Police Uganda vs UPDF: match statistics
Police Uganda vs UPDF: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Police Uganda play UPDF in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The match date is 29 April 2026 at 15:00. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Police Uganda: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. UPDF: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Police Uganda scores 1.40 and concedes 1.20 goals per match. UPDF scores 0.80 and concedes 1.37. League average: 2.09 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Police Uganda 63%, UPDF 40%. Over 2.5: Police Uganda 53%, UPDF 40%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 35%.
xG, shots and style
Police Uganda has higher xG: 1.54 vs 1.53. Police Uganda: 10.5 shots per match, UPDF: 10.8.
Match halves
Police Uganda: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.77. UPDF: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.43.
Goals by minute
Police Uganda: 76-90+ (11 goals). UPDF: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Uganda Premier League: 2.09 goals per match, BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 35%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Police Uganda are the favorites: they sit 6th vs UPDF's 12th, have 12 wins this season vs 5 and have scored 37 goals vs 22, giving them a clear season-long advantage. At home Police average 1.58 goals scored and concede only 0.83 per match, have a 67% home win rate and average 4.83 shots on target, while UPDF away average 1.08 goals, concede 1.75, have a 25% win rate and 3.64 shots on target. The efficiency gap is significant: the hosts register 13% shot conversion and 17% of matches without conceding, whereas the visitors have 9% conversion and 42% of matches without scoring, which favors Police despite similar xG (1.72 vs 1.60). It is worth noting, however, that in the last 5 matches UPDF have scored 8 goals and averaged 1.6 points per game versus Police's 6 goals and 1.2 points, indicating better form for the visitors. Taking this into account, I expect the hosts' defensive advantage and finishing to prevail, therefore I tip a Police victory.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Police Uganda | UPDF | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Police Uganda is 400% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Police Uganda · 0.2 pts / match - UPDF
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Police Uganda is 75% better for: goals scored per match.
1.4 goals / match - Police Uganda · 0.8 goals / match - UPDF
Police Uganda is 14% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.2 goals / match - Police Uganda · 1.37 goals / match - UPDF
Police Uganda scores in 83% of matches (25 of 30 matches), while UPDF keeps a clean sheet in 27% (8 of 30 matches).
UPDF scores in 50% of matches (15 of 30 matches), while Police Uganda keeps a clean sheet in 23% (7 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Police Uganda
Over / Under — UPDF
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Police Uganda is 46% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.27 pts / match - Police Uganda · 0.87 pts / match - UPDF
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Police Uganda - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
UPDF - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 17%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Police Uganda
UPDF
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Police Uganda | Liga | UPDF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.60 | 2.09 | • 2.17 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 38% | ▲ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 53% | 35% | ▲ 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 23% | 39% | ▼ 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 67% | 59% | • 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 62% | ▲ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Police Uganda 1 - 0 - 0 UPDF. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Police Uganda vs UPDF?
The Uganda Premier League match finished Police Uganda 2:0 UPDF. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Police Uganda vs UPDF?
Police Uganda score 1.40 goals per game on average and UPDF 0.80. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.09 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 35% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Police Uganda's matches and 40% of UPDF's.
What form are Police Uganda and UPDF in?
Over the last 5 games Police Uganda have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and UPDF 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Police Uganda vs UPDF?
The statistical background for Police Uganda vs UPDF — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.