Pogoń Szczecin II vs Kluczevia Stargard: match statistics
Pogoń Szczecin II vs Kluczevia Stargard: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Pogoń Szczecin II played Kluczevia Stargard in 3 Liga Group 2 (Poland). The match was played on 9 May 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Pogoń Szczecin II: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Kluczevia Stargard: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Pogoń Szczecin II scores 1.72 and concedes 2.14 goals per match. Kluczevia Stargard scores 1.69 and concedes 1.07. League average: 2.94 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Pogoń Szczecin II 66%, Kluczevia Stargard 52%. Over 2.5: Pogoń Szczecin II 83%, Kluczevia Stargard 66%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Kluczevia Stargard has higher xG: 1.60 vs 1.48. Pogoń Szczecin II: 9.9 shots per match, Kluczevia Stargard: 11.0.
Match halves
Pogoń Szczecin II: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.72. Kluczevia Stargard: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 1.14.
Goals by minute
Pogoń Szczecin II: 0-15 (12 goals). Kluczevia Stargard: 76-90+ (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
3 Liga Group 2: 2.94 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict an away win (2) based on superior form and defense. Kluczevia have won 3 of their last 5 matches, scoring 11 goals and averaging 2.0 points per game over that span, while Pogoń have failed to win any of their last 5 (0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses), scoring 7 goals and averaging 0.4 points per game. The visitors’ defensive solidity is decisive: Kluczevia concede 1.07 goals per away game and keep 36% clean sheets, whereas Pogoń concede 1.93 at home with only a 14% clean sheet rate; season totals are 62 goals conceded for Pogoń versus 31 for Kluczevia. Both teams’ attacks are comparable in xG and finishing — xG 1.65 for Kluczevia vs 1.59 for Pogoń, with a 16% conversion rate for both — so defense determines the visitors’ edge. Given these differences, I assign higher chances to Kluczevia in this fixture.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I project a 68% probability for BTTS (Both Teams To Score - Yes) and 32% for No BTTS, therefore I recommend the Yes selection. The strongest signal for BTTS comes from the last 5 matches: Pogoń II had BTTS in 80% of fixtures and conceded an average of 2.0 goals (10 conceded in 5), while Kluczevia averaged 2.2 goals scored (11 in 5). Season data show both teams have similar xG values: 1.56 (Pogoń II) vs 1.65 (Kluczevia), and average shots on target of 5.23 vs 5.5, indicating realistic scoring potential from both sides. Factors against BTTS include the home sides' seasonal clean sheet rate of 47% and Pogoń II’s seasonal BTTS of 47%, but the high share of matches over 2.5 goals (67% and 64%) and Kluczevia’s superior shot conversion (16% vs 12%) outweigh those. Overall, recent form (80% vs 60% BTTS in the last 5) together with xG and shot metrics make the Both Teams To Score scenario the strongest signal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG model indicates a balanced expected-goals profile: Pogoń II’s attacking xG is 1.56 versus Kluczevia’s 1.65, while xG against is 1.23 for the home side and 1.29 for the visitors; averaging these values yields 1.43 goals for Pogoń II and 1.44 for Kluczevia, a combined 2.87. A strong signal for Over is that Pogoń II had 67% of matches over 1.5 goals this season and Kluczevia 100%, averaging ~84% probability for Over 1.5; the 2.5 line also looks favorable with 67%/64% (avg ~66%). In the last 5 matches both teams produced Over 2.5 in 80% of cases, and Kluczevia scored 11 and conceded 5 in that period, confirming the visitors’ offensive form. Pogoń II have scored 50 and conceded 62 this season, while Kluczevia have 49 scored and 31 conceded; the home side’s weaker defense and the visitors’ higher shot conversion (12% vs 16%) argue for more goals. Therefore I recommend Over 1.5 as the strongest signal (Over 1.5 ~84%), while acknowledging Over 2.5 has a moderate edge (~66%) and Over 3.5 is unlikely (~21%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Kluczevia Stargard holds a statistical advantage: averaging 2.0 goals per match versus Pogoń II’s 1.4, higher xG 1.65 versus 1.56 and superior shot conversion 16% vs 12%. The visitors have led at the break more often (38% of away matches vs 27% for the home side) and in their last five matches Pogoń were losing at half-time in 60% of games, while Kluczevia led at the break in 40% of their last five. The second half favors the visitors even more: Kluczevia scored 11 goals in minutes 76–90 versus Pogoń’s 4, and 92% of the visitors’ matches featured at least one goal after the break versus 73% for the hosts. Therefore the most likely scenario is that the visitors lead at half-time and win the match (HT/FT 2/2) with a 28% probability; a second strong signal is a draw at half-time and a visitor turnaround to win (HT/FT X/2) at 22%, driven by Kluczevia’s shooting edge and form.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Pogoń Szczecin II | Kluczevia Stargard | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.43 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Kluczevia Stargard is 400% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Pogoń Szczecin II · 2 pts / match - Kluczevia Stargard
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Kluczevia Stargard is 100% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.14 goals / match - Pogoń Szczecin II · 1.07 goals / match - Kluczevia Stargard
Pogoń Szczecin II scores in 76% of matches (22 of 29 matches), while Kluczevia Stargard keeps a clean sheet in 41% (12 of 29 matches).
Kluczevia Stargard scores in 83% of matches (24 of 29 matches), while Pogoń Szczecin II keeps a clean sheet in 10% (3 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Pogoń Szczecin II
Over / Under - Kluczevia Stargard
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Kluczevia Stargard is 25% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.07 pts / match - Pogoń Szczecin II · 1.34 pts / match - Kluczevia Stargard
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Pogoń Szczecin II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 24%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Kluczevia Stargard - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (12 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Pogoń Szczecin II
Kluczevia Stargard
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3 Liga Group 2).
Teams vs league
| Pogoń Szczecin II | Liga | Kluczevia Stargard | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.86 | 2.94 | ▼ 2.76 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 66% | 52% | • 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 83% | 56% | ▲ 66% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 10% | 27% | ▲ 41% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 69% | ▼ 66% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 73% | ▲ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Pogoń Szczecin IIGoalAdam Fraczczak
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Pogoń Szczecin II 0 - 0 - 1 Kluczevia Stargard. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Pogoń Szczecin II vs Kluczevia Stargard?
The 3 Liga Group 2 match finished Pogoń Szczecin II 2:1 Kluczevia Stargard. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Pogoń Szczecin II vs Kluczevia Stargard?
Pogoń Szczecin II score 1.72 goals per game on average and Kluczevia Stargard 1.69. The 3 Liga Group 2 average is 2.94 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 66% of Pogoń Szczecin II's matches and 52% of Kluczevia Stargard's.
What form are Pogoń Szczecin II and Kluczevia Stargard in?
Over the last 5 games Pogoń Szczecin II have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Kluczevia Stargard 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Pogoń Szczecin II vs Kluczevia Stargard?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.