Police Uganda vs Calvary: match statistics
Police Uganda presents significantly higher form and class than Calvary, reflected in the statistics. The hosts occupy 4th place in the table with 67% home wins, while Calvary sits in 16th position without a single away victory all season. Police Uganda has scored 23 goals this season, conceding only 12, resulting in a +7 goal difference at their home stadium. Conversely, Calvary has scored a mere 6 goals while conceding 22, with a disastrous -12 record on the road. Recent form also favors the hosts - Police has won 3 of their last 5 matches, whereas Calvary has failed to win any of their last 5 away games. Additionally, the visitors failed to score in 71% of away matches, which, combined with Police Uganda's efficiency (18% shot conversion), points to a sure victory for the hosts.
Police Uganda vs Calvary: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Police Uganda played Calvary in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The match was played on 21 January 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Police Uganda: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Calvary: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Police Uganda scores 1.92 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Calvary scores 0.50 and concedes 1.83. League average: 2.32 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Police Uganda 75%, Calvary 33%. Over 2.5: Police Uganda 67%, Calvary 33%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 41%.
xG, shots and style
Police Uganda has higher xG: 1.75 vs 1.17. Police Uganda: 11.4 shots per match, Calvary: 3.7.
Match halves
Police Uganda: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.08. Calvary: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.25.
Goals by minute
Police Uganda: 76-90+ (7 goals). Calvary: 0-15 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Uganda Premier League: 2.32 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 41%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Police Uganda presents significantly higher form and class than Calvary, reflected in the statistics. The hosts occupy 4th place in the table with 67% home wins, while Calvary sits in 16th position without a single away victory all season. Police Uganda has scored 23 goals this season, conceding only 12, resulting in a +7 goal difference at their home stadium. Conversely, Calvary has scored a mere 6 goals while conceding 22, with a disastrous -12 record on the road. Recent form also favors the hosts - Police has won 3 of their last 5 matches, whereas Calvary has failed to win any of their last 5 away games. Additionally, the visitors failed to score in 71% of away matches, which, combined with Police Uganda's efficiency (18% shot conversion), points to a sure victory for the hosts.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Police Uganda | Calvary | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 27% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.32 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.44 | 0.50 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Police Uganda is 400% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Police Uganda · 0.4 pts / match - Calvary
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Police Uganda is 284% better for: goals scored per match.
1.92 goals / match - Police Uganda · 0.5 goals / match - Calvary
Police Uganda is 83% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Police Uganda · 1.83 goals / match - Calvary
Police Uganda scores in 100% of matches (12 of 12 matches), while Calvary keeps a clean sheet in 17% (2 of 12 matches).
Calvary scores in 33% of matches (4 of 12 matches), while Police Uganda keeps a clean sheet in 25% (3 of 12 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Police Uganda
Over / Under - Calvary
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Police Uganda is 238% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.42 pts / match - Police Uganda · 0.42 pts / match - Calvary
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Police Uganda - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 58%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Calvary - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +7 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Police Uganda
Calvary
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Police Uganda | Liga | Calvary | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.92 | 2.32 | • 2.33 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 75% | 45% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 41% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 25% | 32% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 61% | ▼ 58% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 62% | ▼ 42% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Police Uganda vs Calvary?
The Uganda Premier League match finished Police Uganda 2:0 Calvary. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Police Uganda vs Calvary?
Police Uganda score 1.92 goals per game on average and Calvary 0.50. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.32 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 41% of games. Both teams score in 75% of Police Uganda's matches and 33% of Calvary's.
What form are Police Uganda and Calvary in?
Over the last 5 games Police Uganda have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Calvary 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Police Uganda vs Calvary?
The statistical background for Police Uganda vs Calvary — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.