Pohang Steelers vs Gwangju: match statistics
Pohang Steelers vs Gwangju: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Pohang Steelers played Gwangju in K League 1 (South Korea). The match was played on 22 April 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Pohang Steelers: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Gwangju: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Pohang Steelers scores 0.50 and concedes 0.75 goals per match. Gwangju scores 0.63 and concedes 2.13. League average: 2.25 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Pohang Steelers 25%, Gwangju 38%. Over 2.5: Pohang Steelers 0%, Gwangju 50%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 37%.
xG, shots and style
Pohang Steelers has higher xG: 1.43 vs 1.07. Pohang Steelers: 12.1 shots per match, Gwangju: 8.6.
Match halves
Pohang Steelers: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.38. Gwangju: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.38.
Goals by minute
Pohang Steelers: 46-60 (2 goals). Gwangju: 61-75 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
K League 1: 2.25 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 37%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-1. Average goals 2.33, BTTS 33%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Pohang is the favorite in this matchup; the hosts concede an average of 0.71 goals per home game, while Gwangju concedes as many as 2.8 goals on the road. Pohang generates more high-quality chances: home xG averages 1.47 versus 0.94 for the visitors, and 11.86 shots with 3.86 on target per game compared to 7.4 and 2.0 for Gwangju. Both teams have low finishing efficiency — Pohang scores 0.43 goals per home game, Gwangju 0.4, and the percentage of games without scoring is 57% for Pohang and 60% for Gwangju. In the last 5 matches the home-side advantage is pronounced: Pohang averages 1.4 points per game and has conceded 3 goals, whereas Gwangju averages 0.2 pts/game and has conceded 15 goals. Considering the superior defense (clean sheets 43% for the hosts vs 20% for the visitors), Gwangju's zero away win rate (Win% 0) and the advantage in xG and shots, I back the home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Statistics point to a “No” scenario: Gwangju average just 0.4 goals away with a 5% shot conversion, and also 0.4 G in their last 5 matches. At the same time Gwangju concedes 2.8 goals on the road and 15 goals in the last 5 fixtures (3.0 per game), showing major defensive vulnerability. Pohang at home has a season average of 1.0 goals, xG_for 1.14, 3.33 shots on target per game and 12% conversion, but in the last 5 matches scored only 0.4 goals and recorded 0% BTTS. Season BTTS rates are 33% for Pohang and 40% for Gwangju (league average 56%), however the combination of Gwangju’s weak attack (0.4) and Pohang’s L5 BTTS absence (0%) gives a strong signal for No Goal/Goal = No. Therefore I assign 70% probability to BTTS=no and 30% to BTTS=yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I estimate a total of 2.51 goals in the match (Pohang 1.41, Gwangju 1.10) based on a combination of seasonal xG and form over the last 5 matches. Gwangju concedes an average of 2.8 goals per away match this season and has conceded 15 goals in the last 5 fixtures (3.0 average), while their season rate of matches over 1.5 goals is 80%, which increases the likelihood of a higher-scoring game. Pohang has an attacking xG of 1.14 (last 5: 1.33), 3.33 shots on target at home and a 12% conversion rate, and the opponent’s defense allows xG of roughly 1.59–1.56, hence the forecast of 1.41 goals for the home side. Since the league average is 2.21 goals and my projection is 2.51, the strongest signal is to play the over, particularly the 1.5 line (high probability); Over 2.5 has a moderate edge (~56%). I recommend Over 1.5 as the primary pick, with Over 2.5 as a smaller-value option.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Statistics indicate Pohang's advantage: the home side's average xG is 1.14 versus Gwangju's 0.94, and shots on target 3.33 vs 2.0 with conversion rates of 12% vs 5%, increasing their chances of scoring. Gwangju have serious defensive issues – they concede on average 2.8 goals per match and as many as 3 goals in the 0–15 minute period away from home, while Pohang concede 1.0 goal per match on average, so the risk of an early home goal is real. However, Pohang's matches are often level at half-time: drawingAtHTPercentage_home is 100% this season, and in the last five matches the hosts led in 20% and were tied in 60%, which favors a half-time draw. In the second half the hosts are more effective – they score on average 0.67 goals after the break versus Gwangju's 0.2 and have accumulated 4 points in second halves compared to the visitors' 2 points, therefore the strongest signal is a Half-Time/Full-Time market of draw at the break and home win (X/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Pohang Steelers | Gwangju | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 27% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Pohang Steelers is 600% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Pohang Steelers · 0.2 pts / match - Gwangju
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Gwangju is 26% better for: goals scored per match.
0.5 goals / match - Pohang Steelers · 0.63 goals / match - Gwangju
Pohang Steelers is 184% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.75 goals / match - Pohang Steelers · 2.13 goals / match - Gwangju
Pohang Steelers scores in 50% of matches (4 of 8 matches), while Gwangju keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 matches).
Gwangju scores in 38% of matches (3 of 8 matches), while Pohang Steelers keeps a clean sheet in 38% (3 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Pohang Steelers
Over / Under - Gwangju
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Pohang Steelers is 19% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.75 pts / match - Pohang Steelers · 0.63 pts / match - Gwangju
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Pohang Steelers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Gwangju - second-half results
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -9 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (2 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Pohang Steelers
Gwangju
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (K League 1).
Teams vs league
| Pohang Steelers | Liga | Gwangju | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.25 | 2.25 | ▲ 2.75 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 25% | 55% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 0% | 37% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 27% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | • 63% | 63% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 50% | 76% | • 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Pohang Steelers 2 - 0 - 1 Gwangju. Average goals 2.33, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Pohang Steelers vs Gwangju?
The K League 1 match finished Pohang Steelers 1:0 Gwangju. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Pohang Steelers and Gwangju?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Pohang Steelers won 2, Gwangju won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Pohang Steelers vs Gwangju?
Pohang Steelers score 0.50 goals per game on average and Gwangju 0.63. The K League 1 average is 2.25 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 37% of games. Both teams score in 25% of Pohang Steelers's matches and 38% of Gwangju's.
What form are Pohang Steelers and Gwangju in?
Over the last 5 games Pohang Steelers have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Gwangju 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Pohang Steelers vs Gwangju?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.