Police vs Gicumbi: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Police played Gicumbi in National Soccer League (Rwanda). The match was played on 22 November 2025. Final score: 2:1.

Current form

Police: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Gicumbi: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Police scores 1.14 and concedes 0.43 goals per match. Gicumbi scores 1.14 and concedes 1.14. League average: 1.66 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Police 43%, Gicumbi 57%. Over 2.5: Police 29%, Gicumbi 43%. League level: BTTS 32%, Over 2.5 21%.

xG, shots and style

Police has higher xG: 1.32 vs 0.83. Police: 7.9 shots per match, Gicumbi: 4.3.

Match halves

Police: half-time lead 57%, second-half goals 0.57. Gicumbi: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.43.

Goals by minute

Police: 16-30 (3 goals). Gicumbi: 0-15 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

National Soccer League: 1.66 goals per match, BTTS 32%, Over 2.5 21%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

1 : 1
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

45Possession (%)55
PoliceGicumbi
9Shots10
PoliceGicumbi
3Shots on target2
PoliceGicumbi
1.39xG1.52
PoliceGicumbi
8Corners4
PoliceGicumbi
82Dangerous attacks102
PoliceGicumbi
21Fouls8
PoliceGicumbi
0Cards0
PoliceGicumbi

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.14Goals scored / match1.14
PoliceGicumbi
0.43Goals conceded / match1.14
PoliceGicumbi
54%Average possession45%
PoliceGicumbi
3.71Shots on target / match1.43
PoliceGicumbi

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

7.86Shots per match4.29
PoliceGicumbi
3.71Shots on target1.43
PoliceGicumbi
14.5%Shot conversion26.7%
PoliceGicumbi
54%Possession45%
PoliceGicumbi
1.32xG for0.83
PoliceGicumbi
0.74xG against0.89
PoliceGicumbi

Shooting quality

Police: Efficient finishingGicumbi: Counter-attacking
PoliceGicumbi
Accuracy (shots on target)47%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.170.19
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.310.80

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Police is 38% better for: last-5 form.

2.2 pts / match - Police · 1.6 pts / match - Gicumbi

Police
WWWDD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
71% W29% R0% P
Season (W-D-L)
5-2-0
2.43 pts / match · goal difference +5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-1-0
Last 5 at home
3-1-0
WWWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.11Opponent xG: 0.67BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%
Gicumbi
WDWDL
Season result split
29% W29% R43% P
Season (W-D-L)
2-2-3
1.14 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-2
Last 5 away
1-1-2
LWDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 0.70Opponent xG: 0.72BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Police is 165% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.43 goals / match - Police · 1.14 goals / match - Gicumbi

Police scoring profile: very strong

Police scores in 86% of matches (6 of 7 matches), while Gicumbi keeps a clean sheet in 29% (2 of 7 matches).

Gicumbi scoring profile: mixed

Gicumbi scores in 71% of matches (5 of 7 matches), while Police keeps a clean sheet in 57% (4 of 7 matches).

8Goals scored (season)8
PoliceGicumbi
3Goals conceded (season)8
PoliceGicumbi
1.57Average goals in match2.29
PoliceGicumbi
5Goals scored (last 5)7
PoliceGicumbi
2Goals conceded (last 5)5
PoliceGicumbi

How often they score at least...

86%1 goal71%
PoliceGicumbi
29%2 goals43%
PoliceGicumbi
0%3 goals0%
PoliceGicumbi
0%4 goals0%
PoliceGicumbi

How often they concede at least...

43%1 goal71%
PoliceGicumbi
0%2 goals29%
PoliceGicumbi
0%3 goals14%
PoliceGicumbi
0%4 goals0%
PoliceGicumbi

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time29%
PoliceGicumbi
0%BTTS in both halves14%
PoliceGicumbi
29%Scored in both halves14%
PoliceGicumbi

BTTS and goal count

29%Min. 3 goals and BTTS43%
PoliceGicumbi
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
PoliceGicumbi
40%BTTS - last 560%
PoliceGicumbi

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

57%Min. 1 goal before half-time86%
PoliceGicumbi
0%Min. 2 goals before half-time43%
PoliceGicumbi
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time14%
PoliceGicumbi

2nd half

71%Min. 1 goal after half-time57%
PoliceGicumbi
29%Min. 2 goals after half-time29%
PoliceGicumbi
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
PoliceGicumbi

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Police is 88% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2.14 pts / match - Police · 1.14 pts / match - Gicumbi

Police - half-time state
57% leading43% draw0% trailing
Gicumbi - half-time state
29% leading29% draw43% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2.14Points per match (1st half)1.14
PoliceGicumbi
0.57Goals scored (1st half)0.71
PoliceGicumbi
0Goals conceded (1st half)0.71
PoliceGicumbi
0.57Average goals (1st half)1.43
PoliceGicumbi
100%Clean sheet before half-time43%
PoliceGicumbi
43%No goal before half-time43%
PoliceGicumbi

After half-time (2nd half)

1.43Points per match (2nd half)1
PoliceGicumbi
0.57Goals scored (2nd half)0.43
PoliceGicumbi
0.43Goals conceded (2nd half)0.43
PoliceGicumbi
1Average goals (2nd half)0.86
PoliceGicumbi
57%Clean sheet after half-time57%
PoliceGicumbi
43%No goal after half-time71%
PoliceGicumbi

Police - second-half results

29% W57% R14% P
15
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.14
PPG before half-time
Lead holding125%

Leads at half-time in 57% of matches and wins 71%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Gicumbi - second-half results

14% W57% R29% P
8
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
7
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.14
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.3

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Police - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.801.60
Goals scored / match0.40.6
Goals conceded / match0.00.4
Average goals in match0.41.0
1 goal40%80%
2 goals0%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%60%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference+2+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2
Gicumbi - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.20
Goals scored / match0.80.6
Goals conceded / match0.60.4
Average goals in match1.41.0
1 goal80%60%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+1+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Police
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
3
0
16-30
0
0
31-45
1
0
46-60
1
1
61-75
2
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Gicumbi
ScoredConceded
2
4
0-15
2
0
16-30
1
1
31-45
1
1
46-60
1
0
61-75
1
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.92
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 0.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
116%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
61%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Police

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.58
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.13
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.18
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.31
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
139%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
51%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.23
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

Gicumbi

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.06
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.06
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.31
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.25
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
136%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
139%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.46
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
13% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 25% come in the first quarter-hour.
13%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).

Teams vs league

PoliceLigaGicumbi
Average goals in match 1.571.66 2.29
Both teams scored 43%32% 57%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 29%21% 43%
Clean sheets 57%44% 29%
Goal before half-time 57%52% 86%
Goal after half-time 71%63% 57%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.66
Average goals per match
32%
Both teams scored
21%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
44%
Clean sheets
0.82
Home goals / match
0.84
Away goals / match
+-2%
Home attack advantage
+-2%
Home defence advantage
+4%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
52%
1 goal
18%
2 goals
5%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
63%
1 goal
27%
2 goals
2%
3 goals
0%
4 goals

FAQ

What was the result of Police vs Gicumbi?

The National Soccer League match finished Police 2:1 Gicumbi. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Police vs Gicumbi?

Police score 1.14 goals per game on average and Gicumbi 1.14. The National Soccer League average is 1.66 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 21% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Police's matches and 57% of Gicumbi's.

What form are Police and Gicumbi in?

Over the last 5 games Police have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Gicumbi 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Police vs Gicumbi?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.