Pogoń Szczecin vs Zagłębie Lubin: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Pogoń Szczecin played Zagłębie Lubin in Ekstraklasa (Poland). The match was played on 24 November 2025. Final score: 5:1.

Current form

Pogoń Szczecin: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Zagłębie Lubin: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Pogoń Szczecin scores 1.40 and concedes 1.80 goals per match. Zagłębie Lubin scores 1.93 and concedes 1.29. League average: 2.93 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Pogoń Szczecin 67%, Zagłębie Lubin 71%. Over 2.5: Pogoń Szczecin 67%, Zagłębie Lubin 64%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 57%.

xG, shots and style

Pogoń Szczecin has higher xG: 1.76 vs 1.49. Pogoń Szczecin: 15.8 shots per match, Zagłębie Lubin: 12.3.

Match halves

Pogoń Szczecin: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.80. Zagłębie Lubin: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.86.

Goals by minute

Pogoń Szczecin: 76-90+ (7 goals). Zagłębie Lubin: 0-15 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ekstraklasa: 2.93 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 57%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

3 : 0
1st half
2 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

51Possession (%)49
Pogoń SzczecinZagłębie Lubin
14Shots14
Pogoń SzczecinZagłębie Lubin
6Shots on target5
Pogoń SzczecinZagłębie Lubin
1.62xG1.67
Pogoń SzczecinZagłębie Lubin
4Corners2
Pogoń SzczecinZagłębie Lubin
44Dangerous attacks61
Pogoń SzczecinZagłębie Lubin
13Fouls9
Pogoń SzczecinZagłębie Lubin
2Cards1
Pogoń SzczecinZagłębie Lubin

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Pogoń SzczecinZagłębie Lubin
1.4Goals scored / match1.93
Pogoń SzczecinZagłębie Lubin
1.8Goals conceded / match1.29
Pogoń SzczecinZagłębie Lubin
Pogoń SzczecinZagłębie Lubin
51%Average possession40%
Pogoń SzczecinZagłębie Lubin
5.27Shots on target / match4.36
Pogoń SzczecinZagłębie Lubin

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

15.8Shots per match12.29
Pogoń SzczecinZagłębie Lubin
5.27Shots on target4.36
Pogoń SzczecinZagłębie Lubin
8.9%Shot conversion15.7%
Pogoń SzczecinZagłębie Lubin
51%Possession40%
Pogoń SzczecinZagłębie Lubin
1.76xG for1.49
Pogoń SzczecinZagłębie Lubin
1.84xG against1.79
Pogoń SzczecinZagłębie Lubin

Shooting quality

Pogoń Szczecin: AttackingZagłębie Lubin: Counter-attacking
Pogoń SzczecinZagłębie Lubin
Accuracy (shots on target)33%35%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.270.44

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Zagłębie Lubin is 14% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / match - Pogoń Szczecin · 1.6 pts / match - Zagłębie Lubin

Pogoń Szczecin
WDWLL
Season result split
33% W13% R53% P
Season (W-D-L)
5-2-8
1.13 pts / match · goal difference -6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-0-3
Last 5 at home
3-0-2
WLWWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 2.40Opponent xG: 1.78BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
Zagłębie Lubin
LWDDW
Season result split
36% W43% R21% P
Season (W-D-L)
5-6-3
1.50 pts / match · goal difference +9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-3-3
Last 5 away
1-2-2
LWLDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.52Opponent xG: 1.71BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Zagłębie Lubin is 38% better for: goals scored per match.

1.4 goals / match - Pogoń Szczecin · 1.93 goals / match - Zagłębie Lubin

Zagłębie Lubin is 40% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.8 goals / match - Pogoń Szczecin · 1.29 goals / match - Zagłębie Lubin

Pogoń Szczecin scoring profile: very strong

Pogoń Szczecin scores in 73% of matches (11 of 15 matches), while Zagłębie Lubin keeps a clean sheet in 21% (3 of 14 matches).

Zagłębie Lubin scoring profile: very strong

Zagłębie Lubin scores in 86% of matches (12 of 14 matches), while Pogoń Szczecin keeps a clean sheet in 7% (1 of 15 matches).

21Goals scored (season)27
Pogoń SzczecinZagłębie Lubin
27Goals conceded (season)18
Pogoń SzczecinZagłębie Lubin
3.2Average goals in match3.21
Pogoń SzczecinZagłębie Lubin
7Goals scored (last 5)7
Pogoń SzczecinZagłębie Lubin
8Goals conceded (last 5)5
Pogoń SzczecinZagłębie Lubin

How often they score at least...

73%1 goal86%
Pogoń SzczecinZagłębie Lubin
47%2 goals57%
Pogoń SzczecinZagłębie Lubin
13%3 goals21%
Pogoń SzczecinZagłębie Lubin
7%4 goals14%
Pogoń SzczecinZagłębie Lubin

How often they concede at least...

