Polessya vs Karpaty: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Polessya played Karpaty in Ukrainian Premier League (Ukraine). The match was played on 13 December 2025. Final score: 3:2.

Current form

Polessya: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Karpaty: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Polessya scores 1.53 and concedes 0.60 goals per match. Karpaty scores 1.20 and concedes 1.20. League average: 2.55 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Polessya 13%, Karpaty 47%. Over 2.5: Polessya 33%, Karpaty 33%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 46%.

xG, shots and style

Karpaty has higher xG: 1.75 vs 1.44. Polessya: 12.7 shots per match, Karpaty: 14.9.

Match halves

Polessya: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.67. Karpaty: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.73.

Goals by minute

Polessya: 31-45+ (6 goals). Karpaty: 16-30 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ukrainian Premier League: 2.55 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 46%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.

Half-by-half

2 : 0
1st half
1 : 2
2nd half

Match statistics

51Possession (%)49
PolessyaKarpaty
11Shots13
PolessyaKarpaty
5Shots on target5
PolessyaKarpaty
1.4xG1.51
PolessyaKarpaty
2Corners4
PolessyaKarpaty
48Dangerous attacks47
PolessyaKarpaty
8Fouls9
PolessyaKarpaty
0Cards2
PolessyaKarpaty

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.53Goals scored / match1.2
PolessyaKarpaty
0.6Goals conceded / match1.2
PolessyaKarpaty
54%Average possession54%
PolessyaKarpaty
4.27Shots on target / match5.4
PolessyaKarpaty

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.73Shots per match14.87
PolessyaKarpaty
4.27Shots on target5.4
PolessyaKarpaty
12%Shot conversion8.1%
PolessyaKarpaty
54%Possession54%
PolessyaKarpaty
1.44xG for1.75
PolessyaKarpaty
1.1xG against1.39
PolessyaKarpaty

Shooting quality

Polessya: BalancedKarpaty: Attacking
PolessyaKarpaty
Accuracy (shots on target)34%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.360.22

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Polessya is 14% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - Polessya · 1.4 pts / match - Karpaty

Polessya
DWDWL
Season result split
53% W20% D27% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-3-4
1.80 pts / match · goal difference +14
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-3-2
Last 5 at home
2-3-0
WDDDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 0.2xG: 1.20Opponent xG: 0.89BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 20%
Karpaty
WWLDL
Season result split
27% W47% D27% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-7-4
1.27 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-3-1
Last 5 away
3-1-1
WWWDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.60Opponent xG: 1.34BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Polessya is 28% better for: goals scored per match.

1.53 goals / match - Polessya · 1.2 goals / match - Karpaty

Polessya is 100% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.6 goals / match - Polessya · 1.2 goals / match - Karpaty

Polessya scoring profile: mixed

Polessya scores in 60% of matches (9 of 15 matches), while Karpaty keeps a clean sheet in 40% (6 of 15 matches).

Karpaty scoring profile: mixed

Karpaty scores in 73% of matches (11 of 15 matches), while Polessya keeps a clean sheet in 67% (10 of 15 matches).

23Goals scored (season)18
PolessyaKarpaty
9Goals conceded (season)18
PolessyaKarpaty
2.13Average goals in match2.4
PolessyaKarpaty
5Goals scored (last 5)3
PolessyaKarpaty
1Goals conceded (last 5)3
PolessyaKarpaty

How often they score at least...

60%1 goal73%
PolessyaKarpaty
47%2 goals33%
PolessyaKarpaty
27%3 goals13%
PolessyaKarpaty
20%4 goals0%
PolessyaKarpaty

How often they concede at least...

