Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Warta Poznań: match statistics
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Warta Poznań: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki played Warta Poznań in 1. Liga (Poland). The match was played on 4 September 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Warta Poznań: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki scores 1.67 and concedes 0.83 goals per match. Warta Poznań scores 1.83 and concedes 1.67. League average: 2.72 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 50%, Warta Poznań 67%. Over 2.5: Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 50%, Warta Poznań 83%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Warta Poznań has higher xG: 1.62 vs 1.59. Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki: 13.3 shots per match, Warta Poznań: 14.0.
Match halves
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.83. Warta Poznań: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki: 16-30 (2 goals). Warta Poznań: 0-15 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
1. Liga: 2.72 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki remain unbeaten after 6 rounds, with a record of 3 wins and 3 draws, and have collected 9 points in their last five matches. The hosts are particularly difficult to beat at home: they have lost 0% of their matches, although as many as 67% of their home fixtures have ended in draws. Warta post higher average attacking numbers away from home, scoring 1.83 goals and creating 1.62 xG per match compared with Pogoń’s 1.33 goals and 1.32 xG, but they also concede 1.67 goals per game. The visitors’ form is inconsistent, having lost 3 of their last 5 matches and scored just 5 goals during that period, while Pogoń remain unbeaten. Home advantage and the hosts’ more consistent results slightly shift the prediction in Pogoń’s favour, with a high probability of a closely contested match.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The signal for both teams to score is clear in their current form: in their last 5 matches, both Pogoń and Warta recorded BTTS in 60% of games. During this period, Pogoń averaged 1.4 goals scored with an xG of 1.50, while Warta scored 1.0 goal per match, despite posting a solid xG of 1.61. Both defences have also allowed opponents opportunities, with the hosts conceding 1.78 xG and Warta averaging 1.4 goals conceded per game across their last five outings. Warta also have a season BTTS rate of 67%, averaging 1.83 goals scored and 1.67 conceded, which supports an open game scenario. The lack of Pogoń's complete season data lowers confidence in the prediction, but the current figures for both teams slightly favour BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The available home-team data from the current season is incomplete, so greater weight should be placed on the last five matches, in which Pogoń averaged 1.4 goals scored, while Warta conceded 1.4. During this period, Pogoń created chances worth 1.50 xG per match, whereas their defence allowed opponents 1.78 xG, which also supports the prospect of a goal for the away side. Despite averaging only 1.0 goal scored in their last five fixtures, Warta generated 1.61 xG, while both teams recorded a Both Teams to Score result in 60% of those matches. In Warta’s available season data, as many as 83% of matches went Over 1.5 goals and Over 2.5 goals, with an average of 3.50 goals per match. The projected total of 2.70 goals provides a clear edge towards Over 1.5 goals, while the 2.5 and 3.5 lines are considerably more balanced.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Pogoń have remained unbeaten in their last five matches, averaging 1.4 goals scored and conceding just 1.0 per game, while Warta have lost 60% of their matches and conceded an average of 1.4 goals. The hosts held a lead at the break in 40% of their recent matches and scored 0.8 goals per game before half-time, compared with Warta’s 0.6. The Poznań side were trailing at half-time in 40% of their last five outings, with a first-half record of 0.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. The most likely scenario is therefore a 1/1 HT/FT outcome, with Pogoń’s stronger recent stability enabling them to take the lead before the break and maintain it until full-time.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki | Warta Poznań | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Warta Poznań is 10% better for: goals scored per match.
1.67 goals / match - Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki · 1.83 goals / match - Warta Poznań
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki is 101% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.83 goals / match - Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki · 1.67 goals / match - Warta Poznań
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki scores in 100% of matches (6 of 6 matches), while Warta Poznań keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 matches).
Warta Poznań scores in 100% of matches (6 of 6 matches), while Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki keeps a clean sheet in 50% (3 of 6 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
Over / Under - Warta Poznań
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.83 pts / match - Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki · 1.67 pts / match - Warta Poznań
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Warta Poznań - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
Warta Poznań
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki | Liga | Warta Poznań | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.50 | 2.72 | ▲ 3.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 52% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 48% | ▲ 83% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 25% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 81% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 74% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Warta Poznań?
The 1. Liga match finished Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 1:0 Warta Poznań. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Warta Poznań?
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki score 1.67 goals per game on average and Warta Poznań 1.83. The 1. Liga average is 2.72 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki's matches and 67% of Warta Poznań's.
What form are Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki and Warta Poznań in?
Over the last 5 games Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Warta Poznań 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Warta Poznań?
The statistical background for Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Warta Poznań — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.