Police vs KCB: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates a tight match with a slight leaning towards a draw. Police show solid home form with 58% of their matches ending in a draw and only a 17% home loss rate, alongside an impressive clean sheet record (58%). The hosts are in excellent shape, picking up 2.2 PPG in their last five matches. KCB display better away efficiency (50% win rate), but their recent form is weaker (1.6 PPG). The key factor is Police's defensive stability at home (an average of 0.5 goals conceded) and the fact that the hosts fail to score in 50% of their home games, suggesting a low-tempo affair. Given Police's tendency to draw at home and the balanced goal difference between the two teams, a sharing of the points is the most likely outcome.
Police vs KCB: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Police play KCB in Kenyan Premier League (Kenya). The match date is 13 March 2026 at 14:00. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Police: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. KCB: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Police scores 0.97 and concedes 0.62 goals per match. KCB scores 1.04 and concedes 1.07. League average: 2.01 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Police 31%, KCB 50%. Over 2.5: Police 21%, KCB 36%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 33%.
xG, shots and style
Police has higher xG: 1.62 vs 1.53. Police: 12.4 shots per match, KCB: 9.8.
Match halves
Police: half-time lead 3%, second-half goals 0.00. KCB: half-time lead 7%, second-half goals 0.14.
Goals by minute
Police: 0-15 (27 goals). KCB: 0-15 (22 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Kenyan Premier League: 2.01 goals per match, BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 33%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Statistical analysis indicates a tight match with a slight leaning towards a draw. Police show solid home form with 58% of their matches ending in a draw and only a 17% home loss rate, alongside an impressive clean sheet record (58%). The hosts are in excellent shape, picking up 2.2 PPG in their last five matches. KCB display better away efficiency (50% win rate), but their recent form is weaker (1.6 PPG). The key factor is Police's defensive stability at home (an average of 0.5 goals conceded) and the fact that the hosts fail to score in 50% of their home games, suggesting a low-tempo affair. Given Police's tendency to draw at home and the balanced goal difference between the two teams, a sharing of the points is the most likely outcome.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Police | KCB | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Police is 86% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Police · 1.4 pts / match - KCB
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
KCB is 7% better for: goals scored per match.
0.97 goals / match - Police · 1.04 goals / match - KCB
Police is 73% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.62 goals / match - Police · 1.07 goals / match - KCB
Police scores in 62% of matches (18 of 29 matches), while KCB keeps a clean sheet in 36% (10 of 28 matches).
KCB scores in 79% of matches (22 of 28 matches), while Police keeps a clean sheet in 52% (15 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Police
Over / Under — KCB
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Police - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 3% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
KCB - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 7% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 0% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 0% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (27 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (22 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (24). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Police
KCB
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kenyan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Police | Liga | KCB | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.59 | 2.01 | ▲ 2.11 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 31% | 43% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 21% | 33% | ▲ 36% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 52% | 36% | • 36% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 7% | 21% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 3% | 22% | ▼ 18% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Police 0 - 1 - 0 KCB. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Police vs KCB?
The Kenyan Premier League match finished Police 2:1 KCB. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Police vs KCB?
Police score 0.97 goals per game on average and KCB 1.04. The Kenyan Premier League average is 2.01 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 33% of games. Both teams score in 31% of Police's matches and 50% of KCB's.
What form are Police and KCB in?
Over the last 5 games Police have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and KCB 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Police vs KCB?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Police vs KCB: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.