Pogoń Szczecin vs Korona Kielce: match statistics
Pogoń Szczecin presents significantly better home form with a 58% win rate and an impressive streak of four victories in their last five home matches. The hosts score an average of 2 goals per home game with a high shot conversion rate (12%) and an advantage in xG (1.92 vs 1.63), which confirms their attacking proficiency. Korona Kielce has only a 33% win rate in away fixtures, ends a staggering 42% of matches without scoring, and their recent form (1.2 points per game) is noticeably weaker. The disparity in Pogoń's home quality (+8 goal difference) and Korona's struggles with consistent goalscoring on the road strongly favor the hosts. A draw remains a viable option due to the visitors' solid defense (1.08 goals conceded per away game), however, Pogoń Szczecin's edge in the majority of statistics makes them the favorite for this fixture.
Pogoń Szczecin vs Korona Kielce: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Pogoń Szczecin play Korona Kielce in Ekstraklasa (Poland). The match date is 16 March 2026 at 19:00. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Pogoń Szczecin: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Korona Kielce: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Pogoń Szczecin scores 1.38 and concedes 1.44 goals per match. Korona Kielce scores 1.18 and concedes 1.18. League average: 2.74 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Pogoń Szczecin 59%, Korona Kielce 53%. Over 2.5: Pogoń Szczecin 53%, Korona Kielce 38%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Pogoń Szczecin has higher xG: 1.63 vs 1.58. Pogoń Szczecin: 14.5 shots per match, Korona Kielce: 14.6.
Match halves
Pogoń Szczecin: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.68. Korona Kielce: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.62.
Goals by minute
Pogoń Szczecin: 31-45+ (16 goals). Korona Kielce: 16-30 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ekstraklasa: 2.74 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Pogoń Szczecin presents significantly better home form with a 58% win rate and an impressive streak of four victories in their last five home matches. The hosts score an average of 2 goals per home game with a high shot conversion rate (12%) and an advantage in xG (1.92 vs 1.63), which confirms their attacking proficiency. Korona Kielce has only a 33% win rate in away fixtures, ends a staggering 42% of matches without scoring, and their recent form (1.2 points per game) is noticeably weaker. The disparity in Pogoń's home quality (+8 goal difference) and Korona's struggles with consistent goalscoring on the road strongly favor the hosts. A draw remains a viable option due to the visitors' solid defense (1.08 goals conceded per away game), however, Pogoń Szczecin's edge in the majority of statistics makes them the favorite for this fixture.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Pogoń Szczecin | Korona Kielce | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 26% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Pogoń Szczecin is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Pogoń Szczecin · 1.2 pts / match - Korona Kielce
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Pogoń Szczecin is 17% better for: goals scored per match.
1.38 goals / match - Pogoń Szczecin · 1.18 goals / match - Korona Kielce
Korona Kielce is 22% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.44 goals / match - Pogoń Szczecin · 1.18 goals / match - Korona Kielce
Pogoń Szczecin scores in 79% of matches (27 of 34 matches), while Korona Kielce keeps a clean sheet in 26% (9 of 34 matches).
Korona Kielce scores in 74% of matches (25 of 34 matches), while Pogoń Szczecin keeps a clean sheet in 21% (7 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Pogoń Szczecin
Over / Under — Korona Kielce
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Korona Kielce is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.26 pts / match - Pogoń Szczecin · 1.35 pts / match - Korona Kielce
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Pogoń Szczecin - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Korona Kielce - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (16 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Pogoń Szczecin
Korona Kielce
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ekstraklasa).
Teams vs league
| Pogoń Szczecin | Liga | Korona Kielce | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.82 | 2.74 | ▼ 2.35 |
| Both teams scored | • 59% | 58% | ▼ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 53% | 52% | ▼ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 25% | • 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 85% | 73% | ▼ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 82% | 77% | • 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Pogoń Szczecin 0 - 0 - 1 Korona Kielce. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Pogoń Szczecin vs Korona Kielce?
The Ekstraklasa match finished Pogoń Szczecin 2:1 Korona Kielce. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Pogoń Szczecin vs Korona Kielce?
Pogoń Szczecin score 1.38 goals per game on average and Korona Kielce 1.18. The Ekstraklasa average is 2.74 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 59% of Pogoń Szczecin's matches and 53% of Korona Kielce's.
What form are Pogoń Szczecin and Korona Kielce in?
Over the last 5 games Pogoń Szczecin have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Korona Kielce 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Pogoń Szczecin vs Korona Kielce?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Pogoń Szczecin vs Korona Kielce: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.