Pisa vs AC Milan: match statistics
AC Milan overwhelmingly dominates this matchup, sitting in 2nd place in the table with an impressive record of 14 wins, 8 draws, and only 1 loss. The guests show excellent away form with a 58% win rate on the road, averaging 1.75 goals scored and conceding just 0.67 goals per match. Pisa, conversely, is in 19th position with a disastrous home record—only 8% wins at home, conceding an average of 1.17 goals with just 0.25 goals scored per match. The difference in quality is also reflected in xG statistics, where Milan has significantly better indicators in both offense and defense. The form of the last five matches also speaks for the guests (2.2 points per match vs 0.6 for Pisa), and the goal difference in home/away matches (-11 for Pisa, +13 for Milan) clearly points to a distinct favorite for this meeting.
Pisa vs AC Milan: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Pisa played AC Milan in Serie A (Italy). The match was played on 13 February 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Pisa: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. AC Milan: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Pisa scores 0.79 and concedes 1.67 goals per match. AC Milan scores 1.65 and concedes 0.74. League average: 2.42 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Pisa 46%, AC Milan 52%. Over 2.5: Pisa 42%, AC Milan 48%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
AC Milan has higher xG: 1.52 vs 1.14. Pisa: 10.5 shots per match, AC Milan: 13.6.
Match halves
Pisa: half-time lead 8%, second-half goals 0.42. AC Milan: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Pisa: 76-90+ (5 goals). AC Milan: 46-60 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.42 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
AC Milan overwhelmingly dominates this matchup, sitting in 2nd place in the table with an impressive record of 14 wins, 8 draws, and only 1 loss. The guests show excellent away form with a 58% win rate on the road, averaging 1.75 goals scored and conceding just 0.67 goals per match. Pisa, conversely, is in 19th position with a disastrous home record—only 8% wins at home, conceding an average of 1.17 goals with just 0.25 goals scored per match. The difference in quality is also reflected in xG statistics, where Milan has significantly better indicators in both offense and defense. The form of the last five matches also speaks for the guests (2.2 points per match vs 0.6 for Pisa), and the goal difference in home/away matches (-11 for Pisa, +13 for Milan) clearly points to a distinct favorite for this meeting.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Pisa | AC Milan | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 27% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
AC Milan is 267% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Pisa · 2.2 pts / match - AC Milan
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
AC Milan is 109% better for: goals scored per match.
0.79 goals / match - Pisa · 1.65 goals / match - AC Milan
AC Milan is 126% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.67 goals / match - Pisa · 0.74 goals / match - AC Milan
Pisa scores in 50% of matches (12 of 24 matches), while AC Milan keeps a clean sheet in 48% (11 of 23 matches).
AC Milan scores in 96% of matches (22 of 23 matches), while Pisa keeps a clean sheet in 21% (5 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Pisa
Over / Under - AC Milan
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
AC Milan is 83% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.83 pts / match - Pisa · 1.52 pts / match - AC Milan
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Pisa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 8% of matches and wins 4%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
AC Milan - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 61%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (10 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Pisa
AC Milan
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Pisa | Liga | AC Milan | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.46 | 2.42 | • 2.39 |
| Both teams scored | • 46% | 46% | ▲ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 42% | 46% | ▲ 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 32% | ▲ 48% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 54% | 65% | ▼ 57% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 76% | ▲ 87% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Pisa 0 - 1 - 0 AC Milan. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Pisa vs AC Milan?
The Serie A match finished Pisa 1:2 AC Milan. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Pisa vs AC Milan?
Pisa score 0.79 goals per game on average and AC Milan 1.65. The Serie A average is 2.42 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 46% of Pisa's matches and 52% of AC Milan's.
What form are Pisa and AC Milan in?
Over the last 5 games Pisa have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and AC Milan 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Pisa vs AC Milan?
The statistical background for Pisa vs AC Milan — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.