2-1-0
DWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.31Opponent xG: 1.75BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Correcaminos UAT is 181% better for: goals scored per match.

0.83 goals / match - Piratas · 2.33 goals / match - Correcaminos UAT

Piratas is 124% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.67 goals / match - Piratas · 1.5 goals / match - Correcaminos UAT

Piratas scoring profile: strong

Piratas scores in 50% of matches (3 of 6 matches), while Correcaminos UAT keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 matches).

Correcaminos UAT scoring profile: strong

Correcaminos UAT scores in 83% of matches (5 of 6 matches), while Piratas keeps a clean sheet in 50% (3 of 6 matches).

5Goals scored (season)14
PiratasCorrecaminos UAT
4Goals conceded (season)9
PiratasCorrecaminos UAT
1.5Average goals in match3.83
PiratasCorrecaminos UAT
5Goals scored (last 5)11
PiratasCorrecaminos UAT
4Goals conceded (last 5)6
PiratasCorrecaminos UAT

How often they score at least...

50%1 goal83%
PiratasCorrecaminos UAT
17%2 goals83%
PiratasCorrecaminos UAT
17%3 goals67%
PiratasCorrecaminos UAT
0%4 goals0%
PiratasCorrecaminos UAT

How often they concede at least...

50%1 goal83%
PiratasCorrecaminos UAT
17%2 goals33%
PiratasCorrecaminos UAT
0%3 goals33%
PiratasCorrecaminos UAT
0%4 goals0%
PiratasCorrecaminos UAT

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

54%
League average

Goal patterns

17%BTTS at half-time50%
PiratasCorrecaminos UAT
0%BTTS in both halves17%
PiratasCorrecaminos UAT
0%Scored in both halves50%
PiratasCorrecaminos UAT

BTTS and goal count

0%Min. 3 goals and BTTS83%
PiratasCorrecaminos UAT
17%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
PiratasCorrecaminos UAT
20%BTTS - last 580%
PiratasCorrecaminos UAT

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

50%Min. 1 goal before half-time83%
PiratasCorrecaminos UAT
33%Min. 2 goals before half-time50%
PiratasCorrecaminos UAT
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time33%
PiratasCorrecaminos UAT

2nd half

33%Min. 1 goal after half-time83%
PiratasCorrecaminos UAT
17%Min. 2 goals after half-time67%
PiratasCorrecaminos UAT
17%Min. 3 goals after half-time50%
PiratasCorrecaminos UAT

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Correcaminos UAT is 173% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.67 pts / match - Piratas · 1.83 pts / match - Correcaminos UAT

Piratas - half-time state
0% leading67% draw33% trailing
Correcaminos UAT - half-time state
50% leading33% draw17% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.67Points per match (1st half)1.83
PiratasCorrecaminos UAT
0.17Goals scored (1st half)1
PiratasCorrecaminos UAT
0.67Goals conceded (1st half)0.67
PiratasCorrecaminos UAT
0.83Average goals (1st half)1.67
PiratasCorrecaminos UAT
50%Clean sheet before half-time33%
PiratasCorrecaminos UAT
83%No goal before half-time33%
PiratasCorrecaminos UAT

After half-time (2nd half)

1.67Points per match (2nd half)1.83
PiratasCorrecaminos UAT
0.67Goals scored (2nd half)1.33
PiratasCorrecaminos UAT
0Goals conceded (2nd half)0.83
PiratasCorrecaminos UAT
0.67Average goals (2nd half)2.17
PiratasCorrecaminos UAT
100%Clean sheet after half-time50%
PiratasCorrecaminos UAT
67%No goal after half-time33%
PiratasCorrecaminos UAT

Piratas - second-half results

33% W67% R0% P
4
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.67
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time-0.7

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Correcaminos UAT - second-half results

50% W33% R17% P
11
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
11
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.83
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Piratas - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.601.80
Goals scored / match0.20.8
Goals conceded / match0.80.0
Average goals in match1.00.8
1 goal60%40%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet40%100%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-3+4
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
Correcaminos UAT - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.002.00
Goals scored / match1.01.2
Goals conceded / match0.60.6
Average goals in match1.61.8
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals40%40%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+2+3
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Piratas
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
0
1
16-30
1
2
31-45
1
0
46-60
2
0
61-75
1
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Correcaminos UAT
ScoredConceded
0
2
0-15
4
0
16-30
2
2
31-45
0
0
46-60
4
3
61-75
4
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.67
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
84%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
42%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
9%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 11 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Piratas

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.90
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.74
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.89
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.15
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
47%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
47%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.07
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

Correcaminos UAT

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.24
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.07
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.89
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.18
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
164%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
86%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.17
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).

Teams vs league

PiratasLigaCorrecaminos UAT
Average goals in match 1.503.17 3.83
Both teams scored 17%54% 83%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 17%58% 83%
Clean sheets 50%26% 17%
Goal before half-time 50%73% 83%
Goal after half-time 33%73% 83%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.17
Average goals per match
54%
Both teams scored
58%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.75
Home goals / match
1.42
Away goals / match
+23%
Home attack advantage
+19%
Home defence advantage
+9%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
48%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
54%
2 goals
35%
3 goals
15%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Piratas and Correcaminos UAT play?

Piratas face Correcaminos UAT on 6 September 2026 in Ascenso MX. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Piratas vs Correcaminos UAT?

Piratas score 0.83 goals per game on average and Correcaminos UAT 2.33. The Ascenso MX average is 3.17 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 58% of games. Both teams score in 17% of Piratas's matches and 83% of Correcaminos UAT's.

What form are Piratas and Correcaminos UAT in?

Over the last 5 games Piratas have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Correcaminos UAT 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Piratas vs Correcaminos UAT?

The statistical background for Piratas vs Correcaminos UAT — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.