33%1 goal60%
PolessyaKarpaty
13%2 goals40%
PolessyaKarpaty
7%3 goals20%
PolessyaKarpaty
7%4 goals0%
PolessyaKarpaty

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

7%BTTS at half-time20%
PolessyaKarpaty
0%BTTS in both halves13%
PolessyaKarpaty
33%Scored in both halves27%
PolessyaKarpaty

BTTS and goal count

13%Min. 3 goals and BTTS33%
PolessyaKarpaty
20%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
PolessyaKarpaty
0%BTTS - last 520%
PolessyaKarpaty

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

60%Min. 1 goal before half-time73%
PolessyaKarpaty
33%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
PolessyaKarpaty
20%Min. 3 goals before half-time13%
PolessyaKarpaty

2nd half

67%Min. 1 goal after half-time67%
PolessyaKarpaty
27%Min. 2 goals after half-time27%
PolessyaKarpaty
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time20%
PolessyaKarpaty

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Polessya is 42% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.6 pts / match - Polessya · 1.13 pts / match - Karpaty

Polessya - half-time state
40% leading40% draw20% trailing
Karpaty - half-time state
27% leading33% draw40% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.6Points per match (1st half)1.13
PolessyaKarpaty
0.87Goals scored (1st half)0.47
PolessyaKarpaty
0.33Goals conceded (1st half)0.73
PolessyaKarpaty
1.2Average goals (1st half)1.2
PolessyaKarpaty
80%Clean sheet before half-time47%
PolessyaKarpaty
53%No goal before half-time60%
PolessyaKarpaty

After half-time (2nd half)

1.6Points per match (2nd half)1.73
PolessyaKarpaty
0.67Goals scored (2nd half)0.73
PolessyaKarpaty
0.27Goals conceded (2nd half)0.47
PolessyaKarpaty
0.93Average goals (2nd half)1.2
PolessyaKarpaty
73%Clean sheet after half-time73%
PolessyaKarpaty
53%No goal after half-time40%
PolessyaKarpaty

Polessya - second-half results

40% W40% D20% L
24
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
+8
Goal difference (1st half)
24
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.60
PPG before half-time
Lead holding133%

Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Karpaty - second-half results

47% W33% D20% L
17
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
26
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.13
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.3

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Polessya - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.80
Goals scored / match0.40.6
Goals conceded / match0.20.0
Average goals in match0.60.6
1 goal60%40%
2 goals0%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%100%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference+1+3
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2
Karpaty - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.20
Goals scored / match0.40.2
Goals conceded / match0.40.2
Average goals in match0.80.4
1 goal60%40%
2 goals20%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference00
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Polessya
ScoredConceded
4
0
0-15
3
2
16-30
6
3
31-45
3
2
46-60
2
1
61-75
5
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

Karpaty
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
4
6
16-30
2
3
31-45
3
4
46-60
4
1
61-75
4
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.26
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 0.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
89%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
30%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-12%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
44%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
11%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 9 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Polessya

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.34
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.59
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-12.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.09
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.50
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
124%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
45%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.20
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

Karpaty

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.36
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.36
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.55
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.19
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
90%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
98%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.13
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 6% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ukrainian Premier League).

Teams vs league

PolessyaLigaKarpaty
Average goals in match 2.132.55 2.40
Both teams scored 13%46% 47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 33%46% 33%
Clean sheets 67%33% 40%
Goal before half-time 60%72% 73%
Goal after half-time 67%74% 67%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.55
Average goals per match
46%
Both teams scored
46%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
33%
Clean sheets
1.23
Home goals / match
1.33
Away goals / match
+-8%
Home attack advantage
+-8%
Home defence advantage
+-3%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
37%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. KarpatyYellow cardPatricio Damián Tanda
  2. PolessyaSubstitutionOn: Oleksandr IvanovOff: Oleksandr Nazarenko
  3. PolessyaSubstitutionOn: João Victor Dall 'Stella VialleOff: Borys Krushynskyi

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Oleksandr AfanasievMatches officiated: 12
2.5Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 225%Home wins17%Draws57%Away wins

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Polessya 1 - 0 - 0 Karpaty. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FC Karpaty Lviv
0 : 2
Polessya Zhitomir

FAQ

What was the result of Polessya vs Karpaty?

The Ukrainian Premier League match finished Polessya 3:2 Karpaty. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Polessya vs Karpaty?

Polessya score 1.53 goals per game on average and Karpaty 1.20. The Ukrainian Premier League average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 13% of Polessya's matches and 47% of Karpaty's.

What form are Polessya and Karpaty in?

Over the last 5 games Polessya have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Karpaty 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Polessya vs Karpaty?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Polessya vs Karpaty: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.