Polessya vs Obolon-Brovar: match statistics
Polessya vs Obolon-Brovar: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Polessya play Obolon-Brovar in Ukrainian Premier League (Ukraine). The match date is 26 April 2026 at 17:00. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Polessya: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Obolon-Brovar: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Polessya scores 1.70 and concedes 0.70 goals per match. Obolon-Brovar scores 0.93 and concedes 1.63. League average: 2.57 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Polessya 30%, Obolon-Brovar 47%. Over 2.5: Polessya 40%, Obolon-Brovar 53%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Polessya has higher xG: 1.65 vs 1.12. Polessya: 14.8 shots per match, Obolon-Brovar: 9.2.
Match halves
Polessya: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.73. Obolon-Brovar: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.37.
Goals by minute
Polessya: 31-45+ (11 goals). Obolon-Brovar: 0-15 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ukrainian Premier League: 2.57 goals per match, BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Polessya has a clear advantage on paper: they sit 3rd and have scored 41 goals this season, while Obolon-Brovar are 12th with only 18 goals. In the last 5 matches the home side recorded 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, scoring 9 goals and averaging 2.0 points per game, whereas the visitors have not won any of their last 5 matches (0-2-3), scoring 5 goals and averaging 0.4 points. Defensively at home Polessya concedes 0.67 goals per game on average and has 58% clean sheets, while Obolon away concedes 1.55 goals on average and has only 18% clean sheets; additionally in the last 5 matches the hosts conceded 2 goals and the visitors 12. The quality of chances created confirms the hosts’ advantage: Polessya’s average xG is 1.51 versus 0.98 for Obolon, shots on target 4.83 vs 2.73 and possession 56% vs 42%. Taking into account 41 vs 18 goals, 0.67 vs 1.55 conceded, the xG and form advantage (averaging 2.0 vs 0.4 points), I predict a home win with probability 70%, draw 18% and away win 12%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Polessya | Obolon-Brovar | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Polessya is 100% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Polessya · 1 pts / match - Obolon-Brovar
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Polessya is 83% better for: goals scored per match.
1.7 goals / match - Polessya · 0.93 goals / match - Obolon-Brovar
Polessya is 133% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.7 goals / match - Polessya · 1.63 goals / match - Obolon-Brovar
Polessya scores in 73% of matches (22 of 30 matches), while Obolon-Brovar keeps a clean sheet in 27% (8 of 30 matches).
Obolon-Brovar scores in 60% of matches (18 of 30 matches), while Polessya keeps a clean sheet in 57% (17 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Polessya
Over / Under — Obolon-Brovar
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Polessya is 73% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.9 pts / match - Polessya · 1.1 pts / match - Obolon-Brovar
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Polessya - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Obolon-Brovar - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 23%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Polessya
Obolon-Brovar
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ukrainian Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Polessya | Liga | Obolon-Brovar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.40 | 2.57 | • 2.57 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 30% | 43% | ▲ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 40% | 47% | ▲ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 57% | 33% | ▼ 27% |
| Goal before half-time | • 67% | 68% | • 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 76% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Polessya 1 - 0 - 0 Obolon-Brovar. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Polessya vs Obolon-Brovar?
The Ukrainian Premier League match finished Polessya 3:1 Obolon-Brovar. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Polessya vs Obolon-Brovar?
Polessya score 1.70 goals per game on average and Obolon-Brovar 0.93. The Ukrainian Premier League average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 30% of Polessya's matches and 47% of Obolon-Brovar's.
What form are Polessya and Obolon-Brovar in?
Over the last 5 games Polessya have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Obolon-Brovar 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Polessya vs Obolon-Brovar?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.