Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Polonia Warszawa: match statistics
The match promises to be extremely even, which is confirmed by their close league positions (5th place for Pogoń vs 4th place for Polonia) and identical average ball possession (48%). Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki presents an impressive home form with a 50% win rate and no home defeats, scoring an average of 2.25 goals per match. However, Polonia Warszawa has better current form (2.0 PPG in the last 5 matches vs 1.2 for Pogoń) and a 50% away win rate. A key factor is that Pogoń has recently been struggling with efficiency (only 4 goals in the last 5 matches), whereas Polonia scored 10 goals in the same period. Considering the high draw rate for Pogoń at home (50%) and Polonia on the road (42%), along with the balanced offensive and defensive potential of both teams, a draw seems the most probable outcome.
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Polonia Warszawa: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki played Polonia Warszawa in 1. Liga (Poland). The match was played on 14 March 2026. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Polonia Warszawa: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki scores 1.71 and concedes 1.38 goals per match. Polonia Warszawa scores 1.63 and concedes 1.38. League average: 2.99 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 75%, Polonia Warszawa 75%. Over 2.5: Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 71%, Polonia Warszawa 58%. League level: BTTS 65%, Over 2.5 62%.
xG, shots and style
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki has higher xG: 1.68 vs 1.67. Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki: 14.4 shots per match, Polonia Warszawa: 14.2.
Match halves
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.75. Polonia Warszawa: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 0.92.
Goals by minute
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki: 31-45+ (10 goals). Polonia Warszawa: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
1. Liga: 2.99 goals per match, BTTS 65%, Over 2.5 62%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match promises to be extremely even, which is confirmed by their close league positions (5th place for Pogoń vs 4th place for Polonia) and identical average ball possession (48%). Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki presents an impressive home form with a 50% win rate and no home defeats, scoring an average of 2.25 goals per match. However, Polonia Warszawa has better current form (2.0 PPG in the last 5 matches vs 1.2 for Pogoń) and a 50% away win rate. A key factor is that Pogoń has recently been struggling with efficiency (only 4 goals in the last 5 matches), whereas Polonia scored 10 goals in the same period. Considering the high draw rate for Pogoń at home (50%) and Polonia on the road (42%), along with the balanced offensive and defensive potential of both teams, a draw seems the most probable outcome.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki | Polonia Warszawa | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Polonia Warszawa is 67% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki · 2 pts / match - Polonia Warszawa
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki is 5% better for: goals scored per match.
1.71 goals / match - Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki · 1.63 goals / match - Polonia Warszawa
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki scores in 83% of matches (20 of 24 matches), while Polonia Warszawa keeps a clean sheet in 17% (4 of 24 matches).
Polonia Warszawa scores in 83% of matches (20 of 24 matches), while Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki keeps a clean sheet in 13% (3 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
Over / Under - Polonia Warszawa
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Polonia Warszawa is 40% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.13 pts / match - Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki · 1.58 pts / match - Polonia Warszawa
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Polonia Warszawa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 46%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
Polonia Warszawa
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki | Liga | Polonia Warszawa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.08 | 2.99 | • 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 75% | 65% | ▲ 75% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 71% | 62% | ▼ 58% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 20% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 74% | • 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 79% | • 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 0 - 0 - 1 Polonia Warszawa. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Polonia Warszawa?
The 1. Liga match finished Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 3:2 Polonia Warszawa. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Polonia Warszawa?
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki score 1.71 goals per game on average and Polonia Warszawa 1.63. The 1. Liga average is 2.99 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 75% of Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki's matches and 75% of Polonia Warszawa's.
What form are Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki and Polonia Warszawa in?
Over the last 5 games Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Polonia Warszawa 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Polonia Warszawa?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Polonia Warszawa: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.