PK-35 vs Klubi-04: match statistics

PK-35 sit 2nd and have won 11 of their 18 matches this season, while Klubi-04 are 9th with just 2 victories and 10 defeats. The hosts are also significantly more effective at home, averaging 1.67 goals from 1.50 xG, whereas the visitors score only 0.89 goals per away match and fail to score in 33% of their appearances. Recent form also favours PK-35: they have collected 10 points from their last five matches and scored 9 goals, while Klubi-04 have taken 4 points and scored just 4 goals. The hosts' defence is not entirely watertight, as both teams concede an average of 1.33 goals in their respective conditions, while Klubi-04 draw as many as 44% of their away matches, increasing the likelihood of a share of the points. Nevertheless, PK-35 create better chances at home than their opponents do away, as reflected by the 1.50 xG versus 1.27, making a home win the most likely outcome.

The stronger signal points to BTTS - No, as PK-35 scores only 0.67 goals per match this season and failed to score in 56% of their matches, while Klubi-04 failed to score in 33% of games. The combined BTTS rates for both teams stand at just 33% for the hosts and 56% for the visitors, compared with the league average of 43%. Klubi-04 are also in poor offensive form: they have averaged 0.8 goals over their last 5 matches, with BTTS occurring in only 20% of those games. PK-35 have recently improved to 1.8 goals per match and have an xG of 1.48, but despite recording 1.69 xG, the visitors have scored only 4 goals in five rounds, increasing the risk that at least one side will fail to score. The low 22% rate of matches involving both teams finishing with over 2.5 goals also supports a more closed game script with BTTS - No.

The seasonal results of both teams clearly point toward a low-scoring outcome: Over 3.5 goals was recorded in only 11% of PK-35 and Klubi-04 matches, while 89% of their games ended below this line. An equally strong signal applies to the 2.5 line, with 78% of matches involving each team staying below it, although PK-35’s stronger recent form increases the risk of two or three goals. The hosts average 0.67 goals per game this season, while the visitors average 0.89, and neither team has scored at least three goals in a single match. PK-35 have scored 9 goals in their last five matches, but Klubi-04 have managed only 4, while the projected 2.32 goals still leaves a wide margin of safety for Under 3.5. In addition, only 11% of matches for each side featured goals scored by the team in both halves, limiting the likelihood of an open, high-scoring game.

The strongest scenario is PK-35 leading at the break and holding on for the win, as the hosts have won 3 of their last 5 matches, while Klubi-04 have lost 3 of their last 5. During this period, PK-35 averaged 1.8 goals scored and 2.0 points per match, clearly outperforming the visitors’ figures of 0.8 goals and 0.8 points. In the first halves, the visitors were behind in 60% of their last five matches and conceded an average of 1.0 goal, while PK-35 scored 0.8 goals before the break and conceded just 0.6. The hosts’ advantage should become even more pronounced after half-time: in their last five appearances, they averaged 1.0 goal in the second half, whereas Klubi-04 failed to score after the break. However, it must be taken into account that the visitors drew as many as 44% of their matches throughout the season, so the probability of a draw at half-time followed by a PK-35 win at full-time also remains high.