Pogoń Szczecin vs Arka Gdynia: match statistics
Pogoń Szczecin displays significantly superior home form with a 50% win rate and an impressive average of 2.2 goals per home match, backed by an xG of 2.01. Arka Gdynia has catastrophic away stats – 0% away wins, 89% losses, and a mere 0.22 goals scored on average per away match. Arka's -21 goal difference in away games versus Pogoń's +6 at home clearly points to the hosts' advantage. Furthermore, Arka failed to score in 78% of their away matches, which, given Pogoń's offensive potential (averaging 17.9 shots per match), grants the hosts a distinct edge. The form in the last five matches also favors Pogoń, who, despite general difficulties, remain dangerous at home, while Arka is on a series of away defeats.
Pogoń Szczecin vs Arka Gdynia: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Pogoń Szczecin played Arka Gdynia in Ekstraklasa (Poland). The match was played on 15 February 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Pogoń Szczecin: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Arka Gdynia: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Pogoń Szczecin scores 1.50 and concedes 1.75 goals per match. Arka Gdynia scores 0.89 and concedes 1.79. League average: 2.79 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Pogoń Szczecin 70%, Arka Gdynia 47%. Over 2.5: Pogoń Szczecin 65%, Arka Gdynia 53%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Pogoń Szczecin has higher xG: 1.81 vs 1.21. Pogoń Szczecin: 16.4 shots per match, Arka Gdynia: 9.7.
Match halves
Pogoń Szczecin: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.70. Arka Gdynia: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.53.
Goals by minute
Pogoń Szczecin: 31-45+ (11 goals). Arka Gdynia: 0-15 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ekstraklasa: 2.79 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Pogoń Szczecin displays significantly superior home form with a 50% win rate and an impressive average of 2.2 goals per home match, backed by an xG of 2.01. Arka Gdynia has catastrophic away stats – 0% away wins, 89% losses, and a mere 0.22 goals scored on average per away match. Arka's -21 goal difference in away games versus Pogoń's +6 at home clearly points to the hosts' advantage. Furthermore, Arka failed to score in 78% of their away matches, which, given Pogoń's offensive potential (averaging 17.9 shots per match), grants the hosts a distinct edge. The form in the last five matches also favors Pogoń, who, despite general difficulties, remain dangerous at home, while Arka is on a series of away defeats.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Pogoń Szczecin | Arka Gdynia | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Arka Gdynia is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Pogoń Szczecin · 1.4 pts / match - Arka Gdynia
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Pogoń Szczecin is 69% better for: goals scored per match.
1.5 goals / match - Pogoń Szczecin · 0.89 goals / match - Arka Gdynia
Pogoń Szczecin scores in 75% of matches (15 of 20 matches), while Arka Gdynia keeps a clean sheet in 21% (4 of 19 matches).
Arka Gdynia scores in 58% of matches (11 of 19 matches), while Pogoń Szczecin keeps a clean sheet in 5% (1 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Pogoń Szczecin
Over / Under - Arka Gdynia
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Pogoń Szczecin is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.2 pts / match - Pogoń Szczecin · 1 pts / match - Arka Gdynia
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Pogoń Szczecin - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Arka Gdynia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Pogoń Szczecin
Arka Gdynia
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ekstraklasa).
Teams vs league
| Pogoń Szczecin | Liga | Arka Gdynia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.25 | 2.79 | ▼ 2.68 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 70% | 59% | ▼ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 65% | 53% | • 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 5% | 24% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 90% | 73% | ▼ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | • 80% | 80% | • 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Pogoń Szczecin 0 - 0 - 1 Arka Gdynia. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Pogoń Szczecin vs Arka Gdynia?
The Ekstraklasa match finished Pogoń Szczecin 1:0 Arka Gdynia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Pogoń Szczecin vs Arka Gdynia?
Pogoń Szczecin score 1.50 goals per game on average and Arka Gdynia 0.89. The Ekstraklasa average is 2.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 70% of Pogoń Szczecin's matches and 47% of Arka Gdynia's.
What form are Pogoń Szczecin and Arka Gdynia in?
Over the last 5 games Pogoń Szczecin have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Arka Gdynia 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Pogoń Szczecin vs Arka Gdynia?
The statistical background for Pogoń Szczecin vs Arka Gdynia — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.