Police vs APR: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates a balanced contest with an edge for a draw outcome. Police displays solid home form with a 60% win rate at their stadium and conceding just 0.6 goals per match on average, making them a tough opponent on their own ground. APR holds a higher position in the table (2nd place) and has a better overall record (10 wins), but their away form is significantly weaker – only 36% wins and as many as 45% draws on the road. The recent form of both teams is average (Police: 1 pt/match, APR: 1.2 pt/match in the last 5 games), which further supports the draw scenario. Similar xG values (Police 1.17 vs APR 1.12) and possession stats (Police 54% vs APR 55%) confirm the balanced quality of both sides. Considering the hosts' defensive solidity and the visitors' tendency to draw away, the most likely result is a share of the points.
Police vs APR: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Police played APR in National Soccer League (Rwanda). The match was played on 20 February 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Police: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. APR: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Police scores 0.95 and concedes 0.47 goals per match. APR scores 1.35 and concedes 0.75. League average: 2.06 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Police 32%, APR 50%. Over 2.5: Police 21%, APR 45%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 34%.
xG, shots and style
APR has higher xG: 1.24 vs 1.15. Police: 6.5 shots per match, APR: 8.2.
Match halves
Police: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 0.42. APR: half-time lead 45%, second-half goals 0.55.
Goals by minute
Police: 16-30 (5 goals). APR: 31-45+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National Soccer League: 2.06 goals per match, BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 34%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates a balanced contest with an edge for a draw outcome. Police displays solid home form with a 60% win rate at their stadium and conceding just 0.6 goals per match on average, making them a tough opponent on their own ground. APR holds a higher position in the table (2nd place) and has a better overall record (10 wins), but their away form is significantly weaker – only 36% wins and as many as 45% draws on the road. The recent form of both teams is average (Police: 1 pt/match, APR: 1.2 pt/match in the last 5 games), which further supports the draw scenario. Similar xG values (Police 1.17 vs APR 1.12) and possession stats (Police 54% vs APR 55%) confirm the balanced quality of both sides. Considering the hosts' defensive solidity and the visitors' tendency to draw away, the most likely result is a share of the points.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Police | APR | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.18 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.47 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
APR is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Police · 1.2 pts / match - APR
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
APR is 42% better for: goals scored per match.
0.95 goals / match - Police · 1.35 goals / match - APR
Police is 60% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.47 goals / match - Police · 0.75 goals / match - APR
Police scores in 63% of matches (12 of 19 matches), while APR keeps a clean sheet in 45% (9 of 20 matches).
APR scores in 75% of matches (15 of 20 matches), while Police keeps a clean sheet in 53% (10 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Police
Over / Under - APR
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Police is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.84 pts / match - Police · 1.75 pts / match - APR
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Police - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
APR - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 45% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Police
APR
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).
Teams vs league
| Police | Liga | APR | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.42 | 2.06 | • 2.10 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 32% | 43% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 21% | 34% | ▲ 45% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 53% | 35% | ▲ 45% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 47% | 64% | ▲ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | • 68% | 68% | ▲ 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- APRGoalDjibril Cheick Ouattara
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Police 0 - 1 - 0 APR. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Police vs APR?
The National Soccer League match finished Police 1:1 APR. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Police vs APR?
Police score 0.95 goals per game on average and APR 1.35. The National Soccer League average is 2.06 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 32% of Police's matches and 50% of APR's.
What form are Police and APR in?
Over the last 5 games Police have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and APR 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Police vs APR?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.