Piratas vs Tepatitlán de Morelos: match statistics
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Piratas vs Tepatitlán de Morelos: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Piratas play Tepatitlán de Morelos in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The match date is 18 October 2026.
Current form
Piratas: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Tepatitlán de Morelos: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Piratas scores 1.50 and concedes 1.17 goals per match. Tepatitlán de Morelos scores 0.83 and concedes 2.83. League average: 3.26 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Piratas 42%, Tepatitlán de Morelos 50%. Over 2.5: Piratas 50%, Tepatitlán de Morelos 67%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 61%.
xG, shots and style
Piratas has higher xG: 1.87 vs 1.34. Piratas: 16.4 shots per match, Tepatitlán de Morelos: 11.5.
Match halves
Piratas: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.92. Tepatitlán de Morelos: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.42.
Goals by minute
Piratas: 76-90+ (6 goals). Tepatitlán de Morelos: 46-60 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ascenso MX: 3.26 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 61%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Piratas | Tepatitlán de Morelos | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Piratas is 75% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Piratas · 0.8 pts / match - Tepatitlán de Morelos
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Piratas is 81% better for: goals scored per match.
1.5 goals / match - Piratas · 0.83 goals / match - Tepatitlán de Morelos
Piratas is 142% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.17 goals / match - Piratas · 2.83 goals / match - Tepatitlán de Morelos
Piratas scores in 67% of matches (8 of 12 matches), while Tepatitlán de Morelos keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 12 matches).
Tepatitlán de Morelos scores in 50% of matches (6 of 12 matches), while Piratas keeps a clean sheet in 33% (4 of 12 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Piratas
Over / Under - Tepatitlán de Morelos
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Piratas is 31% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.42 pts / match - Piratas · 1.08 pts / match - Tepatitlán de Morelos
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Piratas - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Tepatitlán de Morelos - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 17%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -13 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Piratas
Tepatitlán de Morelos
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| Piratas | Liga | Tepatitlán de Morelos | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.67 | 3.26 | ▲ 3.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 42% | 59% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 61% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 23% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | • 75% | 74% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 58% | 81% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
When do Piratas and Tepatitlán de Morelos play?
Piratas face Tepatitlán de Morelos on 18 October 2026 in Ascenso MX. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What do the goal statistics show before Piratas vs Tepatitlán de Morelos?
Piratas score 1.50 goals per game on average and Tepatitlán de Morelos 0.83. The Ascenso MX average is 3.26 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Piratas's matches and 50% of Tepatitlán de Morelos's.
What form are Piratas and Tepatitlán de Morelos in?
Over the last 5 games Piratas have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Tepatitlán de Morelos 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Piratas vs Tepatitlán de Morelos?
The statistical background for Piratas vs Tepatitlán de Morelos — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.