Police vs Gorilla: match statistics
As the league leaders, Police exhibit dominant home form, winning 71% of their home matches and conceding just 0.57 goals per game. The hosts boast an impressive record of 8 wins, 5 draws, and only 1 loss throughout the season, along with a home goal difference of +5. Gorilla occupy a distant 11th place and struggle offensively on the road (0.67 goals per game) while showing a high tendency for draws (50%). Recent form also favors Police, as the hosts have averaged 1.6 points per game in their last five outings compared to just 1.0 for the visitors. Considering Police's advantage in possession (52% vs 47%), superior shot conversion rate (20% vs 13%), and significantly stronger home performance, a home win is the most likely scenario.
Police vs Gorilla: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Police played Gorilla in National Soccer League (Rwanda). The match was played on 3 January 2026. Final score: 4:0.
Current form
Police: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Gorilla: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Police scores 0.93 and concedes 0.43 goals per match. Gorilla scores 0.67 and concedes 0.80. League average: 1.94 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Police 36%, Gorilla 33%. Over 2.5: Police 21%, Gorilla 20%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 31%.
xG, shots and style
Police has higher xG: 1.10 vs 0.83. Police: 5.9 shots per match, Gorilla: 4.4.
Match halves
Police: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 0.43. Gorilla: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.33.
Goals by minute
Police: 16-30 (5 goals). Gorilla: 16-30 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National Soccer League: 1.94 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 31%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
As the league leaders, Police exhibit dominant home form, winning 71% of their home matches and conceding just 0.57 goals per game. The hosts boast an impressive record of 8 wins, 5 draws, and only 1 loss throughout the season, along with a home goal difference of +5. Gorilla occupy a distant 11th place and struggle offensively on the road (0.67 goals per game) while showing a high tendency for draws (50%). Recent form also favors Police, as the hosts have averaged 1.6 points per game in their last five outings compared to just 1.0 for the visitors. Considering Police's advantage in possession (52% vs 47%), superior shot conversion rate (20% vs 13%), and significantly stronger home performance, a home win is the most likely scenario.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Police | Gorilla | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 43% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.19 | 0.19 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Police is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Police · 1 pts / match - Gorilla
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Police is 39% better for: goals scored per match.
0.93 goals / match - Police · 0.67 goals / match - Gorilla
Police is 86% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.43 goals / match - Police · 0.8 goals / match - Gorilla
Police scores in 71% of matches (10 of 14 matches), while Gorilla keeps a clean sheet in 40% (6 of 15 matches).
Gorilla scores in 53% of matches (8 of 15 matches), while Police keeps a clean sheet in 57% (8 of 14 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Police
Over / Under - Gorilla
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Police is 86% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.86 pts / match - Police · 1 pts / match - Gorilla
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Police - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 57%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Gorilla - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Police
Gorilla
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).
Teams vs league
| Police | Liga | Gorilla | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.36 | 1.94 | ▼ 1.47 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 36% | 40% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 21% | 31% | ▼ 20% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 57% | 37% | ▲ 40% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 60% | ▼ 53% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 64% | 66% | ▼ 53% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Police vs Gorilla?
The National Soccer League match finished Police 4:0 Gorilla. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Police vs Gorilla?
Police score 0.93 goals per game on average and Gorilla 0.67. The National Soccer League average is 1.94 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 31% of games. Both teams score in 36% of Police's matches and 33% of Gorilla's.
What form are Police and Gorilla in?
Over the last 5 games Police have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Gorilla 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Police vs Gorilla?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.