Pogoń Szczecin vs Legia Warszawa: match statistics
Pogoń Szczecin vs Legia Warszawa: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Pogoń Szczecin played Legia Warszawa in Ekstraklasa (Poland). The match was played on 6 April 2026. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Pogoń Szczecin: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Legia Warszawa: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Pogoń Szczecin scores 1.38 and concedes 1.54 goals per match. Legia Warszawa scores 1.15 and concedes 1.19. League average: 2.72 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Pogoń Szczecin 62%, Legia Warszawa 65%. Over 2.5: Pogoń Szczecin 58%, Legia Warszawa 42%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Legia Warszawa has higher xG: 1.77 vs 1.74. Pogoń Szczecin: 15.7 shots per match, Legia Warszawa: 15.4.
Match halves
Pogoń Szczecin: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.69. Legia Warszawa: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.73.
Goals by minute
Pogoń Szczecin: 31-45+ (12 goals). Legia Warszawa: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ekstraklasa: 2.72 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back Pogoń Szczecin to win: the home side have a 62% home win rate versus just 8% away wins for Legia. In attack Pogoń average 2.00 goals per home match with xG 1.92, 5.62 shots on target and an 11% conversion rate, while Legia on the road average 1.08 goals, xG 1.73, 4 shots on target and a 7% conversion. Defensively Pogoń concede 1.31 goals per home game versus Legia’s 1.54 away; Pogoń’s home goal difference is +9 compared to Legia’s -6 away, and clean sheets are 23% for the hosts vs 8% for the visitors. Both teams average 1.8 points per game over the last five, but Pogoń have won 3 of their last 5 (5 goals scored) whereas Legia are on a 5-match unbeaten run (2 wins, 3 draws, 7 goals), indicating Pogoń are more efficient at converting chances into wins. Given the superiority in attacking efficiency and home balance, I favor the hosts to win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Statistical analysis indicates a BTTS-Yes scenario. Legia have BTTS in 77% of away matches and 80% in their last 5 games, while Pogoń have BTTS at home in 54% (league average 57%), which is a strong signal for Yes. Legia average 1.08 goals scored away and concede 1.54, so their away games average 2.62 goals, whereas Pogoń at home score 1.23 and concede 0.85 (total 2.08). Both teams generate xG of 1.81 (Pogoń) and 1.73 (Legia) and average 4.92 and 4.0 shots on target respectively, suggesting realistic scoring opportunities for both sides. Pogoń have 38% home clean sheets versus just 8% away clean sheets expected for Legia, and in the last 5 matches Legia scored 7 and conceded 5, while Pogoń scored 5 and conceded 5, so both sides regularly record goals. Based on this I assess BTTS probability at 72% for Yes and 28% for No, therefore the best pick is Yes (BTTS - Yes).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Statistical analysis indicates a high-scoring match: Pogoń xG is 1.81 versus Legia 1.73, while xG against is 1.28 (Pogoń) and 1.20 (Legia). Calculating expected goals as the average of a team’s attack and the opponent’s defense yields 1.51 for Pogoń and 1.51 for Legia, totaling 3.02 goals. Seasonal rates confirm this trend — Legia have 92% of matches over 1.5 goals, Pogoń 54%, and both teams have scored in 77% of Legia’s matches and 54% of Pogoń’s matches. A Poisson model on the combined average of 3.02 goals estimates Over 1.5 at ~80%, Over 2.5 at ~58% and Over 3.5 at ~36%. The strongest signal is Over 1.5, therefore I recommend a bet on the over at the 1.5 line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is 1/1 — Pogoń leads at the break and wins at Full-Time. Pogoń led at the break in 38% of home matches, whereas Legia led at the break in only 8% of away fixtures; the hosts concede an average of 0.31 goals by half-time versus 1.0 for Legia, and Pogoń has 69% of matches with a clean sheet at the break compared to 23% for Legia. Over the full match Pogoń win 31% of home games while Legia win 15% of away games; additionally, average xG of 1.81 versus 1.73, 4.92 shots on target versus 4.0 and a conversion rate of 8% versus 7% all point to a slight attacking edge for Pogoń. Pogoń also score more after the break (4 goals in minutes 61–75 and 6 goals in 76–90 versus Legia’s 0 and 4 respectively), suggesting the hosts can maintain or extend a lead in the second half.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Pogoń Szczecin | Legia Warszawa | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Pogoń Szczecin is 20% better for: goals scored per match.
1.38 goals / match - Pogoń Szczecin · 1.15 goals / match - Legia Warszawa
Legia Warszawa is 29% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.54 goals / match - Pogoń Szczecin · 1.19 goals / match - Legia Warszawa
Pogoń Szczecin scores in 77% of matches (20 of 26 matches), while Legia Warszawa keeps a clean sheet in 23% (6 of 26 matches).
Legia Warszawa scores in 77% of matches (20 of 26 matches), while Pogoń Szczecin keeps a clean sheet in 15% (4 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Pogoń Szczecin
Over / Under - Legia Warszawa
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Pogoń Szczecin is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.15 pts / match - Pogoń Szczecin · 1.08 pts / match - Legia Warszawa
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Pogoń Szczecin - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Legia Warszawa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 23%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Pogoń Szczecin
Legia Warszawa
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ekstraklasa).
Teams vs league
| Pogoń Szczecin | Liga | Legia Warszawa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.92 | 2.72 | ▼ 2.35 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 62% | 58% | ▲ 65% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 58% | 53% | ▼ 42% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 15% | 25% | ▼ 23% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 85% | 73% | ▲ 77% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 81% | 77% | ▼ 62% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Pogoń Szczecin 0 - 0 - 1 Legia Warszawa. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Pogoń Szczecin vs Legia Warszawa?
The Ekstraklasa match finished Pogoń Szczecin 0:2 Legia Warszawa. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Pogoń Szczecin vs Legia Warszawa?
Pogoń Szczecin score 1.38 goals per game on average and Legia Warszawa 1.15. The Ekstraklasa average is 2.72 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 62% of Pogoń Szczecin's matches and 65% of Legia Warszawa's.
What form are Pogoń Szczecin and Legia Warszawa in?
Over the last 5 games Pogoń Szczecin have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Legia Warszawa 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Pogoń Szczecin vs Legia Warszawa?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Pogoń Szczecin vs Legia Warszawa: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.