Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Indy Eleven: match statistics
Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Indy Eleven: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Pittsburgh Riverhounds played Indy Eleven in USL Championship (United States). The match was played on 13 June 2026. Venue: Highmark Stadium. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Pittsburgh Riverhounds: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Indy Eleven: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Pittsburgh Riverhounds scores 1.40 and concedes 1.30 goals per match. Indy Eleven scores 1.60 and concedes 1.10. League average: 2.75 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Pittsburgh Riverhounds 50%, Indy Eleven 70%. Over 2.5: Pittsburgh Riverhounds 50%, Indy Eleven 60%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Indy Eleven has higher xG: 1.65 vs 1.21. Pittsburgh Riverhounds: 9.4 shots per match, Indy Eleven: 14.1.
Match halves
Pittsburgh Riverhounds: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.90. Indy Eleven: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 1.20.
Goals by minute
Pittsburgh Riverhounds: 46-60 (4 goals). Indy Eleven: 61-75 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL Championship: 2.75 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 5 previous H2H matches were available: 1-2-2. Average goals 2.20, BTTS 80%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Pittsburgh Riverhounds possess clear home advantages: a 75% home win rate, averaging 1.75 goals scored and only 1.0 conceded per home match, with home xG 1.31 versus xG against 1.21, indicating an efficient chances balance. Indy Eleven have never won away (0% away wins), score 1.0 on average, concede 1.5 and have xG 1.44 against xG 1.56, so while they create chances they are vulnerable to conceding. However, overall form favors the visitors: 4 wins and 1 draw in their last 5, 10 goals scored and an average of 2.6 points over those five matches, whereas Pittsburgh’s last 5 read 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss, 5 goals and 1.6 points on average. Additionally Pittsburgh shows better shot efficiency at home (conversion 15% vs 8% for the visitors), despite the visitors registering slightly more on-target shots away (4.0 vs 3.75), giving the hosts a clinical edge. Considering the 75% home win rate, superior local defense (1.0 conceded vs 1.5 away) and higher conversion, I forecast a home win; probabilities estimated at ~60% Pittsburgh, 20% draw and 20% Indy.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I rate BTTS - Yes as the most likely outcome because seasonal and offensive metrics strongly favor goals from both sides: Pittsburgh has a seasonal BTTS rate of 83%, Indy 50%, and the league average is 55%. Goal and xG values indicate both teams create chances: Pittsburgh scores 2.0 goals and concedes 0.83 on average, with attacking xG 1.79 and xG against 1.55, while Indy scores 1.0 and concedes 1.5 this season with attacking xG 1.44 and xG against 1.56. Shot and finishing stats confirm the home advantage (15.33 shots and 6 on target vs 12.25 and 4 on target, and conversion 13% vs 8%), but Indy is clearly in attacking form: 10 goals in the last 5 matches (2.0 avg) and 60% BTTS in that period. The counterargument is the home side’s weak recent run: only 20% BTTS in the last 5 and an average of 0.4 goals conceded, which lowers certainty that the visitors will definitely score, yet the home season profile (83% BTTS and 67% of home matches over 2.5) still points to higher chances of Both Teams To Score. Weighing seasonal BTTS average (approx. 63% from 83/50/55), form (approx. 40% from 20/60) and adjustments for xG and shot metrics, I assign BTTS - Yes a 62% probability versus 38% and recommend a bet on Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG: Pittsburgh has xG_for 1.79 while opponents generate xG 1.55 against them; Indy has xG_for 1.44 and opponents xG 1.56. Averaging attack and defense yields expected goals of 1.68 for Pittsburgh and 1.50 for Indy, totaling 3.18 expected goals. Pittsburgh scores 2.0 goals at home on average and has 67% of matches Over 2.5 goals, Indy averages 1.0 goal and 50% Over 2.5; additionally Pittsburgh records 6.0 shots on target versus Indy’s 4.0 and a superior conversion rate 13% vs 8%, which increases the likelihood of situation conversion. In the last 5 matches Indy has 2.08 xG and averages 2.0 goals compared to Pittsburgh’s 1.17 xG and 1.0 goal, and the Both Teams To Score rates are 83% (Pittsburgh) and 50% (Indy) respectively, raising the chance of a multi-goal game. On this basis the strongest signal is Over 1.5 (pick: over, line 1.5) with an 88% probability; Over 2.5 is rated around 65%, while Over 3.5 is less likely (~32%) because the expected 3.18 goals is below 3.