Plymouth Argyle vs AFC Wimbledon: match statistics
Plymouth Argyle vs AFC Wimbledon: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Plymouth Argyle played AFC Wimbledon in EFL League One (England). The match was played on 10 October 2026. Venue: Home Park. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Plymouth Argyle: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. AFC Wimbledon: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Plymouth Argyle scores 1.78 and concedes 1.22 goals per match. AFC Wimbledon scores 0.75 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.88 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Plymouth Argyle 44%, AFC Wimbledon 25%. Over 2.5: Plymouth Argyle 44%, AFC Wimbledon 25%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Plymouth Argyle has higher xG: 1.61 vs 1.20. Plymouth Argyle: 14.8 shots per match, AFC Wimbledon: 10.6.
Match halves
Plymouth Argyle: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 1.11. AFC Wimbledon: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.25.
Goals by minute
Plymouth Argyle: 46-60 (6 goals). AFC Wimbledon: 16-30 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.88 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Plymouth Argyle sit 1st in the table and have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring 14 goals in that run; AFC Wimbledon are 9th and have won twice and scored 5 goals over the same period. Plymouth average 1.5 goals per match at home, while Wimbledon concede an average of 2 away from home, giving the hosts a clear edge in the matchup between their attack and the visitors’ defence. At home, the hosts average 11.75 shots per match with a 13% conversion rate, while the visitors average 11.5 shots away from home with a 9% conversion rate. Both teams create chances worth an average of 1.28 xG in these conditions, so Plymouth’s advantage is driven more by finishing and defence: they concede an average of 0.99 xG at home, compared with 1.33 xG conceded by Wimbledon away. A draw remains a realistic possibility, but a record of 4 wins in their last 5 matches and stronger home numbers point to the hosts.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The case for BTTS - No is primarily supported by Plymouth keeping a clean sheet in 100% of its home matches, with home games featuring goals from both teams accounting for 0%. In their last 5 matches, Plymouth conceded an average of just 0.8 goals, while Wimbledon scored an average of 1.0, so an away goal is far from certain. On the other hand, Plymouth scored 14 goals in its last 5 matches, while Wimbledon conceded an average of 1.0 over that period, boosting the chances of a home goal. However, both teams scored in only 40% of their last 5 matches, making it more likely that at least one team will fail to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Plymouth have scored an average of 2.8 goals in their last 5 matches, with an xG of 1.90, pointing to one or two goals from the home side. AFC Wimbledon averaged 1.0 goal over the same period, while Plymouth conceded 0.8, so I rate the visitors’ scoring potential lower. The signals for a high-scoring game are mixed: Over 2.5 goals landed in 60% of Plymouth’s last 5 matches, but in only 20% of Wimbledon’s games. With a projected total of 2.50 goals, Under 3.5 goals is the most likely pick, with an estimated probability of 76%.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time followed by a Plymouth win is the most likely outcome: the hosts were level at the break in 3 of their 4 home matches and kept a clean sheet in each of them. However, the uncertainty around this scenario should be taken into account, as Wimbledon have yet to draw at half-time in any of their 4 away matches—leading twice and trailing twice. Plymouth’s form supports a home win: they have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring an average of 2.8 goals, while Wimbledon have won 2 of 5 and averaged 1.0 goal. The second-half data is particularly compelling: Plymouth have averaged 1.6 goals after the break over their last 5 matches and have won that half 4 times, while Wimbledon have scored an average of just 0.2 goals in the second half. Therefore, X/1 best combines Plymouth’s frequent half-time draws with their clear advantage after the break.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Plymouth Argyle | AFC Wimbledon | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 25% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Plymouth Argyle is 50% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - Plymouth Argyle · 1.6 pts / match - AFC Wimbledon
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Plymouth Argyle is 137% better for: goals scored per match.
1.78 goals / match - Plymouth Argyle · 0.75 goals / match - AFC Wimbledon
AFC Wimbledon is 22% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.22 goals / match - Plymouth Argyle · 1 goals / match - AFC Wimbledon
Plymouth Argyle scores in 78% of matches (7 of 9 matches), while AFC Wimbledon keeps a clean sheet in 63% (5 of 8 matches).
AFC Wimbledon scores in 63% of matches (5 of 8 matches), while Plymouth Argyle keeps a clean sheet in 33% (3 of 9 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Plymouth Argyle
Over / Under - AFC Wimbledon
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Plymouth Argyle is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.67 pts / match - Plymouth Argyle · 1.5 pts / match - AFC Wimbledon
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Plymouth Argyle - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 56%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
AFC Wimbledon - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Plymouth Argyle
AFC Wimbledon
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Plymouth Argyle | Liga | AFC Wimbledon | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.00 | 2.88 | ▼ 1.75 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 44% | 60% | ▼ 25% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 44% | 53% | ▼ 25% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 24% | ▲ 63% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 78% | 64% | • 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 82% | ▼ 63% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Plymouth Argyle 1 - 0 - 1 AFC Wimbledon. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Plymouth Argyle vs AFC Wimbledon?
The EFL League One match finished Plymouth Argyle 2:1 AFC Wimbledon. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Plymouth Argyle and AFC Wimbledon?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Plymouth Argyle won 1, AFC Wimbledon won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Plymouth Argyle vs AFC Wimbledon?
Plymouth Argyle score 1.78 goals per game on average and AFC Wimbledon 0.75. The EFL League One average is 2.88 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Plymouth Argyle's matches and 25% of AFC Wimbledon's.
What form are Plymouth Argyle and AFC Wimbledon in?
Over the last 5 games Plymouth Argyle have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and AFC Wimbledon 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Plymouth Argyle vs AFC Wimbledon?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.