Polessya vs Hirnyk: match statistics
Polessya demonstrate impressive form in their last five matches (4 wins, 1 loss) and earn an average of 2.4 points per game, making them the favorites for this fixture. The hosts have a positive goal difference at home (+5) and high efficiency with a 60% clean sheet rate in home matches. Hirnyk, despite a solid unbeaten streak in their last five games, have a weaker away record with a negative goal difference (-3) and concede an average of 1.6 goals on the road. The xG statistics also lean in Polessya's favor (1.42 vs 1.17), suggesting their superiority in creating scoring chances. Taking into account the hosts' advantage in ball possession (54% vs 46%) and better goal-scoring form in recent matches (13 goals vs 7), I expect a victory for Polessya, although Hirnyk's defensive solidity could make it a closely fought match with a possibility of a draw.
Polessya vs Hirnyk: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Polessya played Hirnyk in Ukrainian Premier League (Ukraine). The match was played on 14 March 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Polessya: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Hirnyk: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Polessya scores 1.68 and concedes 0.74 goals per match. Hirnyk scores 1.63 and concedes 1.32. League average: 2.56 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Polessya 26%, Hirnyk 58%. Over 2.5: Polessya 42%, Hirnyk 63%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Polessya has higher xG: 1.39 vs 1.37. Polessya: 12.2 shots per match, Hirnyk: 11.4.
Match halves
Polessya: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 0.68. Hirnyk: half-time lead 53%, second-half goals 0.68.
Goals by minute
Polessya: 31-45+ (8 goals). Hirnyk: 0-15 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ukrainian Premier League: 2.56 goals per match, BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Polessya demonstrate impressive form in their last five matches (4 wins, 1 loss) and earn an average of 2.4 points per game, making them the favorites for this fixture. The hosts have a positive goal difference at home (+5) and high efficiency with a 60% clean sheet rate in home matches. Hirnyk, despite a solid unbeaten streak in their last five games, have a weaker away record with a negative goal difference (-3) and concede an average of 1.6 goals on the road. The xG statistics also lean in Polessya's favor (1.42 vs 1.17), suggesting their superiority in creating scoring chances. Taking into account the hosts' advantage in ball possession (54% vs 46%) and better goal-scoring form in recent matches (13 goals vs 7), I expect a victory for Polessya, although Hirnyk's defensive solidity could make it a closely fought match with a possibility of a draw.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Polessya | Hirnyk | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Polessya is 78% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.74 goals / match - Polessya · 1.32 goals / match - Hirnyk
Polessya scores in 68% of matches (13 of 19 matches), while Hirnyk keeps a clean sheet in 26% (5 of 19 matches).
Hirnyk scores in 68% of matches (13 of 19 matches), while Polessya keeps a clean sheet in 58% (11 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Polessya
Over / Under - Hirnyk
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Hirnyk is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.79 pts / match - Polessya · 1.89 pts / match - Hirnyk
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Polessya - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 58%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Hirnyk - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 53% of matches and wins 42%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Polessya
Hirnyk
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ukrainian Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Polessya | Liga | Hirnyk | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.42 | 2.56 | ▲ 2.95 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 26% | 43% | ▲ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 42% | 48% | ▲ 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 58% | 34% | ▼ 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 68% | 71% | ▼ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | • 74% | 74% | ▲ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- HirnykYellow cardYevgen Mayakov
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Polessya 1 - 0 - 0 Hirnyk. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Polessya vs Hirnyk?
The Ukrainian Premier League match finished Polessya 2:0 Hirnyk. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Polessya vs Hirnyk?
Polessya score 1.68 goals per game on average and Hirnyk 1.63. The Ukrainian Premier League average is 2.56 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 26% of Polessya's matches and 58% of Hirnyk's.
What form are Polessya and Hirnyk in?
Over the last 5 games Polessya have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Hirnyk 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Polessya vs Hirnyk?
The statistical background for Polessya vs Hirnyk — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.