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Pittsburgh Riverhounds lead at the break in 4 of their matches so far (67%), with the hosts averaging 0.67 goals by half-time versus 0.0 for Indy Eleven (leadingAtHT_home = 4, leadingAtHTPercentage_home = 67%; scoredAVGHT_home = 0.67, scoredAVGHT_away = 0.0). Over full matches the hosts average 2.0 goals against 1.0 for the visitors (seasonScoredAVG_home = 2.0 vs seasonScoredAVG_away = 1.0), possess a higher xG of 1.79 compared to 1.44 for the opponents and more shots on target 6.0 vs 4.0 (xg_for_avg_home = 1.79, xg_for_avg_away = 1.44; shotsOnTargetAVG_home = 6.0, shotsOnTargetAVG_away = 4.0). At home Pittsburgh win 83% of matches versus 0% wins for Indy Eleven (winPercentage_home = 83.0, winPercentage_away = 0.0), and the hosts also record 83% clean sheets at half-time (seasonCSPercentageHT_home = 83.0), which suggests a high probability of a lead at the break. Although the hosts’ full matches end with both teams scoring in 83% of cases (seasonBTTSPercentage_home = 83.0), the higher shot conversion for the hosts of 13% versus 8% for the visitors (shot_conversion_rate_home = 13.0, shot_conversion_rate_away = 8.0) increases the chance of maintaining the lead to full-time. Therefore I recommend HT/FT 1/1 as the strongest signal — a half-time lead for the hosts and a full-time win is most consistent with the data (my assigned probability 56%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Pittsburgh Riverhounds | Indy Eleven | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Indy Eleven is 11% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Pittsburgh Riverhounds · 2 pts / match - Indy Eleven
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Indy Eleven is 14% better for: goals scored per match.
1.4 goals / match - Pittsburgh Riverhounds · 1.6 goals / match - Indy Eleven
Indy Eleven is 18% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.3 goals / match - Pittsburgh Riverhounds · 1.1 goals / match - Indy Eleven
Pittsburgh Riverhounds scores in 70% of matches (7 of 10 matches), while Indy Eleven keeps a clean sheet in 10% (1 of 10 matches).
Indy Eleven scores in 80% of matches (8 of 10 matches), while Pittsburgh Riverhounds keeps a clean sheet in 20% (2 of 10 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Over / Under - Indy Eleven
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Indy Eleven is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.2 pts / match - Pittsburgh Riverhounds · 1.4 pts / match - Indy Eleven
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Pittsburgh Riverhounds - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Indy Eleven - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Indy Eleven
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).
Teams vs league
| Pittsburgh Riverhounds | Liga | Indy Eleven | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.70 | 2.75 | • 2.70 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 55% | ▲ 70% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 53% | ▲ 60% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 28% | ▼ 10% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 68% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 90% | 79% | ▲ 90% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1 - 2 - 2 Indy Eleven. Average goals 2.20, both teams scored in 80% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Indy Eleven?
The USL Championship match finished Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1:0 Indy Eleven. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Pittsburgh Riverhounds and Indy Eleven?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Pittsburgh Riverhounds won 1, Indy Eleven won 2 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.20 goals, with both teams scoring in 80% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Indy Eleven?
Pittsburgh Riverhounds score 1.40 goals per game on average and Indy Eleven 1.60. The USL Championship average is 2.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Pittsburgh Riverhounds's matches and 70% of Indy Eleven's.
What form are Pittsburgh Riverhounds and Indy Eleven in?
Over the last 5 games Pittsburgh Riverhounds have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Indy Eleven 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Indy Eleven?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.