Pogoń Siedlce vs Znicz Pruszków: match statistics
Pogoń Siedlce performs significantly better as the home team than Znicz Pruszków does away. The hosts have a balanced home goal difference (0) and a 10% scoring efficiency, whereas Znicz concedes an average of 1.5 goals per away game with a poor 7% scoring efficiency. Znicz sits 16th in the table with a negative away goal difference of -8 and only a 25% win rate on the road. Both teams' form over their last five matches is poor, but home-field advantage and a better defense (1.09 vs 1.5 goals conceded) favor Pogoń. Considering the xG stats (1.43 for Pogoń at home vs 1.44 xG for Znicz away) and the hosts' high draw rate (36%), I expect a tightly contested match with a slight edge for Pogoń Siedlce.
Pogoń Siedlce vs Znicz Pruszków: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Pogoń Siedlce played Znicz Pruszków in 1. Liga (Poland). The match was played on 15 March 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Pogoń Siedlce: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Znicz Pruszków: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Pogoń Siedlce scores 1.04 and concedes 1.17 goals per match. Znicz Pruszków scores 1.08 and concedes 2.00. League average: 2.99 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Pogoń Siedlce 54%, Znicz Pruszków 50%. Over 2.5: Pogoń Siedlce 38%, Znicz Pruszków 54%. League level: BTTS 66%, Over 2.5 62%.
xG, shots and style
Znicz Pruszków has higher xG: 1.46 vs 1.34. Pogoń Siedlce: 11.1 shots per match, Znicz Pruszków: 12.0.
Match halves
Pogoń Siedlce: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.54. Znicz Pruszków: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Pogoń Siedlce: 31-45+ (10 goals). Znicz Pruszków: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
1. Liga: 2.99 goals per match, BTTS 66%, Over 2.5 62%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Pogoń Siedlce performs significantly better as the home team than Znicz Pruszków does away. The hosts have a balanced home goal difference (0) and a 10% scoring efficiency, whereas Znicz concedes an average of 1.5 goals per away game with a poor 7% scoring efficiency. Znicz sits 16th in the table with a negative away goal difference of -8 and only a 25% win rate on the road. Both teams' form over their last five matches is poor, but home-field advantage and a better defense (1.09 vs 1.5 goals conceded) favor Pogoń. Considering the xG stats (1.43 for Pogoń at home vs 1.44 xG for Znicz away) and the hosts' high draw rate (36%), I expect a tightly contested match with a slight edge for Pogoń Siedlce.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Pogoń Siedlce | Znicz Pruszków | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Pogoń Siedlce is 67% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Pogoń Siedlce · 0.6 pts / match - Znicz Pruszków
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Pogoń Siedlce is 71% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.17 goals / match - Pogoń Siedlce · 2 goals / match - Znicz Pruszków
Pogoń Siedlce scores in 67% of matches (16 of 24 matches), while Znicz Pruszków keeps a clean sheet in 17% (4 of 24 matches).
Znicz Pruszków scores in 58% of matches (14 of 24 matches), while Pogoń Siedlce keeps a clean sheet in 25% (6 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Pogoń Siedlce
Over / Under - Znicz Pruszków
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Pogoń Siedlce is 12% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.21 pts / match - Pogoń Siedlce · 1.08 pts / match - Znicz Pruszków
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Pogoń Siedlce - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Znicz Pruszków - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 21%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Pogoń Siedlce
Znicz Pruszków
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Pogoń Siedlce | Liga | Znicz Pruszków | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.21 | 2.99 | • 3.08 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 54% | 66% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 38% | 62% | ▼ 54% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 25% | 20% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 58% | 74% | • 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 79% | • 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Pogoń Siedlce 1 - 0 - 0 Znicz Pruszków. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Pogoń Siedlce vs Znicz Pruszków?
The 1. Liga match finished Pogoń Siedlce 1:0 Znicz Pruszków. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Pogoń Siedlce vs Znicz Pruszków?
Pogoń Siedlce score 1.04 goals per game on average and Znicz Pruszków 1.08. The 1. Liga average is 2.99 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 54% of Pogoń Siedlce's matches and 50% of Znicz Pruszków's.
What form are Pogoń Siedlce and Znicz Pruszków in?
Over the last 5 games Pogoń Siedlce have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Znicz Pruszków 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Pogoń Siedlce vs Znicz Pruszków?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.