Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Phoenix Rising: match statistics
Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Phoenix Rising: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Pittsburgh Riverhounds played Phoenix Rising in USL Championship (United States). The match was played on 2 May 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Pittsburgh Riverhounds: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Phoenix Rising: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Pittsburgh Riverhounds scores 1.43 and concedes 1.71 goals per match. Phoenix Rising scores 1.57 and concedes 1.14. League average: 2.65 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Pittsburgh Riverhounds 71%, Phoenix Rising 57%. Over 2.5: Pittsburgh Riverhounds 71%, Phoenix Rising 57%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Phoenix Rising has higher xG: 1.36 vs 1.24. Pittsburgh Riverhounds: 9.3 shots per match, Phoenix Rising: 10.7.
Match halves
Pittsburgh Riverhounds: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.86. Phoenix Rising: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 1.14.
Goals by minute
Pittsburgh Riverhounds: 0-15 (2 goals). Phoenix Rising: 76-90+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL Championship: 2.65 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Pittsburgh Riverhounds appear to be favorites: at home they average 2.5 goals per game, 10 shots and 3.5 shots on target with a 25% conversion and 0% shutouts, while Phoenix averages 1.25 goals on the road with only a 12% conversion and 25% of away matches without a goal. Phoenix has higher possession (50% vs 36%) but it doesn’t translate into efficiency — both teams average 3.5 shots on target per game, yet the home side finishes better. From an xG perspective the home team posts average xG 1.18 versus 1.27 for the visitors, however Pittsburgh overperforms its xG at home by scoring 2.5 goals, indicating clinical finishing. Defensively Phoenix is slightly better away (conceding 1.25 vs Pittsburgh’s 1.5 conceded at home), but the visitors have a 50% away loss rate and only 25% away wins, whereas the hosts have a 100% home win rate in the sample and a +2 home goal differential. Based on these figures I expect a home win; I estimate roughly 60% chance for Pittsburgh, 20% draw and 20% for Phoenix.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The forecast leans toward BTTS - Yes: I assess BTTS at 62% versus 38% for No Goal. Pittsburgh has a season BTTS rate of 67% and averages 2.0 goals per game with xG 1.47, while Phoenix has a season BTTS of 50% and concedes 1.25 goals on average — the 2.0 vs 1.25 relationship favors a Goal/Goal scenario. Phoenix scores 1.25 goals on average with xG 1.27, and Pittsburgh concedes 1.0 goal (xG against Pittsburgh 1.21), indicating the visitors also have a realistic chance to score. Additionally, 6.0 vs 3.5 shots on target, conversion rates of 18% vs 12%, and relatively low clean sheet percentages of 33% and 25% support goals at both ends. The counterargument is Phoenix’s 0% BTTS in their last 5 matches, which weakens the signal; therefore I give a moderate lean to Yes rather than a very strong one.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG and defensive data I expect around 2.62 goals: home xG 1.47 and away xG 1.27, with xG conceded 1.21 (home) and 1.28 (away), which after averaging yields 1.38 for Pittsburgh and 1.24 for Phoenix (total 2.62). Pittsburgh scores 2.0 goals per game this season and records 6.0 on-target shots per match, while Phoenix has 1.25 goals and 3.5 on-target shots, indicating a clear offensive edge for the home side. Both teams frequently feature in goal-scoring matches: the home team has BTTS in 67% of games, the away team in 50%, and >1.5 goals has been exceeded in 100% of matches this season for both teams, so I rate Over 1.5 highly (93%). For the 2.5 line seasonal rates are 67% (home) and 50% (away) over 2.5, and the 2.62 forecast gives a moderate edge to Over (58%); Over 3.5 is unlikely (33% for home, 0% for away), hence only an 18% chance.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is 1/X (home team leads at half-time, draw at full-time). The hosts led at the break in 2 of 3 home matches (67%) and score an average of 0.67 goals in the first half versus 0.25 for Phoenix, giving them the advantage at half-time. However, over the full 90 minutes the hosts drew 2 of 3 home games (67%) and have only a 33% win rate at the stadium, so it is more probable that the half-time lead will be lost in favor of a draw than held until the end. Additionally, Riverhounds have a higher xG (1.47 vs 1.27) and more on-target shots on average (6.0 vs 3.5), while the visitors concede 1.25 goals per game on average, which facilitates an equalizer in the second half. For these reasons, a home lead at half-time and draw at full-time is the strongest signal available from the data.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Pittsburgh Riverhounds | Phoenix Rising | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 43% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Phoenix Rising is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Pittsburgh Riverhounds · 1.6 pts / match - Phoenix Rising
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Phoenix Rising is 10% better for: goals scored per match.
1.43 goals / match - Pittsburgh Riverhounds · 1.57 goals / match - Phoenix Rising
Phoenix Rising is 50% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.71 goals / match - Pittsburgh Riverhounds · 1.14 goals / match - Phoenix Rising
Pittsburgh Riverhounds scores in 71% of matches (5 of 7 matches), while Phoenix Rising keeps a clean sheet in 29% (2 of 7 matches).
Phoenix Rising scores in 86% of matches (6 of 7 matches), while Pittsburgh Riverhounds keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 7 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Over / Under - Phoenix Rising
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Phoenix Rising is 43% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Pittsburgh Riverhounds · 1.43 pts / match - Phoenix Rising
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Pittsburgh Riverhounds - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Phoenix Rising - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 29%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Phoenix Rising
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).
Teams vs league
| Pittsburgh Riverhounds | Liga | Phoenix Rising | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.14 | 2.65 | • 2.71 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 71% | 53% | ▲ 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 71% | 52% | ▲ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 29% | • 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 65% | ▲ 86% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 80% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1 - 1 - 0 Phoenix Rising. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Phoenix Rising?
The USL Championship match finished Pittsburgh Riverhounds 0:1 Phoenix Rising. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Pittsburgh Riverhounds and Phoenix Rising?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Pittsburgh Riverhounds won 1, Phoenix Rising won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Phoenix Rising?
Pittsburgh Riverhounds score 1.43 goals per game on average and Phoenix Rising 1.57. The USL Championship average is 2.65 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Pittsburgh Riverhounds's matches and 57% of Phoenix Rising's.
What form are Pittsburgh Riverhounds and Phoenix Rising in?
Over the last 5 games Pittsburgh Riverhounds have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Phoenix Rising 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Phoenix Rising?
The statistical background for Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Phoenix Rising — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.