Pogoń Szczecin vs Lech Poznań: match statistics
Pogoń Szczecin vs Lech Poznań: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Pogoń Szczecin play Lech Poznań in Ekstraklasa (Poland). The match date is 18 April 2026 at 20:15. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Pogoń Szczecin: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Lech Poznań: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Pogoń Szczecin scores 1.38 and concedes 1.44 goals per match. Lech Poznań scores 1.82 and concedes 1.32. League average: 2.74 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Pogoń Szczecin 59%, Lech Poznań 68%. Over 2.5: Pogoń Szczecin 53%, Lech Poznań 68%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Lech Poznań has higher xG: 1.94 vs 1.63. Pogoń Szczecin: 14.5 shots per match, Lech Poznań: 17.4.
Match halves
Pogoń Szczecin: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.68. Lech Poznań: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 0.82.
Goals by minute
Pogoń Szczecin: 31-45+ (16 goals). Lech Poznań: 31-45+ (16 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ekstraklasa: 2.74 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Lech Poznań appears favored based on form: the visitors have 3 wins and 2 draws (0 losses) in their last 5 matches, scoring 10 goals and averaging 2.2 points per match, while Pogoń’s last 5 show 2 wins and 3 losses, only 5 goals and 1.2 points per match on average. Pogoń at home produces better offensive metrics — 1.86 goals per match, xG 1.88, 5.29 shots on target and 17.5 shots overall with a conversion rate of 11% (versus Lech’s 8% away) — this highlights the quality of the home side’s chances. Conversely, Lech’s away defence is strong: just 1.00 conceded goal on average and 50% clean sheets, while Pogoń at home concedes 1.36 on average and has 21% clean sheets. Considering the season goal differential (Lech 49 goals scored vs Pogoń 38) and the visitors’ superior form, I assign a 45% probability to a Lech win, 30% to a Pogoń win and 25% to a draw.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Pogoń Szczecin | Lech Poznań | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Lech Poznań is 38% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Pogoń Szczecin · 2.2 pts / match - Lech Poznań
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lech Poznań is 32% better for: goals scored per match.
1.38 goals / match - Pogoń Szczecin · 1.82 goals / match - Lech Poznań
Lech Poznań is 9% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.44 goals / match - Pogoń Szczecin · 1.32 goals / match - Lech Poznań
Pogoń Szczecin scores in 79% of matches (27 of 34 matches), while Lech Poznań keeps a clean sheet in 29% (10 of 34 matches).
Lech Poznań scores in 88% of matches (30 of 34 matches), while Pogoń Szczecin keeps a clean sheet in 21% (7 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Pogoń Szczecin
Over / Under — Lech Poznań
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lech Poznań is 42% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.26 pts / match - Pogoń Szczecin · 1.79 pts / match - Lech Poznań
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Pogoń Szczecin - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Lech Poznań - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +7 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (16 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (16 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Pogoń Szczecin
Lech Poznań
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ekstraklasa).
Teams vs league
| Pogoń Szczecin | Liga | Lech Poznań | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.82 | 2.74 | ▲ 3.15 |
| Both teams scored | • 59% | 58% | ▲ 68% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 53% | 52% | ▲ 68% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 25% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 85% | 73% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 82% | 77% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Pogoń Szczecin 0 - 1 - 0 Lech Poznań. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Pogoń Szczecin vs Lech Poznań?
The Ekstraklasa match finished Pogoń Szczecin 1:2 Lech Poznań. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Pogoń Szczecin vs Lech Poznań?
Pogoń Szczecin score 1.38 goals per game on average and Lech Poznań 1.82. The Ekstraklasa average is 2.74 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 59% of Pogoń Szczecin's matches and 68% of Lech Poznań's.
What form are Pogoń Szczecin and Lech Poznań in?
Over the last 5 games Pogoń Szczecin have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Lech Poznań 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Pogoń Szczecin vs Lech Poznań?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Pogoń Szczecin vs Lech Poznań: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.