Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów vs Wisła Kraków II: match statistics

Wisła Kraków II remain unbeaten in their last five matches, recording 4 wins and 1 draw, while Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów have suffered 3 defeats during the same period. The visitors have scored 12 goals in their last five games and are averaging 2 goals per match away from home this season. The hosts have lost both of their home matches, failing to score in either and conceding an average of 1.5 goals, despite recording an average xG of 1.22. Pogoń-Sokół average 11 shots and 63% possession, but only 2 attempts are on target, highlighting their difficulty in turning possession into clear-cut output. Wisła II’s more consistent run, attacking efficiency and 100% away win rate all point towards an away victory.

The seasonal data for both teams clearly points to goals: Pogoń-Sokół have recorded BTTS in 100% of their matches, as have Wisła Kraków II, while neither side has kept a clean sheet yet. The hosts score an average of 4.0 goals and concede 2.0, whereas the visitors score 2.0 and allow their opponents 1.0 goal per match. In their last five games, however, Pogoń-Sokół recorded BTTS in only 40% of cases, reducing confidence in the pick, while Wisła maintained an 80% rate and averaged 2.4 goals scored. The attacking potential is supported by the xG figures from the last five matches: 1.25 for the hosts and 1.83 for the visitors, with their defences allowing an average of 1.44 and 1.17 xG respectively. A Goal/Goal scenario is more likely than BTTS - No, meaning that at least one team fails to score, rather than necessarily a 0:0 draw or neither side finding the net, especially since the league average for BTTS is 60%.

Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów's last five matches produced an average of 3.0 goals, while Wisła Kraków II's games averaged as many as 3.6 goals. During this period, the visitors scored 2.4 goals per match, with an xG of 1.83, whereas the hosts conceded an average of 1.4 goals and allowed their opponents an xG of 1.44. The 2.5 line was surpassed in 60% of the hosts' last matches and in 80% of Wisła's games, but with a projected 2.85 goals, it remains clearly less secure than the 1.5 threshold. Both teams recorded 100% of matches with at least two goals in the season data, making Over 1.5 the strongest selection.

Wisła Kraków II are in clearly better current form: they have won 4 of their last 5 matches, remain unbeaten, and average 2.4 goals scored, while Pogoń-Sokół have lost 3 of their last 5 fixtures. The visitors have been particularly strong after the break, averaging 1.6 goals scored and conceding just 0.4, whereas the hosts score 1.0 goal in this phase and concede 0.75. A draw at half-time is a realistic possibility, as Wisła were level at the break in 60% of their last five matches, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded by half-time. However, Pogoń-Sokół have recorded only a 40% win rate during this period and concede an average of 1.4 goals per match, making it more likely that an evenly balanced start will ultimately be decided in favour of the more effective visitors after the interval. The HT/FT scenario of a draw at half-time and a Wisła Kraków II win at full-time has the strongest support from the visitors’ advantage in results, attacking performance, and control of the second halves.