Police Uganda vs Kitara: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Police Uganda played Kitara in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The match was played on 27 November 2025. Final score: 1:2.

Current form

Police Uganda: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Kitara: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Police Uganda scores 1.71 and concedes 1.14 goals per match. Kitara scores 1.50 and concedes 0.83. League average: 2.39 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Police Uganda 86%, Kitara 33%. Over 2.5: Police Uganda 71%, Kitara 33%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 45%.

xG, shots and style

Police Uganda has higher xG: 1.72 vs 1.63. Police Uganda: 10.9 shots per match, Kitara: 12.0.

Match halves

Police Uganda: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 0.71. Kitara: half-time lead 67%, second-half goals 0.50.

Goals by minute

Police Uganda: 16-30 (5 goals). Kitara: 0-15 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Uganda Premier League: 2.39 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 45%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

0 : 1
1st half
1 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

50Possession (%)50
Police UgandaKitara
6Shots11
Police UgandaKitara
3Shots on target5
Police UgandaKitara
0xG0
Police UgandaKitara
3Corners1
Police UgandaKitara
0Dangerous attacks0
Police UgandaKitara
11Fouls19
Police UgandaKitara
0Cards0
Police UgandaKitara

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.71Goals scored / match1.5
Police UgandaKitara
1.14Goals conceded / match0.83
Police UgandaKitara
42%Average possession49%
Police UgandaKitara
4.14Shots on target / match4.67
Police UgandaKitara

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.86Shots per match12
Police UgandaKitara
4.14Shots on target4.67
Police UgandaKitara
15.8%Shot conversion12.5%
Police UgandaKitara
42%Possession49%
Police UgandaKitara
1.72xG for1.63
Police UgandaKitara
1.56xG against1.38
Police UgandaKitara

Shooting quality

Police Uganda: Counter-attackingKitara: Balanced
Police UgandaKitara
Accuracy (shots on target)38%39%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.160.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.410.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Police Uganda is 11% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / match - Police Uganda · 1.8 pts / match - Kitara

Police Uganda
DLWWW
Season result split
57% W29% D14% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-2-1
2.00 pts / match · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-1-0
Last 5 at home
2-1-0
DWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.62Opponent xG: 1.65BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
Kitara
LWWLW
Season result split
50% W17% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-1-2
1.67 pts / match · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-0-2
Last 5 away
0-0-2
LL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.83Opponent xG: 1.38BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Police Uganda is 14% better for: goals scored per match.

1.71 goals / match - Police Uganda · 1.5 goals / match - Kitara

Kitara is 37% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.14 goals / match - Police Uganda · 0.83 goals / match - Kitara

Police Uganda scoring profile: very strong

Police Uganda scores in 100% of matches (7 of 7 matches), while Kitara keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 matches).

Kitara scoring profile: very strong

Kitara scores in 67% of matches (4 of 6 matches), while Police Uganda keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 matches).

12Goals scored (season)9
Police UgandaKitara
8Goals conceded (season)5
Police UgandaKitara
2.86Average goals in match2.33
Police UgandaKitara
9Goals scored (last 5)8
Police UgandaKitara
6Goals conceded (last 5)4
Police UgandaKitara

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal67%
Police UgandaKitara
71%2 goals33%
Police UgandaKitara
0%3 goals33%
Police UgandaKitara
0%4 goals17%
Police UgandaKitara

How often they concede at least...

86%1 goal67%
Police UgandaKitara
29%2 goals17%
Police UgandaKitara
0%3 goals0%
Police UgandaKitara
0%4 goals0%
Police UgandaKitara

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

48%
League average

Goal patterns

29%BTTS at half-time17%
Police UgandaKitara
0%BTTS in both halves17%
Police UgandaKitara
14%Scored in both halves33%
Police UgandaKitara

BTTS and goal count

71%Min. 3 goals and BTTS17%
Police UgandaKitara
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS17%
Police UgandaKitara
80%BTTS - last 520%
Police UgandaKitara

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

71%Min. 1 goal before half-time67%
Police UgandaKitara
29%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
Police UgandaKitara
14%Min. 3 goals before half-time17%
Police UgandaKitara

2nd half

71%Min. 1 goal after half-time83%
Police UgandaKitara
43%Min. 2 goals after half-time33%
Police UgandaKitara
29%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
Police UgandaKitara

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Kitara is 36% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.71 pts / match - Police Uganda · 2.33 pts / match - Kitara

Police Uganda - half-time state
43% leading43% draw14% trailing
Kitara - half-time state
67% leading33% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.71Points per match (1st half)2.33
Police UgandaKitara
0.71Goals scored (1st half)1
Police UgandaKitara
0.43Goals conceded (1st half)0.17
Police UgandaKitara
1.14Average goals (1st half)1.17
Police UgandaKitara
57%Clean sheet before half-time83%
Police UgandaKitara
43%No goal before half-time33%
Police UgandaKitara

After half-time (2nd half)

1.57Points per match (2nd half)0.83
Police UgandaKitara
0.71Goals scored (2nd half)0.5
Police UgandaKitara
0.71Goals conceded (2nd half)0.67
Police UgandaKitara
1.43Average goals (2nd half)1.17
Police UgandaKitara
43%Clean sheet after half-time33%
Police UgandaKitara
57%No goal after half-time67%
Police UgandaKitara

Police Uganda - second-half results

43% W29% D29% L
12
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
11
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.71
PPG before half-time
Lead holding133%

Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 57%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Kitara - second-half results

17% W33% D50% L
14
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
5
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.33
PPG before half-time
Lead holding75%

Leads at half-time in 67% of matches and wins 50%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Police Uganda - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.60
Goals scored / match0.60.8
Goals conceded / match0.40.8
Average goals in match1.01.6
1 goal60%60%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference+10
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Kitara - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.201.00
Goals scored / match1.00.6
Goals conceded / match0.20.6
Average goals in match1.21.2
1 goal60%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+40
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Police Uganda
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
5
0
16-30
0
2
31-45
0
0
46-60
1
2
61-75
4
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Kitara
ScoredConceded
4
0
0-15
1
1
16-30
1
0
31-45
1
0
46-60
0
2
61-75
2
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.59
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
108%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
60%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
67%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Police Uganda

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.16
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.41
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.01
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.42
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
121%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
116%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

Kitara

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.25
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.42
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.13
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.55
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
153%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
59%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.13
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.5
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 44% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).

Teams vs league

Police UgandaLigaKitara
Average goals in match▲ 2.862.39• 2.33
Both teams scored▲ 86%48%▼ 33%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 71%45%▼ 33%
Clean sheets▼ 14%32%• 33%
Goal before half-time▲ 71%59%▲ 67%
Goal after half-time▲ 71%57%▲ 83%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.39
Average goals per match
48%
Both teams scored
45%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
32%
Clean sheets
1.41
Home goals / match
0.98
Away goals / match
+44%
Home attack advantage
+30%
Home defence advantage
+23%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
59%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
57%
1 goal
23%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Home team

Away team

Other recorded players

—Patrick Kaddu⚽ 1

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. KitaraGoalPatrick Kaddu

FAQ

What was the result of Police Uganda vs Kitara?

The Uganda Premier League match finished Police Uganda 1:2 Kitara. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Police Uganda vs Kitara?

Police Uganda score 1.71 goals per game on average and Kitara 1.50. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.39 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 86% of Police Uganda's matches and 33% of Kitara's.

What form are Police Uganda and Kitara in?

Over the last 5 games Police Uganda have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Kitara 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Police Uganda vs Kitara?

The statistical background for Police Uganda vs Kitara — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.