93%1 goal79%
Pogoń SzczecinZagłębie Lubin
47%2 goals43%
Pogoń SzczecinZagłębie Lubin
20%3 goals7%
Pogoń SzczecinZagłębie Lubin
13%4 goals0%
Pogoń SzczecinZagłębie Lubin

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

71%
Zagłębie Lubin - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.10 of 14 matches
61%
League average

Goal patterns

40%BTTS at half-time21%
Pogoń SzczecinZagłębie Lubin
7%BTTS in both halves14%
Pogoń SzczecinZagłębie Lubin
33%Scored in both halves43%
Pogoń SzczecinZagłębie Lubin

BTTS and goal count

60%Min. 3 goals and BTTS57%
Pogoń SzczecinZagłębie Lubin
7%Min. 3 goals without BTTS7%
Pogoń SzczecinZagłębie Lubin
80%BTTS - last 560%
Pogoń SzczecinZagłębie Lubin

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

87%Min. 1 goal before half-time79%
Pogoń SzczecinZagłębie Lubin
40%Min. 2 goals before half-time50%
Pogoń SzczecinZagłębie Lubin
13%Min. 3 goals before half-time14%
Pogoń SzczecinZagłębie Lubin

2nd half

87%Min. 1 goal after half-time79%
Pogoń SzczecinZagłębie Lubin
47%Min. 2 goals after half-time64%
Pogoń SzczecinZagłębie Lubin
27%Min. 3 goals after half-time14%
Pogoń SzczecinZagłębie Lubin

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Zagłębie Lubin is 86% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / match - Pogoń Szczecin · 1.86 pts / match - Zagłębie Lubin

Pogoń Szczecin - half-time state
20% leading40% draw40% trailing
Zagłębie Lubin - half-time state
50% leading36% draw14% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per match (1st half)1.86
Pogoń SzczecinZagłębie Lubin
0.6Goals scored (1st half)1.07
Pogoń SzczecinZagłębie Lubin
0.8Goals conceded (1st half)0.43
Pogoń SzczecinZagłębie Lubin
1.4Average goals (1st half)1.5
Pogoń SzczecinZagłębie Lubin
20%Clean sheet before half-time64%
Pogoń SzczecinZagłębie Lubin
53%No goal before half-time36%
Pogoń SzczecinZagłębie Lubin

After half-time (2nd half)

1.33Points per match (2nd half)1.21
Pogoń SzczecinZagłębie Lubin
0.8Goals scored (2nd half)0.86
Pogoń SzczecinZagłębie Lubin
1Goals conceded (2nd half)0.86
Pogoń SzczecinZagłębie Lubin
1.8Average goals (2nd half)1.71
Pogoń SzczecinZagłębie Lubin
53%Clean sheet after half-time36%
Pogoń SzczecinZagłębie Lubin
40%No goal after half-time36%
Pogoń SzczecinZagłębie Lubin

Pogoń Szczecin - second-half results

40% W13% R47% P
15
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
20
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding165%

Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Zagłębie Lubin - second-half results

21% W57% R21% P
26
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
+9
Goal difference (1st half)
17
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.86
PPG before half-time
Lead holding72%

Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 36%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Pogoń Szczecin - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.20
Goals scored / match0.60.8
Goals conceded / match0.80.8
Average goals in match1.41.6
1 goal100%100%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference-10
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 0% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3
Zagłębie Lubin - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.40
Goals scored / match0.60.8
Goals conceded / match0.40.6
Average goals in match1.01.4
1 goal60%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference+1+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 80% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Pogoń Szczecin
ScoredConceded
2
3
0-15
2
5
16-30
5
4
31-45
3
6
46-60
2
2
61-75
7
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Zagłębie Lubin
ScoredConceded
8
1
0-15
1
3
16-30
6
2
31-45
2
9
46-60
5
1
61-75
5
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.21
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
110%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
69%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
63%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Pogoń Szczecin

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.08
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.32
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.36
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.04
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
82%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
148%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.27
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

Zagłębie Lubin

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.30
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.94
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-8.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.44
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.50
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
158%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
75%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.10
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 30% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ekstraklasa).

Teams vs league

Pogoń SzczecinLigaZagłębie Lubin
Average goals in match 3.202.93 3.21
Both teams scored 67%61% 71%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 67%57% 64%
Clean sheets 7%22% 21%
Goal before half-time 87%75% 79%
Goal after half-time 87%83% 79%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.93
Average goals per match
61%
Both teams scored
57%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
22%
Clean sheets
1.71
Home goals / match
1.22
Away goals / match
+40%
Home attack advantage
+29%
Home defence advantage
+21%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
83%
1 goal
51%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Pogoń SzczecinGoalDimitrios Keramitsis
  2. Pogoń SzczecinYellow cardDanijel Lončar
  3. Pogoń SzczecinYellow cardFredrik Stensøe Ulvestad
  4. Pogoń SzczecinGoalRajmund MolnárAssist: Linus Wahlqvist
  5. Pogoń SzczecinGoalAdrian Przyborek
  6. Zagłębie LubinGoalMateusz DziewiatowskiAssist: Kajetan Szmyt
  7. Zagłębie LubinSubstitutionOn: Mateusz WdowiakOff: Jesús Antonio Díaz Gómez
  8. Zagłębie LubinYellow cardJasmin Burić
  9. Pogoń SzczecinGoalRajmund Molnár
  10. Pogoń SzczecinSubstitutionOn: Musa JuwaraOff: Adrian Przyborek
  11. Zagłębie LubinSubstitutionOn: Michalis KosidisOff: Igor Orlikowski
  12. Pogoń SzczecinGoalSam GreenwoodAssist: Leonardo Pablo Koutris

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Łukasz KuźmaMatches officiated: 20
4.05Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 245%Home wins25%Draws30%Away wins

FAQ

What was the result of Pogoń Szczecin vs Zagłębie Lubin?

The Ekstraklasa match finished Pogoń Szczecin 5:1 Zagłębie Lubin. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Pogoń Szczecin vs Zagłębie Lubin?

Pogoń Szczecin score 1.40 goals per game on average and Zagłębie Lubin 1.93. The Ekstraklasa average is 2.93 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Pogoń Szczecin's matches and 71% of Zagłębie Lubin's.

What form are Pogoń Szczecin and Zagłębie Lubin in?

Over the last 5 games Pogoń Szczecin have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Zagłębie Lubin 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Pogoń Szczecin vs Zagłębie Lubin?

The statistical background for Pogoń Szczecin vs Zagłębie Lubin — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.