Pogoń Szczecin vs Nieciecza: match statistics
Pogoń Szczecin displays significantly better form in home matches, winning 56% of their games at home and recording an impressive +6 goal difference at their own stadium. The hosts score an average of 2.33 goals per home game with an xG of 2.03, which indicates high efficiency. Nieciecza performs much worse in away matches, winning only 33% of games and conceding an average of 1.89 goals per match with a negative goal difference of -4. The form from the last five overall matches favors the visitors (1.8 PPG vs 0.8 PPG), however, the home/away match statistics, along with the advantage in possession (49% vs 43%) and the higher quality of shots from the hosts (5.89 vs 4.33 on target per match), give Pogoń a real edge. I expect a close encounter with a slight advantage for the hosts, who should capitalize on their home field advantage.
Pogoń Szczecin vs Nieciecza: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Pogoń Szczecin played Nieciecza in Ekstraklasa (Poland). The match was played on 8 February 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Pogoń Szczecin: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Nieciecza: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Pogoń Szczecin scores 1.53 and concedes 1.79 goals per match. Nieciecza scores 1.26 and concedes 1.89. League average: 2.87 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Pogoń Szczecin 68%, Nieciecza 63%. Over 2.5: Pogoń Szczecin 68%, Nieciecza 53%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Pogoń Szczecin has higher xG: 1.80 vs 1.42. Pogoń Szczecin: 16.3 shots per match, Nieciecza: 11.6.
Match halves
Pogoń Szczecin: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.74. Nieciecza: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.47.
Goals by minute
Pogoń Szczecin: 31-45+ (10 goals). Nieciecza: 16-30 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ekstraklasa: 2.87 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Pogoń Szczecin displays significantly better form in home matches, winning 56% of their games at home and recording an impressive +6 goal difference at their own stadium. The hosts score an average of 2.33 goals per home game with an xG of 2.03, which indicates high efficiency. Nieciecza performs much worse in away matches, winning only 33% of games and conceding an average of 1.89 goals per match with a negative goal difference of -4. The form from the last five overall matches favors the visitors (1.8 PPG vs 0.8 PPG), however, the home/away match statistics, along with the advantage in possession (49% vs 43%) and the higher quality of shots from the hosts (5.89 vs 4.33 on target per match), give Pogoń a real edge. I expect a close encounter with a slight advantage for the hosts, who should capitalize on their home field advantage.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Pogoń Szczecin | Nieciecza | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Nieciecza is 125% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Pogoń Szczecin · 1.8 pts / match - Nieciecza
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Pogoń Szczecin is 21% better for: goals scored per match.
1.53 goals / match - Pogoń Szczecin · 1.26 goals / match - Nieciecza
Pogoń Szczecin is 6% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.79 goals / match - Pogoń Szczecin · 1.89 goals / match - Nieciecza
Pogoń Szczecin scores in 74% of matches (14 of 19 matches), while Nieciecza keeps a clean sheet in 16% (3 of 19 matches).
Nieciecza scores in 79% of matches (15 of 19 matches), while Pogoń Szczecin keeps a clean sheet in 5% (1 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Pogoń Szczecin
Over / Under - Nieciecza
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Nieciecza is 28% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.11 pts / match - Pogoń Szczecin · 1.42 pts / match - Nieciecza
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Pogoń Szczecin - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Nieciecza - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 26%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 100% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Pogoń Szczecin
Nieciecza
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ekstraklasa).
Teams vs league
| Pogoń Szczecin | Liga | Nieciecza | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.32 | 2.87 | ▲ 3.16 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 68% | 60% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 68% | 55% | ▼ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 5% | 23% | ▼ 16% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 89% | 74% | ▲ 89% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 79% | 82% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Pogoń Szczecin 0 - 1 - 0 Nieciecza. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Pogoń Szczecin vs Nieciecza?
The Ekstraklasa match finished Pogoń Szczecin 1:1 Nieciecza. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Pogoń Szczecin vs Nieciecza?
Pogoń Szczecin score 1.53 goals per game on average and Nieciecza 1.26. The Ekstraklasa average is 2.87 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 68% of Pogoń Szczecin's matches and 63% of Nieciecza's.
What form are Pogoń Szczecin and Nieciecza in?
Over the last 5 games Pogoń Szczecin have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Nieciecza 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Pogoń Szczecin vs Nieciecza?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.