Pogoń Szczecin vs Widzew Łódź: match statistics
Pogoń Szczecin presents significantly better home form with an impressive record of 55% matches won at home and a positive goal difference (+7). The hosts score an average of 2.09 goals per home match with an xG of 2.01, demonstrating their efficiency. Widzew Łódź has very poor away form with as many as 73% of away matches lost and only 27% won, having recorded four defeats in their last five away games. The difference in expected goals is clear in favor of Pogoń (2.01 xG vs 1.49 xG for Widzew), and the form of the last five matches also speaks for the hosts (1.2 PPG vs 0.8 PPG). Taking into account all statistics, especially Pogoń's dominance in home matches and Widzew's away crisis, I predict a victory for the hosts, although a draw cannot be ruled out due to the slight difference in the overall quality of the teams.
Pogoń Szczecin vs Widzew Łódź: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Pogoń Szczecin played Widzew Łódź in Ekstraklasa (Poland). The match was played on 28 February 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Pogoń Szczecin: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Widzew Łódź: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Pogoń Szczecin scores 1.45 and concedes 1.59 goals per match. Widzew Łódź scores 1.32 and concedes 1.45. League average: 2.76 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Pogoń Szczecin 64%, Widzew Łódź 55%. Over 2.5: Pogoń Szczecin 59%, Widzew Łódź 55%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Pogoń Szczecin has higher xG: 1.78 vs 1.56. Pogoń Szczecin: 16.1 shots per match, Widzew Łódź: 14.0.
Match halves
Pogoń Szczecin: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.68. Widzew Łódź: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.73.
Goals by minute
Pogoń Szczecin: 31-45+ (11 goals). Widzew Łódź: 46-60 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ekstraklasa: 2.76 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Pogoń Szczecin presents significantly better home form with an impressive record of 55% matches won at home and a positive goal difference (+7). The hosts score an average of 2.09 goals per home match with an xG of 2.01, demonstrating their efficiency. Widzew Łódź has very poor away form with as many as 73% of away matches lost and only 27% won, having recorded four defeats in their last five away games. The difference in expected goals is clear in favor of Pogoń (2.01 xG vs 1.49 xG for Widzew), and the form of the last five matches also speaks for the hosts (1.2 PPG vs 0.8 PPG). Taking into account all statistics, especially Pogoń's dominance in home matches and Widzew's away crisis, I predict a victory for the hosts, although a draw cannot be ruled out due to the slight difference in the overall quality of the teams.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Pogoń Szczecin | Widzew Łódź | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Pogoń Szczecin is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Pogoń Szczecin · 0.8 pts / match - Widzew Łódź
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Pogoń Szczecin is 10% better for: goals scored per match.
1.45 goals / match - Pogoń Szczecin · 1.32 goals / match - Widzew Łódź
Widzew Łódź is 10% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.59 goals / match - Pogoń Szczecin · 1.45 goals / match - Widzew Łódź
Pogoń Szczecin scores in 77% of matches (17 of 22 matches), while Widzew Łódź keeps a clean sheet in 27% (6 of 22 matches).
Widzew Łódź scores in 77% of matches (17 of 22 matches), while Pogoń Szczecin keeps a clean sheet in 14% (3 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Pogoń Szczecin
Over / Under - Widzew Łódź
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Widzew Łódź is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.27 pts / match - Pogoń Szczecin · 1.36 pts / match - Widzew Łódź
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Pogoń Szczecin - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Widzew Łódź - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Pogoń Szczecin
Widzew Łódź
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ekstraklasa).
Teams vs league
| Pogoń Szczecin | Liga | Widzew Łódź | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.05 | 2.76 | • 2.77 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 64% | 59% | ▼ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 59% | 53% | ▲ 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 24% | ▲ 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 86% | 74% | ▲ 77% |
| Goal after half-time | • 77% | 78% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Pogoń Szczecin 1 - 0 - 0 Widzew Łódź. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Pogoń Szczecin vs Widzew Łódź?
The Ekstraklasa match finished Pogoń Szczecin 1:0 Widzew Łódź. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Pogoń Szczecin vs Widzew Łódź?
Pogoń Szczecin score 1.45 goals per game on average and Widzew Łódź 1.32. The Ekstraklasa average is 2.76 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 64% of Pogoń Szczecin's matches and 55% of Widzew Łódź's.
What form are Pogoń Szczecin and Widzew Łódź in?
Over the last 5 games Pogoń Szczecin have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Widzew Łódź 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Pogoń Szczecin vs Widzew Łódź?
The statistical background for Pogoń Szczecin vs Widzew Łódź — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.