Pogoń Szczecin II vs Noteć Czarnków: match statistics
Pogoń Szczecin II presents an impressive offense at their own stadium, scoring an average of 3 goals per match and maintaining a positive goal difference of +8 in home games. The hosts have won two of their last five meetings and show good scoring form with 12 goals in this period. Noteć Czarnków has a solid away record (38% wins), yet they score only 1.5 goals on average away and fail to score in as many as 38% of matches. Possession advantage for the hosts (58% vs 52%) and higher shot efficiency (15% vs 11%) further speak in favor of Pogoń. The high average of goals in the hosts' matches (5.11) suggests an open match in which Pogoń should utilize the home ground advantage, even though the defense of both teams is not among the most solid.
Pogoń Szczecin II vs Noteć Czarnków: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Pogoń Szczecin II played Noteć Czarnków in 3 Liga Group 2 (Poland). The match was played on 7 March 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Pogoń Szczecin II: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Noteć Czarnków: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Pogoń Szczecin II scores 1.90 and concedes 2.35 goals per match. Noteć Czarnków scores 1.55 and concedes 1.45. League average: 2.93 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Pogoń Szczecin II 65%, Noteć Czarnków 45%. Over 2.5: Pogoń Szczecin II 85%, Noteć Czarnków 45%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Noteć Czarnków has higher xG: 1.80 vs 1.59. Pogoń Szczecin II: 10.1 shots per match, Noteć Czarnków: 10.4.
Match halves
Pogoń Szczecin II: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.65. Noteć Czarnków: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.85.
Goals by minute
Pogoń Szczecin II: 31-45+ (10 goals). Noteć Czarnków: 46-60 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
3 Liga Group 2: 2.93 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Pogoń Szczecin II presents an impressive offense at their own stadium, scoring an average of 3 goals per match and maintaining a positive goal difference of +8 in home games. The hosts have won two of their last five meetings and show good scoring form with 12 goals in this period. Noteć Czarnków has a solid away record (38% wins), yet they score only 1.5 goals on average away and fail to score in as many as 38% of matches. Possession advantage for the hosts (58% vs 52%) and higher shot efficiency (15% vs 11%) further speak in favor of Pogoń. The high average of goals in the hosts' matches (5.11) suggests an open match in which Pogoń should utilize the home ground advantage, even though the defense of both teams is not among the most solid.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Pogoń Szczecin II | Noteć Czarnków | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.17 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.48 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Noteć Czarnków is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Pogoń Szczecin II · 1.8 pts / match - Noteć Czarnków
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Pogoń Szczecin II is 23% better for: goals scored per match.
1.9 goals / match - Pogoń Szczecin II · 1.55 goals / match - Noteć Czarnków
Noteć Czarnków is 62% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.35 goals / match - Pogoń Szczecin II · 1.45 goals / match - Noteć Czarnków
Pogoń Szczecin II scores in 75% of matches (15 of 20 matches), while Noteć Czarnków keeps a clean sheet in 30% (6 of 20 matches).
Noteć Czarnków scores in 65% of matches (13 of 20 matches), while Pogoń Szczecin II keeps a clean sheet in 10% (2 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Pogoń Szczecin II
Over / Under - Noteć Czarnków
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Pogoń Szczecin II is 29% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.35 pts / match - Pogoń Szczecin II · 1.05 pts / match - Noteć Czarnków
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Pogoń Szczecin II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 30%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Noteć Czarnków - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 2.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +7 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Pogoń Szczecin II
Noteć Czarnków
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3 Liga Group 2).
Teams vs league
| Pogoń Szczecin II | Liga | Noteć Czarnków | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.25 | 2.93 | • 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 65% | 49% | ▼ 45% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 85% | 55% | ▼ 45% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 10% | 29% | • 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 90% | 72% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 90% | 74% | ▼ 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Pogoń Szczecin IIGoalWojciech Lisowski
- Noteć CzarnkówGoalSzymon Drewniak
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Pogoń Szczecin II 1 - 0 - 0 Noteć Czarnków. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Pogoń Szczecin II vs Noteć Czarnków?
The 3 Liga Group 2 match finished Pogoń Szczecin II 1:2 Noteć Czarnków. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Pogoń Szczecin II vs Noteć Czarnków?
Pogoń Szczecin II score 1.90 goals per game on average and Noteć Czarnków 1.55. The 3 Liga Group 2 average is 2.93 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 65% of Pogoń Szczecin II's matches and 45% of Noteć Czarnków's.
What form are Pogoń Szczecin II and Noteć Czarnków in?
Over the last 5 games Pogoń Szczecin II have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Noteć Czarnków 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Pogoń Szczecin II vs Noteć Czarnków?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.